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TRIANGLE PATTERN

Durden Posted 26 Oct. as Analysis on AUD/JPY, Target: 89.3010, Date: 1st of December, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Volatility #AUD/JPY #Triangle #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes
Key Price levels : 82.183 - 86.807 - 89.301 92.199

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

AUD/JPY is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics . The chart analysis is slightly bearish but the Hidden Markov Models Analysis seems to support the trendless analysis. The RSI momentum indicator and a Parabolic Sar distribution integrated with a Volume and Standard Deviation analysis seems to facilitate an slightly bearish.

Daily Vision

The D…
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4 Comments
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Durden 3 Nov.

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime.
The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast.                      The pair AUD/JPY  can have a +0.8% at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 12 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bullish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The pair  AUD/JPY  pattern  can have a +0.8  %  as forecast  at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 24 Nov.

The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  slightly bullish forecast. The pair AUD/JPY  can have a 0.2 % at the Asian session opening. Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a  trendless regime.

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foreignexchange 1 Dec.

Great analysis.

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TRIANGLE PATTERN

Durden Posted 30 Sep. as Analysis on EUR/PLN, Target: 4.2464, Date: 2nd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #PLN #Triangle #Rsi #EUR/PLN #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.1799 - 4.2303 - 4.27187

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 4.27187 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. RSI is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily VISI…
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3 Comments
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foreignexchange 1 Oct.

Great analysis.  stai in ufficio con Andrea ?

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Durden 2 Oct.

The EUR/PLN  is in a slightly bullish regime. The EUR positive bias can be improved  by the PPI release. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.7 % at US closing market.

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Durden 8 Oct.

The pair shows a slightly bearish regime. Also Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.2% of the EUR pair again the PLN counterpart.
EUR  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime ( German Production ) .

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BEARISH TRIANGLE DYNAMICS

Durden Posted 30 Sep. as Analysis on EUR/JPY, Target: 135.1290, Date: 2nd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #JPY #EUR/JPY #Bearish #Triangle #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 132.697 - 134.289 - 135.129 - 138.989 - 141.103

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

EUR/JPY is moving in a triangle dynamics. The chart analysis is slightly bearish in consideration of the possible retracement at the resistance but the Hidden Markov Models Analysis seems to support the trendless analysis. The RSI momentum indicator and the chart analysis distribution integrated with a Volume and Stand…
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3 Comments
foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Oct.

Great analysis.  EUR recovery ?

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Durden 2 Oct.

The EUR/JPY  is in a trendless regime. The EUR positive bias can be improved  by the PPI release. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.1 % at US closing market.

Durden avatar
Durden 8 Oct.

The pair shows a slightly bullish regime. But Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.1% of the EUR pair again the JPY counterpart.
EUR  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime ( German Production ) .

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TRIANGLE WITH TRENDLESS REGIME

Durden Posted 25 Sep. as Analysis on CHF/SGD, Target: 1.4588, Date: 2nd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #SGD #CHF #Volatility #Pattern #Triangle #CHF/SGD #Trendless #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes #Regime

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 1.3294 - 1.40891 - 1.45877 - 1.49287 - 1.52881 - 1.5517

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a trendless dynamics in a triangle pattern . The chart analysis indicates the trendless dynamics that can also be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. The resistance at 1.52881 can be evaluated as bullish outside from the triangle figure pattern. …
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3 Comments
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foreignexchange 1 Oct.

Great analysis. 
A pranzo ?

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Durden 2 Oct.

The CHF/SGD  is in a slightly bullish regime. The CHF positive bias can be improved. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.3 % at US closing market.

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Durden 8 Oct.

The pair shows a slightly bearish regime.  The Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.3% of the CHF pair again the SGD counterpart.

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TRIANGLE PATTERN WITH HMM

Durden Posted 31 Aug. as Analysis on GBP/CHF, Target: 1.5109, Date: 1st of October, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #CHF #Volatility #Triangle #GBP/CHF #Rsi #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.4791 - 1.5109 - 1.5283 - 1.55029

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/CHF pair is moving in a bullish dynamics in a triangle pattern with a resistance zone at 1.51907. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendenc…
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3 Comments
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Durden 3 Sep.

With the ECB release with the monetary policy meeting which is expected to keep unchanged the current monetary arrangement the pair GBP/CHF as a correlated pair probably could privilege a trendless regime.

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Durden 15 Sep.

