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If RBA decides to cut interest rate by 25 basis points, we sell AUD… If RBA decides to keep hike rates back to 2.25%, we’ll buy AUD as market is expecting an unchanged verdict today. Ultimately we are a bit bearish on the AUD as RBA has opened the door for rate cuts and considering recent drop in crude prices, RBA definitely have room for rate cuts…
Блог raazumim001
USDCAD trade plane
Let´s look to SELL CAD if we get a -0.3% or worse release, or we’ll BUY CAD on a 0.3% or better release. With recent weakness in seen in CAD, a strong fundamental such as the CA GDP figure may be the catalyst we need to see more volatility in CAD.
Fed could offer new hints on rate hike timing
Federal Reserve officials are likely to emerge from their policy meeting Wednesday with short-term interest rates still pinned near zero, though they could send fresh hints that they’re getting closer to raising rates. Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen emphasized in congressional testimony earlier this month she expects the central bank to start lifting its benchmark federal-funds rate at some point before year-end.
Her comments and other recent public statements by Fed officials have made clear that …
Her comments and other recent public statements by Fed officials have made clear that …
UK Prelim GDP q/q | July 28, 2015
[b]DEVIATION: 0.3% (BUY GBP 1.0% / SELL GBP 0.4%)
Since this is the first release of the second quarter GDP for 2015 (Q2 2015), we´re likely to get a huge reaction if we get a surprise today, as most first releases are what the market looks to. Considering the recent positive trend in the economic data, we may get a strong surprise release today.
[/b]Our surprise factor is around 0.3% as we´ll look to possibly SELL GBP at 0.4% or worse, and BUY GBP at 1.0% or better.Historically, if there…
Since this is the first release of the second quarter GDP for 2015 (Q2 2015), we´re likely to get a huge reaction if we get a surprise today, as most first releases are what the market looks to. Considering the recent positive trend in the economic data, we may get a strong surprise release today.
[/b]Our surprise factor is around 0.3% as we´ll look to possibly SELL GBP at 0.4% or worse, and BUY GBP at 1.0% or better.Historically, if there…
(BUY AUD 1.1% / SELL AUD 0.5%)
Here is the plan, if we get a better than expected CPI data, we should see an instant appreciation of AUD by at least of 40 pips within the hour, but if we get a worse than expected number, AUD should drop and we should expect the market to consolidate. Of course, the deviation that I am looking for must be at least 0.3%, or I will skip the after news trade… On a minimum release of 1.1%, I would buy AUD/USD after a decent retracement. If we get a 0.5% or worse release, I’d SELL AUD/USD immediate…
Why NZDUSD gain ?
PM John Key indirectly hinted at the possibility of Kiwi being oversold by stating that the NZD has fallen faster-than-expected. The statement helped the NZD/USD pair gain 40 pips amid gold price shocker. It remains to be seen if the spot manages to extend gains, since PM too indicated the likelihood of having lower interest rates for a longer period of time
NZDUSD that show we see
NZDUSD last Friday, closing at 0.6513. The lowest point since 2009, technically, we have broken to the downside through key support of 0.6580 and on target for 0.6420.
USDCAD what will we se NEXT ?
Canadian dollar has been suffering as oil prices tumbled and gold remained near its bottom. The BoC surprised markets and dropped its lending rate earlier this week. The Canadian Dollar came under pressure from a fall in crude oil prices. The value of the commodity fell as worries increased that oil production in Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) increased to a two-and-a-half year high of 31.22 million barrels per day. Production in the US is also expected to continue to incre…
Fundamental.....
USDJPY was trading at 124.22-25 on Friday . The yen fell against the greenback Thursday to the lower 124 yen level, a roughly three-week low. Moves in Europe on Thursday to reopen funding to near-bankrupt Greece also improved risk sentiment. Greece will receive bridge loans, enabling it to make a bond payment to the European Central Bank on Monday and clear arrears with the International Monetary Fund. The lessening of foreseeable Greek risk also continued to push the euro lower, with focus back…
EURUSD 1.0660 next target ?
Eurogroup President Jeroen Dijsselbloem said on Friday euro zone finance ministers may make a “major decision” when they hold an emergency session on Saturday to weigh the Greek proposal. Many in the market were optimistic, although there was a degree of caution about holding large bets going into the weekend. The euro fell to a seven-week low against the dollar as European Central Bank President Mario Draghi reiterated his commitment to providing unprecedented stimulus to the euro area.
The sha…
The sha…