Community
Blog
Durden's Blog

Durden's Blog

Avatar

STRATEGY CONTEST 31/10/2020 – HeikinAshi3

Durden Posted 25 Nov.  in #USD/JPY #Strategy Contest #Heikin Ashi
SOME CURIOSITY
This strategy have won a prize as 2nd position in 31/10/2020 but it is not the first prize obtained with this trading system : ) The strategy is the same that took second place in 31/12/2019, 8th place in September 2019 and 3rd place in September 2018. This can be an indication of the strategy profitability in different market dynamics. With a statistical analysis of the historical test, it can be notice that when the strategy obtain no Loss in Contest period it is quite obvious t…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

Leave a comment
orto leave comments
Avatar

STRATEGY CONTEST 31/12/2019 – HeikinAshi3_5MIN Trading system

Durden Posted 27 Jan.  in #USD/JPY #Strategy Contest
SOME CURIOSITY
This strategy have won a prize as 2nd position in 31/12/2019 but it is not the first prize obtained with this trading system : ) The strategy is the same that took 8th place in September 2019 and 3rd place in September 2018. This can be an indication of the strategy profitability in different market dynamics. With a statistical analysis of the historical test, it can be notice that when the strategy obtain no Loss in Contest period it is quite obvious that it have great oppor…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

Leave a comment
orto leave comments
Avatar

BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 30 May as Analysis on USD/JPY, Target: 106.029, Date: 2nd of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: RSI, MA, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The traders interested in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some suggestions studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
HMM scheme suggest a no regime dynamics for the cross pair. The study give a green light to a possible 7.01% to have an appreciation of the pair value. This study admits a Support level price at -…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

2 Comments
Durden avatar
Durden 7 June

I grafici dei prezzi sembrano far convergere un criterio  di tipo sell.
Lo studio dei processi Markoviani consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish.  In 30 min  chart è possible valutare uno studio sulla  convergenza della SD a livelli di  8.00 questo insieme a  un valore di RSI di 87.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell. 

Durden avatar
Durden 28 June

La coppia con interpretazione marginalmente bearish, consentirebbe almento in linea teorica trade bearish su eventuali rtitracciamenti della media 9 su tf di 15 Min. HMM coerenti con un regime di tipologia bearish

orto leave comments
Avatar

NO REGIME WITH HMM

Durden Posted 31 Mar. as Analysis on USD/JPY, Target: 108.697, Date: 1st of May, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , Standard Dev (SD), RSI, MA, Volatility, Volume
The traders fascinated in statistical trading (HMM in this study) can find some indications reading the book Hidden Markov Models in Finance, Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
The currency is graphically considered in a Bearish dynamics with the Hidden Markov Models (HMM) indicates a possible resistance area at around 145 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 148 Pips from the p…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

7 Comments
View 2 more comments
Durden avatar
Durden 18 Apr.

Indicazione bullish con lo studio dei dei risultati hidden. Le analisi dei grafici invece potrebbero indicare delle tendenze laterali. In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 12:55:43 si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.14 STDEV.

Durden avatar
Durden 19 Apr.

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 5, 10, 29, 36 caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia attualmente 15:01  nei TF 30 Min suggeriscono dei regimi di bullish.
Le analisi sui volumi non sembrano negare al regime di buy o laterale.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 29 Apr.

SMA optimized with HMM?

Durden avatar
Durden 29 Apr.

A sort of cycle Sma considering the HMM optimization

Durden avatar
Durden 30 Apr.

Lo studio dei modelli markoviani nascosti  potrebbe suggerire un possible sviluppo rialzista.
Se si dovessero poi avere dei valori di rientro da RSI in ipervenduto intorno a 11.00 in 30 Min, si potrebbe anche provare una trade in buy

orto leave comments
Avatar

NO REGIME

Durden Posted 22 Feb. as Analysis on USD/JPY, Target: 108.736, Date: 2nd of April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , MA, RSI, Standard Dev (SD)
The traders involved in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some indications reading the book Hidden Markov Models in Finance, Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
The currency is graphically examined in a Bearish dynamics with the Hidden tipology of Markov Models (HMM) indicates a possible resistance area at around 140 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 164 Pips …
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

12 Comments
View 7 more comments
Durden avatar
Durden 28 Mar.

HMM acquisto, analisi grafiche con possibilità di valutazione e studio dei volumi decrescenti..

Durden avatar
Durden 30 Mar.

Studi su analisi Markoviane integrati con la pendenza delle medie a 10 e 25 su tf a 5 Min possono suggerire dinamiche rialziste

Durden avatar
Durden 31 Mar.

Gli indicatori di volume e RSI insieme alle analisi Markoviane sembrano suggerire un regime bullish


Durden avatar
Durden 1 Apr.

I grafici  suggeriscono una  dinamica  di tipo bearish. Lo studio statistico sembrano invece propendere per una fase di lateralizzazione.

Durden avatar
Durden 2 Apr.

Inclinazioni per una dinamica rialzista, possibili ingressi su rimbalzi su media 9 .
Volumi in linea con un buy
 

orto leave comments
Avatar

USD/JPY

Durden Posted 24 July as Analysis on USD/JPY, Target: 101.3460, Date: 1st of September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/JPY
Weekly Vision
It can be identified a weekly triangle figure started the First of January 2014.
There are three different kind of options that could be analyzed.
  1. The first one is an up-trend that can pass the hypotenuse ( first figure) and the forecast level can be evaluated with the support of the Fibonacci retracement at 102.691 and the price line at 102.207. It could be estimated the forecast value of 102.415 as price forecast level.
…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

6 Comments
View 1 more comments
ANABEVZ avatar
ANABEVZ 17 Aug.

Great!

Stix avatar
Stix 17 Aug.

Nice work ! :)

Nti_ avatar
Nti_ 17 Aug.

fine))

alincik avatar
alincik 18 Aug.

Good

VikaChechenkova avatar
VikaChechenkova 18 Aug.

продолжай в том же духе. у тебя отлично получается

orto leave comments