• China growth of 6%-6.5%
  • Expect the Federal Reserve to hike rates 2 or 3 times
  • UK growth 0.75%-1.5%
  • Eurozone growth 1%-1.5%
  • Expecting $1.5t in US fiscal stimulus over 10 yrs
  • Expect central banks maintain their stimulus
  • Yuan depreciates about 7% next 12 months
  • Global real GDP growth 2.5 to 3%
  • Secular new normal/new neutral theme remains intact
  • Japan inflation significantly below 2% target
  • Japan GDP growth 0.75%-1.25%
  • Bank of England stopping after existing QE
  • UK inflation over 2% target
  • Eurozone inflation over 1%
  • US GDP up in above-trend 2%-2.5% channel in 2017
  • Increased risk fed will 'step up' pace of rate hikes
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