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Aylina's Blog
The AUD GDP data
This morning, we saw for the AUD's GDP growth qoq the actual 0.8% expected 0.8% previous 0.3%, which means that the AU economist shows signs of recovery, although the GDP was better than the previous AUD did not, however, did anything important.But I certainly expect price acceleration in the EU session because the price did not make a bigger move after the announcement.Also relevant today for US data is ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI expected to be 55.8, and the previous one was 53.9, which means th…
The possibilities of today's trading
Because of the high resistance of EUR, GBP, NZD, AUD, at this point I see that all these currencies do not want to weaken further against USD.That's why I decided to close all sales orders and start shopping, I think this is a better option right now.Because of the growing tension around North Korea, EUR and GBP will try to significantly strengthen, since only after some new EUR and GBP conflicts may weaken, then we can only see the strength in these currencies.As well as being safe as a surety,…
EUR/JPY
After we saw a gap of around 70 pips against JPY, the EUR / JPY tried to recover a little while in the night and reached the correction from 130.16 to 130.60.But this morning, before the EU session, the EUR / JPY has fallen back to 130.12, and is already in a position to significantly breach support 3, and expect a continued weakening today, during my estimation, it would have to weaken an additional 100 pips, and the first strong support zone can be expected at 127.55
Trading with major pairs next week
Today I will give a comment on EUR / AUD if we look at the price on the chart, we can conclude that the EUR overestimated somehow in the AUD, so I believe that up to 500 pips should be corrected in the coming period.While the AUD and NZD had weakened in the last period, the EUR has risen sharply. and against USD, then, against GBP, then against AUD, then against NZD, then against NOK.Although I believed at the beginning of this month that the EUR should go aggressively above 1.2100, there is no…
USD/NOK and USD/SEK
Interesting formation occurs on the USD / NOK and USD / SEK currency pairs, if we look at more ways, we can find that these couples have been much shrinking lately.Looking at the graph in the 4H or the Daily chart, we can conclude that the trend is to be overlooked and to expect a change in the trend short-term or medium-term.It now raises the question of whether this implies a change of trend in major couples, such as EUR / USD and GBP / USD?I consider that the USD / CHF needs to go up strongl…
Impact of catastrophic floods in Texas on the US economy
I believe that flooding in Texas in the USA will cause a lot of damage to the Americas economy, is estimated to already be over 100 billion USD.I believe that the next release of GDP and Retail Sales in the USA will be with the Loser outcome from the previous one, so we can expect a new wave of EUR and GBP growth in the upcoming period.My forecast for future or future this month should mean reaching EUR against USD 1.2500 as the next target, and for GBP I think you should go down to 1.3500 as we…
My opinion for trading today
To my disappointment, yesterday we saw the sudden strengthening of USD, so I had a negative performance, but what I see is that the USD will continue to grow until Friday.
Special attention was paid to the EUR, which has lost around USD 200 against Tuesday, which could continue today, so I expect a decline to 1.1812
Interesting formations are on EUR / NZD and I expect strong weakening here after the CPI has been published today in the EURO zone.
USD / NOK and USD / SEK move in the right form and…
Special attention was paid to the EUR, which has lost around USD 200 against Tuesday, which could continue today, so I expect a decline to 1.1812
Interesting formations are on EUR / NZD and I expect strong weakening here after the CPI has been published today in the EURO zone.
USD / NOK and USD / SEK move in the right form and…
Some expectations from the US data and market move to
Today we have in focus 2 mix of important announcements for US data, which is USD Prelim GDP qoq Forecast 2.7% Preview 2.6%, there is a probability that the announcement will be as predicted by 2.7%, which may mean a mild reaction to the market and possibly a negative US dollar move against other currencies.Another important announcement is the ADP Non-Farm Employment Forecast Forecast 185K Previw 178K, which could again stimulate the USD weakening.My total anticipation in this case is trying to…
Reaction to JPY pairs after North Korea Fires Missile
This morning, in the early morning hours, there was a North Korea Fires Missile incident, after which the JPY couples quickly dropped, but after the calming of the situation in the field, the JPY weakened slightly, we are currently in formation when the JPY starts to get in the way of risk aversion.This morning, on my general surprise, the EUR / USD managed to break R3 on the key touch point 1.2025 and the current price of rest at 1.2060.I think it was just an aggressive move without some impor…