williamwoo's Blog

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七月美国非农的预判

7月8日又是美国非农日,6月初的非农数据让人大跌眼镜,差于5月,也差于预期,为历史上罕见的3.8万人,这个月预期是17.5万人,我想,无论如何也会超过上个月的3.8万人,也就是说好于上月,介于预期与上月数据之间,由此可引发非美振荡下跌,包括欧美,澳美,镑美,黄金,而美瑞,美日会振荡上涨,美加要看周五的失业率数据如何,不出意外的话,也是振荡上涨,甚至单边上涨…
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6月关注英国是否脱欧的公投结果,镑系各品种如何大动,拭目以待

6月关注英国是否脱欧的公投结果,镑系各品种如何大动,拭目以待
从基本面看,英国脱欧,弊大于利。这几年虽然欧盟内部矛盾日益凸显,各界不看好欧盟的前景,但从合众国,联合国,同盟国的角度来看,欧盟暴露出一些问题实属正常,20多个国家结盟,相互整合需要很长一段时间,需要从各方面融合,长远来看,欧盟做为一个巨大经济体必将发挥出极大的优势,届时,如果英国已经脱离欧盟,会倍感孤立
从技术面看,英镑长期处于颓势,如果脱欧,则会雪上加霜…
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I hope simulated race can trade gold

I have nearly a decade of trading experience, and gradually develop a trading patterns, or changes in trading practices from the original days of my short-term trading swing trading into the present day Australia was originally concerned about the United States, Europe and the United States are two varieties, now trading nine varieties ( DUKASCOPY firm can trade within the species range): Australian and U.S., Europe, pound the United States, United States, Japan, Europe and Macao, pound Australi…
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希望模拟竞赛可以交易黄金

希望模拟竞赛可以交易黄金
我近十年的交易经历,逐渐养成一个交易模式,或者说交易手法
我由原先的日内短线交易转变成现在的日间波段交易
原先关注澳美、欧美两个品种,现在交易九个品种(DUKASCOPY实盘可以交易品种的范围内):澳美、欧美、镑美、美日、欧澳、镑澳、欧日、镑日、黄金。
昨天晚上我在实盘帐户挂空黄金,今晨成交了,现在浮盈中。但模拟竞赛中只能交易外汇品种,有点缺憾。
就黄金日图来说,从1月1日开始涨,到昨天,涨了这么多天,历经了三次明显的单边上涨,两次盘整振荡,昨夜至今,回调日波幅超过前两次,可以判断出未来会出现一个深度的回调,至少50美元以上的幅度回调,超过1月26日那次回调(那次是40美元的幅度)。
黄金,很多人经历过惨痛,严重亏损,感觉无法判断趋势。我自认为黄金还是有规律可循的,只是它的回抽大于交叉盘,更大于直盘,从趋势判断的本质上来说,其实与直盘、交叉盘无异,因而,我做黄金会将仓量减至外汇品种的一半,止损会增至外汇品种的一倍,当然,止盈也是外汇品种的一倍,甚至是几倍,这样我们就会在多数时间规避掉黄金的大幅回撤,抓住预期的大额利润。
最后,希望模拟竞赛可以交易黄金,这样才能…
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Rules is harsh but to develop good trading habits

Since January this year, I enrolled in the simulated trading game, a lot of people disdain this, they want to participate in the real game was. Why should I participate? In the end, I happened to know this game, then I watched the game rules, it is harsh, but more suitable for me, this game promotes pending long positions in time, each one will set stop-loss and profit, and only along to modify, as well as the provisions of the minimum and maximum amount warehouse warehouse capacity, and the gam…
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严苛的比赛规则有助于你养成良好的交易习惯

我自今年一月份就报名参加了模拟交易比赛,很多人不屑于此,他们都想参加实盘比赛。我为什么要参加呢?在去年底,我偶然得知这个比赛,继而我看了比赛规则,很严苛,但比较适合我,这个比赛提倡挂单,持仓时间长,每单必设止损和止盈,并且只能顺向修改,还有规定了最低仓量和最高仓量,并且比赛排名并不单纯以本金最终的多少来排名,要考虑四个因素。还有,这个比赛是长年的,不是只一个月,会累计各月的数据,有季度评比,年度评比,等等。
这样的规则,如果参赛者能够严格遵守,我想即使他不能进入前20名获得奖金,如此坚持一年,也能养成好的交易习惯:每单控制仓量,严格止损止盈,判断好行情,拟定理性的交易计划,并坚定地挂单执行,而不会仓促的现价交易。持仓时间越来越长,这有助于提高对趋势的判断力。
在过去的几年间,我在交易中时常犯一些错误,比如:重仓,不止损或中途撤消了止损演变成扛单,忽被一个大阳K诱惑而做多,抛弃了之前拟定的交易计划。等等。如今改掉了很多毛病,也从短线交易过渡到了日间波段交易,让交易不再紧张、疲累,胜率和盈亏比都有了显著提高,帐户资金也稳步增长。
如果谁想把外汇交…
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