Blog de la Communauté FX
Risk sentiment a bit better to start the week
Risk sentiment has improved a bit since late Friday bounce in the stock markets. USD/CAD spiked 80 pips after weak jobs report on that day but gave it all back and is currently trading below the pivotal 1.26 level. 1.25 is the initial support and 1.27 the first stronger resistance.
CAD/CHF down reaching an important resistence area
Situation:
After the chf crash the price is in a range between two important support and resistence levels.
A resistence level has been hit, i'm expecting for the price to move lower, even if we had a retracement in the buyers direction.
Maybe another retest in the short term before a down move.
Expected rate: 0.7480
Weekly chart:
On the weekly chart i pointed out the main support and resistence levels
Daily chart:
On daily chart a possible scenario is described.
After the chf crash the price is in a range between two important support and resistence levels.
A resistence level has been hit, i'm expecting for the price to move lower, even if we had a retracement in the buyers direction.
Maybe another retest in the short term before a down move.
Expected rate: 0.7480
Weekly chart:
On the weekly chart i pointed out the main support and resistence levels
Daily chart:
On daily chart a possible scenario is described.
AUD/CHF cant' break the resistence level
Situation:
Under the long term prospective, aud/chf pair is moving slowly in a range.
In the past weeks the price moved up with power, i expect it to continue and reach the previous highs.
I doubt tho that the price will break the resistence level pointed out on weekly and daily chart.
I expect the price to bounce from the resistence level.
Expected rate: 0.7700
Weekly chart:
Major support and resistence levels are pointe out
Daily chart:
Possible scenario is described
Under the long term prospective, aud/chf pair is moving slowly in a range.
In the past weeks the price moved up with power, i expect it to continue and reach the previous highs.
I doubt tho that the price will break the resistence level pointed out on weekly and daily chart.
I expect the price to bounce from the resistence level.
Expected rate: 0.7700
Weekly chart:
Major support and resistence levels are pointe out
Daily chart:
Possible scenario is described
AUD/CAD up to previous highs
Situation:
The price bounced 3 weeks ago from an important support level which hold the price for several time now and i expect it to continue to do so.
In the previous ocasions the price reacted heavly from that support level as it did this time around.
I expect the price to climb higher and reac privous highs:
Weekly chart:
On the weekly chart some important areas of support and resistence are pointed out.
Daily chart:
On the daily chart a possible scenario is described
The price bounced 3 weeks ago from an important support level which hold the price for several time now and i expect it to continue to do so.
In the previous ocasions the price reacted heavly from that support level as it did this time around.
I expect the price to climb higher and reac privous highs:
Weekly chart:
On the weekly chart some important areas of support and resistence are pointed out.
Daily chart:
On the daily chart a possible scenario is described
EURUSD
EURUSD, earlier today we went down into the blue box. Not surprising as this was a strong support zone, note the multiple bounces from it. We now have a new box, the red one.
USD/CHF snaps back
USD/CHF bounced strongly off of October's resistance area near 0.985. Probably some range trading from here but the path of least resistance still seems to be to the upside in the medium term. As always, a lot depends on EUR/USD direction and risk sentiment.
Aussie to continue its steady climb
Technical Tools
Support and resistance (S/R). Price levels, trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Price action, candlestick and chart patterns. Simple moving averages (SMA). Commitments of traders (COT) indicator, which displays speculative positioning in FX futures market, used as a proxy for speculative positioning in spot FX market.
Weekly Chart
Aussie's attempt to crack the strong supply zone between 0.77 and 0.785 in November has been deflected by the intersection of 2013 - 2016 trendline …
Support and resistance (S/R). Price levels, trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Price action, candlestick and chart patterns. Simple moving averages (SMA). Commitments of traders (COT) indicator, which displays speculative positioning in FX futures market, used as a proxy for speculative positioning in spot FX market.
Weekly Chart
Aussie's attempt to crack the strong supply zone between 0.77 and 0.785 in November has been deflected by the intersection of 2013 - 2016 trendline …
Will Aussie finally break to the upside?
Technical Tools
Support and resistance (S/R). Price levels, trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Price action, candlestick and chart patterns. Simple moving averages (SMA). Commitments of traders (COT) indicator, which displays speculative positioning in FX futures market, used as a proxy for speculative positioning in spot FX market.
Weekly Chart
Aussie's attempt to crack the strong supply zone between 0.77 and 0.785 has been deflected by the intersection of 2013 - 2016 trendline and 2011 - …
Support and resistance (S/R). Price levels, trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Price action, candlestick and chart patterns. Simple moving averages (SMA). Commitments of traders (COT) indicator, which displays speculative positioning in FX futures market, used as a proxy for speculative positioning in spot FX market.
Weekly Chart
Aussie's attempt to crack the strong supply zone between 0.77 and 0.785 has been deflected by the intersection of 2013 - 2016 trendline and 2011 - …
USD/JPY Targets Brexit Highs
The USD/JPY is finally trending up after a long bear market. After some Dollar positive comments at Jackson Hole the pair got a lift. We’re now trading 336 pips higher from the lows marked on August 26th.
Where can we look for a potential target? The average monthly range in this pair has been 520 pips. But that’s low to high, not open to close. A more conservative target would be in the 300 pips range.
On our chart above we see a level that qualifies. The pre-Brexit highs at 106.80 are importa…
Where can we look for a potential target? The average monthly range in this pair has been 520 pips. But that’s low to high, not open to close. A more conservative target would be in the 300 pips range.
On our chart above we see a level that qualifies. The pre-Brexit highs at 106.80 are importa…
Clashing Trends in the EUR/JPY
We're having two contradicting trends develop in the EUR/JPY. On the shorter time-frame, a tentative bullish trend has developed in the past few days. See the 4h chart below. We're now up over 250 pips from the lows recorded last Friday.
But things are looking quite the opposite on the longer-term charts. Note the strong downward trend on the weekly chart below. Since peaking out at 149.78 in December of 2014, the EUR/JPY has been in a bearish trend. The low was hit at 109.48 this June, post-Bre…
But things are looking quite the opposite on the longer-term charts. Note the strong downward trend on the weekly chart below. Since peaking out at 149.78 in December of 2014, the EUR/JPY has been in a bearish trend. The low was hit at 109.48 this June, post-Bre…