lilongve2012's Blog

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Bad yen bet

Two days ago, I made a mistake, which deprived me of a chance to win the contest. I made a bet on the yen and lose. I thought that postponement of the sales tax increase will positively affect the course of yen, however, this has not happened. It was risky strategy due to the fact that the yen has strong downside risks due to the policy of the Bank of Japan. I had hoped that the event will serve as a pretext for a rollback after the sharp fall in the yen last month, but that did not happen, and …
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Why do I bet on yen?

Today, the Japanese Cabinet Office published GDP data for Q3. According to these data, Japan's GDP in the third quarter decreased by 1.6% in annual terms. It was the result of the tax reform - raising the sales tax on 3% from 1 April this year. Before raising tax residents rushed to make purchases in stores, which led to the growth of GDP by 6.7% in Q1, and the fall of 7.3% in the next quarter. These data indicate the failure of the quantitative easing policy pursued by the Bank of Japan. I expe…
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