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GDP, The Course For Interest Rates and AUD

speculo_ergo_sum Posted 5 Dec.  in #Trader's blog #GBP #CAD #USD
This week was replete with macroeconomic data releases that shaped the trends for exchange rates. The Australian dollar was not the role model for the currency, influenced by the slew of these reports. Unlike for other currencies, the trend for AUD seems to be persistent for a long time to come.
The assertion of that sort, not immediately obvious, is rather plausible if dynamics of AUD over the course of last week is considered in context of GDP report and interest rate decision by RBA.
In its…
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US dollar – the last gasp for strength

speculo_ergo_sum Posted 18 Nov.  in #Trader's blog #USD #Yen #Boj
It seems that the currently observed strengthening of US dollar is coming to its end. The failed policy of monetary inflation, so thoroughly conducted in Japan for the last three years, brought nothing but rotten fruits – price inflation is significant, trade deficit is persistent, GDP is contracting. At least the encumbent government had enough integrity to call for new elections. Will it lead to change in course of monetary policy of BoJ? Hopefully, yes. At least, the acknowledgment of humongo…
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The bright future for CAD

speculo_ergo_sum Posted 17 Nov.  in #Trader's blog #CAD #USD #Oil
Since the early beginning of 2012 the Canadian dollar has been in firm grips of bears – over the last two and half years it had shed 18% of its value against USD. Apparently the trend is about to change – the main fundamental reason, justifying this trend reversal, is setting in before our eyes. The main reason behind this rather optimistic statement seems to be obvious – CAD is the commodity currency that is highly correlated with the price of oil. The latter, falling rather sharply for the las…
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2 Comments
VictoriaVika avatar
VictoriaVika 18 Nov.

Good luck and Green Pips :)

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verindur 19 Nov.

Thank You for some key info. )))))

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The Forthcoming RBA`s Interest Rate Decision

speculo_ergo_sum Posted 1 Sep.  in #Trader's blog #AUD #USD #Rba #Interest Rate
If one would be asked to single out the most important endogenous event that might define currency exchange rates for month to come one would answer unequivocally – interest rate decision by the central bank. The forthcoming rate decision by Reserve Bank of Australia is not an exclusion, even when the majority of market participants do not anticipate any changes to the current level of interest rates.
What has left to be dissected by market observers is the rhetoric, emanating from RBA`s offici…
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4 Comments
Stix avatar
Stix 2 Sep.

Best wishes, Speculo_ergo_sum ! :)

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Shalomavahatikvah 2 Sep.

One thing that I know is that I won't be near the market.

speculo_ergo_sum avatar
speculo_ergo_sum 2 Sep.

neither was I:)

Shalomavahatikvah avatar
Shalomavahatikvah 2 Sep.

:)

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UK GDP and Interest Rate Expectations

speculo_ergo_sum Posted 14 Aug.  in #Trader's blog #GBP #USD #UK #Gdp #Interest Rate #Expectations
This coming Friday the 2nd estimate of GDP in Great Britain will be released. The first round of preliminary data released in July had limited impact – GBP went up about 20 pts against USD over 3 minutes, just to lose all the gains within less than half-hour, albeit losses were quite modest. Lack of positive influence on exchange rate of GBP from quite good GDP numbers would be flabbergasting if interest rate expectations were not taken into account.
The main reason for such a lackluster dynami…
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Polinka 1 Oct.

Good luck!

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Macroeconomic Data, Oil and Canadian Dollar

speculo_ergo_sum Posted 8 Aug.  in #Trader's blog #JPY #USD #Oil #Gdp #Sales #Canadian Dollar #Macroeconomic Data
Canadian dollar has been in a down trend for 5 weeks now – it has lost about 3% against USD, JPY and
about 1.5% against EUR over this period of time. This is not a lot by historical standards but in this day of age – in times of very low volatility for almost all classes of traded assets – one can talk about the trends despite of their seeming insignificance in absolute terms.
Poor employment data releases in July and August lead to sell-offs on Fridays, that account for the most of the losses…
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Employment Cost Index, Interest Rate Expectations and Stock Market Swoon

speculo_ergo_sum Posted 1 Aug.  in #Trader's blog #GBP #EUR #JPY #USD #Sp500 #Eci #Interest Rates #Fed
This last week was repleted with important and having lasting influence data releases. Although the most anticipated and looked for by investors was Non-Farm Payroll Change, published on Friday, its impact on stock market was more than limited. What passed almost inconspicuously to most market participants and observers of different stripes but had significant influence on financial markets was release of Employment Cost Index last Thursday.
The importance of this data is difficult to overestim…
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VictoriaVika 18 Sep.

Удачи и успехов )

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Employment Cost Index, Interest Rate Expectations and Stock Market Swoon

speculo_ergo_sum Posted 1 Aug.  in #GBP #JPY #USD #Stock Market #S P500 #Eci #Interest Rates #Frs
This last week was repleted with important and having lasting influence data releases. Although the most anticipated and looked for by investors was Non-Farm Payroll Change, published on Friday, its impact on stock market was more than limited. What passed almost inconspicuously to most market participants and observers of different stripes but had significant influence on financial markets was release of Employment Cost Index last Thursday.
The importance of this data is difficult to overestim…
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