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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 30 May as Analysis on USD/CHF, Target: 0.99965, Date: 2nd of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , Standard Dev (SD), RSI, MA, Volatility, Volume
The traders involved in statistical trading (HMM in this study) can find some suggestions studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
No specific direction with the HMM computation. The Volume and SD give suggestion of a no regime technical analysis.
Graphically there is not a great indication of the hidden regime and it is not so …
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Durden 7 June

I grafici sostengono  del tipo svalutativo .
Analisi statistiche Markoviane di tipo Hidden consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish.  In H4 chart è possible valutare un modello sulla  convergenza della Standard Dev. su livelli di  14.00 questo insieme a  un valore di RSI di 84.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell. 

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Durden 28 June

La coppia con interpretazione marginalmente bearish, consentirebbe almento in linea teorica trade bearish su eventuali rtitracciamenti della media 9 su tf di 15 Min. HMM coerenti con un regime di tipo svalutativo

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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 30 Apr. as Analysis on USD/CHF, Target: 1.00086, Date: 1st of June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: RSI, MA, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The traders inspired in statistical trading (HMM in this study) can find some suggestions reading the book Hidden Markov Models in Finance, Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
No categorical direction with the statistic formulation. The Volume and SD give suggestion of a no regime technical analysis.
Chart analysis also not evaluate an appreciation or depreciation of the pair marke…
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Durden 3 May

La chart analisi supportano  di tipo compratori.
Analisi statistiche Markoviane di tipo Hidden consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bullish.  In 30 min  chart è possible valutare uno studio sulla  convergenza della Standard Dev. su livelli di  14.00 questo integrato a  un valore di RSI di 86.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di buy. 

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Durden 19 May

Chart analysis non sembra coerente con le analisi probabilistiche di HMM. I calcoli riferenti alle chiusure in 30 Min propendono per una direzionalità leggermente ribassista il grafico della coppia invece sostiene in parte un regime di tipo rialzista.

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Durden 23 May

Analisi grafiche e statistiche  potrebbe suggerire un possible sviluppo rialzista.
Se si dovessero poi avere dei valori di rientro da RSI in ipervenduto intorno a 5,00 in 15 Min, si potrebbe anche pensare ad una possible entry in buy

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Durden 25 May

Sviluppo di regimi di tipo valutativo elaborando il trading statistico HMM.

A livello di possibili uscite basate sulla STDEV si può valutare per il TF10 Min delle 12:59:59 un coefficiente pari a  1.13 STDEV.

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Durden 30 May

Mercato abbastanza indeciso con una predominanza alla lateralizzazione e possibili indicazioni per un Buy marginale.
Possibilità per una trade  di tipo buy  con uscita su una distanza di circa 1.33  della  STDEV.

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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 22 Feb. as Analysis on USD/CHF, Target: 0.93516, Date: 2nd of April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: RSI, MA, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The traders fascinated in statistical trading (HMM in this study) can find some indications reading the book Hidden Markov Models in Finance, Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
The currency is graphically examined in a Bearish dynamics with the Hidden Markov Models (HMM) indicates a possible resistance area at around 126 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 119 Pips from the pric…
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Durden 28 Mar.

Volumi decrescenti, HMM e grafici da buy.  Possibilità di rientro sul Bande di Bollinger e RSI in ipervenduto.

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Durden 30 Mar.

HMM  integrati con la pendenza delle medie a 8 e 35 su tf a 10 Min possono suggerire dinamiche buy

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Durden 31 Mar.

RSI e MACD insieme congiuntamente allo studio dei processi Markoviani sembrano suggerire una inclinazione bullish


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Durden 1 Apr.

Indicazione di svalutazione per la coppia con lo studio dei processi hidden.
  Dal punto di vista grafico invece potrebbero
suggerire  delle possibili lateralizzazioni.
In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 22:45:00  si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.17 STDEV.

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Durden 2 Apr.

I grafici  esprimono una  dinamica  bearish. Le analisi  HMM sembrano invece propendere per una fase di lateralizzazione.

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 28 June as Analysis on USD/CHF, Target: 0.96901, Date: 1st of August, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/CHF
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.0031
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The pair USD/DKK is moving in a bearish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.0031. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively coherent with a slightly bearish tendency.
Daily VISION
The D1 scale indicates that the patt…
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Durden 31 July

Thanks, :)

mariailkiv avatar
mariailkiv 31 July

nice

Sebine avatar
Sebine 31 July

good job!

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Durden 1 Aug.

The HMM and chart analysis coherent with a no bias regime, 0.96329 zone of support

Alisiya avatar
Alisiya 4 Aug.

Good job !

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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 27 Apr. as Analysis on USD/CHF, Target: 0.99629, Date: 1st of June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 0.91907 1.0029
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The pair USD/DKK is moving in a bearish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.0029. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively coherent with a slightly bullish tendency.
Daily VISION
The D1 scale indicates that …
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4 Comments
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Durden 11 May

Hidden Markov Models and Technical Analysis suggest the bullish bias

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Durden 16 May

Bearish dynamics, Hidden Cycle and RSI coherent

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Durden 24 May

  The study of the Hidden processes  integrated with the RSI study can suggest the possibility of  a secondary  retracement, a slightly bullish dynamics for the  Asian  session could be coherent with the analysis

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Durden 25 May

The speculations after the Oil release could suggest a supporting regime for the USD coherently with the HMM.

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BEARISH DYNAMICS

Durden Posted 30 Apr. as Analysis on USD/CHF, Target: 0.95222, Date: 1st of June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 0.91908 0.95222 1.0002

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The pair USD/DKK is moving in a bearish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.0002. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily VISI…
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4 Comments
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Durden 30 Apr.

The USD/CHF is in a slightly bearish dynamics, the HMM and the RSI support the regime

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Durden 2 May

SLightly bearish dynamics for the US session, HMM indicator

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Durden 11 May

Slightly bearish session for the HMM study

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Durden 17 May

The chart analysis and the hidden markov model support the no bias
regime.
The dynamics of  USA can lead to a bearish regime, the monetary policy and the oil analysis also can give support to this study

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USDCHF

Durden Posted 24 July as Analysis on USD/CHF, Target: 0.9066, Date: 1st of September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/CHF
The first chart defines the role of the support and resistence line and the price lines.
Between the two price levels 0.90 - 0.91046 indicated with the pink sector it could be hypotized the region where the cross could have good opportunities to move. This area is confined from two key price levels and
The forecast level price of the 1st of September, 12:00 GMT is hyotized considering a possible retracement at 0.9, calculating the average slopes of the two lines and supposed to get the value of …
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Durden 16 Aug.

Update 1:  The pair could have a lighter second rebounce, the first one was comparable with the forecast value. It could be translated as a lighter overstimate in the forecast price.

Stix avatar
Stix 17 Aug.

Nice work ! :)

alincik avatar
alincik 18 Aug.

Well done!

VikaChechenkova avatar
VikaChechenkova 18 Aug.

хорошая аналитика))

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