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USD/JPY is at an important juncture. 105 - 105.30 (76.4% retracement of the Trump rally) is the last stronger chart-based support area ahead of the big 100. A successful break will probably see a quick markdown to 102.5 - 103. FOMC decision is a potential catalyst. A hike is a done deal but even if they explicitly signal another three hikes this year (unlikely), I don't think that will stop the decline for long, if at all. 95 before winter is not all that unfathomable anymore.
al_dcdemo's Blog
U.S. dollar doesn't rally after a strong labour market report
U.S. labour market report came in strong with Nonfarm Payrolls at 227K vs. 175K expected. Unemployment Rate (4.8%) ticked up but again in tandem with Participation Rate (62.9%). Average Weekly Earnings (MoM) was the only soft spot, yet that was what the market used as an excuse to sell the dollar.
Cautious Fed and U.S Administration's stance on currencies are likely the main reasons why the bulls hesitated. USD/JPY is holding above 38.2% retracement of the Trump rally. A successful break would p…
Cautious Fed and U.S Administration's stance on currencies are likely the main reasons why the bulls hesitated. USD/JPY is holding above 38.2% retracement of the Trump rally. A successful break would p…