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llolor predicted bearish impact of Industrial Production in the Fundamental analysis Contest

Industrial production in the UK edged up by 0.1 percent month-over-month in March of 2018, the same as in the previous month. The largest upward contribution came from energy supply and electricity generation amid below-average temperature during March. The expectation is a 0.2 percent gain for the month of April. Also to be released at the same time are the balance of trade, construction output and manufacturing production data.
Bearish impact expected

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llolor predicted bullish impact of Trump - Kim meeting in the Fundamental analysis Contest

The high level meeting offers unprecedented market reaction. Given the fact that details will be scratchy at this point the USD may be strengthening on the back of such a historic event.

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llolor predicted bullish impact of Claimant Count Change in the Fundamental analysis Contest

The claimant count rate in the United Kingdom rose by 31.2 thousand to 897 thousand in April 2018, following a 15.7 thousand increase in the previous month. The unemployment rate stood at a 42-year low of 4.2 percent in the three months to March 2018. The expectation is for the unemployment rate to remain at 4.2 percent and should the change in the claimant count rate be better than the anticipated 11.3 thousand, then the GBP will be stronger. Bullish impact expected.

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llolor predicted bearish impact of ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment in the Fundamental analysis Contest

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany was unchanged at -8.2 in May of 2018, the same as in April, the lowest reading since November 2012. The effects of the relatively positive values for German exports and production have been overshadowed by uncertainty around the recent political events, the US decision to back out of the nuclear treaty with Iran and fears of a further escalation of the international trade conflict with the US. The index is forecast to drop to -14. Bearish sentiment expected

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llolor predicted bullish impact of Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy in the Fundamental analysis Contest

The inflation rate in the United States was up to 2.5 percent in April 2018 from 2.4 percent in March. It is the highest rate since February of 2017 while core inflation was flat at 2.1 percent. On a monthly basis, consumer prices went up 0.2 percent, rebounding from a 0.1 percent drop in March. Another rise in inflation of if these rates are maintained then bets for a June rate hike will increase leading to a stronger dollar. Bullish impact predicted.

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llolor predicted bullish impact of Westpac Consumer Confidence in the Fundamental analysis Contest

The Consumer Sentiment Index for Australia declined by 0.6 percent from the previous month to 101.8 in May of 2018 as the measure of family finances compared to a year ago declined by 6.5 percent and expectations for the economic outlook over the next five years dropped by 1.4 percent. I expect a rebound in the index.

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llolor predicted bullish impact of Consumer Price Index in the Fundamental analysis Contest

Inflation in the UK edged down to came in at 2.4 percent in April of 2018 from 2.5 percent in March 2018. It is the lowest rate since March of 2017, mainly due to a slowdown in cost of transport, food and clothing and footwear. The expectation is for the inflation rate to remain at 2.4 percent and any slight upward adjustment in the inflation rate will lead to a stronger pound. Bullish reaction expected.

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llolor predicted bullish impact of Industrial Production s.a. in the Fundamental analysis Contest

Industrial Production In the Euro Area increased 0.50 percent in March of 2018 over the previous month. The expectation now is a fall of 0.7 percent and anything higher than this could lead to a stronger Euro

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llolor predicted bullish impact of EIA Crude Oil Stocks change in the Fundamental analysis Contest

Crude oil stocks in the United States rose by 2.072 million barrels in the week ended June 1st 2018, after a 3.62 million drop in the previous period. The weekly nature of the announcement makes forecasting difficult. I expect a weaker brent crude price and a weaker CAD following the announcement.

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llolor predicted bullish impact of Fed Interest Rate Decision in the Fundamental analysis Contest

The Federal Reserve left its target range for the federal funds rate steady at 1.5-1.75 percent during its May 2018 meeting, and is now expected to move the rate to 1.75-2.00 percent. The 25 basis point hike in rates may provide the bulls the USD needs. Bullish reaction expected