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Kiwi on the way to 0.75

Relatively high yield (compared to other major counterparts) and credit worthiness of New Zealand are making Kiwi an attractive investment vehicle. Rate cuts do not stem its appreciation. An intervention would not be particularly helpful in this environment.
Having traded to almost 0.74 at the end of August, 0.70 - 0.75 range is firmly in place. At this point, an upside extension seems more likely than a downside one. Stronger demand may come in near 50 DMA. 50.0% retracement of the 2014 - 2015 …
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RBA cuts again

The RBA cut its cash rate to a record low 1.50% from 1.75%. Rate statement does not look particularly dovish - there's no explicit hint of further easing though they didn't close the door on it either.
The reaction in the Aussie was in line with the cut being almost fully discounted. A spike lower was promptly reversed and the price was back to unchanged after a good hour. Still attractive yield, recovering commodities and Fed in no hurry to hike will keep the pair supported.
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TInna avatar
TInna 2 Aug.

thanks for the info. very informative!

al_dcdemo avatar

Yw :) I'm glad that you find it so!

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Decent volatility to start the week

There was quite a lot of movement for a Monday right after the open. Moves across major pairs were similar with the dollar gaining against higher yielding currencies and losing against lower yielding ones. The moves were then more or less reversed.
Euro broke above the descending trendline drawn off of mid and late December highs (~1.0935) and previous week high (~1.0945) but stalled and reversed ahead of Daily Resistance 1 (~1.1970). It has pulled back almost all the way to the big figure (1.09…
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