The chart analysis and the hidden markov model and the Sales at 0% suggest a slightly bearish trend for the EU session.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Oct.

great

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TRIANGLE PATTERN

Durden Posted 31 Aug. as Analysis on EUR/HKD, Target: 8.8380, Date: 1st of October, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Volatility #Pattern #Triangle #EUR/HKD #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS : RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 8.1329 - 8.8380 - 9.009 - 10.8281

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

EUR/HKD is moving in a trendless dynamics in a triangle figure pattern . The chart analysis is slightly bullish in consideration of the steady state but the Hidden Markov Models Analysis seems to support the trendless analysis. The RSI momentum indicator and the chart analysis distribution integrated with a Volume and Standard Deviati…
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2 Comments
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Durden 3 Sep.

With the ECB release with the monetary policy meeting which is expected to keep unchanged the current monetary arrangement the pair EUR/HKD as a correlated pair probably could privilege a slightlybullish regime.  As another element the China economy and the oil forecast can be assumed as anti-correlated regime with the EUR/HKD.

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Durden 15 Sep.

The  EUR/HKD chart analysis and the hidden markov model integrated with the ZEW at 12.1 suggest a slightly bearish trend for the EU session.

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Triangle Pattern with HMM integration

Durden Posted 31 July as Analysis on GBP/CHF, Target: 1.5129, Date: 1st of September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #CHF #Volatility #Pattern #Triangle #GBP/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
[url=https://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/technical_analysis/?action=blog&nickname=Durden&post_id=61225#article][/url]


INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.45983 - 1.51293 - 1.51907 - 1.56928

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/CAD pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.51907. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

…
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2 Comments
Durden avatar
Durden 23 Aug.

Crude oil demand indicates a bearish forecast for the pair.
The technical indicators converge with the hmm privileging the sell market side

Durden avatar
Durden 27 Aug.

The decision proposed by the Chinese authorities to devalue the renminbi give great volatility on the world market exchange. The interest rate decision in combination with the economic chinese releases make the EUR and the correlated pair ( CHF-SEK-NOK-PLN-GBP )  recovery a great profit opportunity. Instead of this USD buyers or JPY sellers sustainers slide on a difficult side of the markets.
Commodities Pairs like AUD-NZD-RUB-CAD shows deflective dynamics. In this scenario the GBP/CHF  chart indicates a slide sell side propency.

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Triangle Pattern

Durden Posted 31 July as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.3509, Date: 1st of September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Pattern #Triangle #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.2097 - 9.35089 - 9.6089

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.6089 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

D…
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2 Comments
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Durden 23 Aug.

The new greek politic issues can be view in a sell market side opportunities.
The HMM also privilege the bearish trade

Durden avatar
Durden 27 Aug.

The decision proposed by the Chinese authorities to devalue the renminbi give great volatility on the world market exchange. The interest rate decision in combination with the economic chinese releases make the EUR and the correlated pair ( CHF-SEK-NOK-PLN-GBP )  recovery a great profit opportunity. Instead of this USD buyers or JPY sellers sustainers slide on a difficult side of the markets.
Commodities Pairs like AUD-NZD-RUB-CAD shows deflective dynamics. In this scenario the AUD/JPY  chart indicates a slightly bullish regime forecast.

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Triangle Pattern

Durden Posted 31 July as Analysis on EUR/PLN, Target: 4.1897, Date: 1st of September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #PLN #Volatility #Pattern #Triangle #Rsi #EUR/PLN #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.15692 - 4.1897 - 4.21931 - 4.24804

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 4.15692 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.
…
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3 Comments
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Durden 23 Aug.

The new greek politic issues can be view in a sell market side opportunities.
The HMM also privilege the bearish trade.
The RSI instead could privilege a no trend forecast

Durden avatar
Durden 27 Aug.

The decision proposed by the Chinese authorities to devalue the renminbi give great volatility on the world market exchange. The interest rate decision in combination with the economic chinese releases make the EUR and the correlated pair ( CHF-SEK-NOK-PLN-GBP )  recovery a great profit opportunity. Instead of this USD buyers or JPY sellers sustainers slide on a difficult side of the markets.
Commodities Pairs like AUD-NZD-RUB-CAD shows deflective dynamics. In this scenario the EUR/PLN  chart indicates a bullish side propency .

Durden avatar
Durden 31 Aug.

The pair pattern is in a slightly sell side market trend.
The RSI and the Hidden markov processes suggest the possibility of a bearish forecast.

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Triangle on USD/DKK

Durden Posted 30 June as Analysis on USD/DKK, Target: 6.6589, Date: 3rd of August, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #DKK #USD #Bullish #Triangle #Rsi #USD/DKK #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 6.51008 - 6.65897 - 6.72302 - 6.87904 - 7.10829

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bullish triangle dynamics . The chart analysis indicates the bullish trend that can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bearish trend with a resistance area at 6.87904 . The channel can lead t…
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Durden 22 July

The dollar bearish dynamics against a basket of other major currencies has indicated  a possible retracement of the trend , as investors continued to mantain in profits from the greenback's recent rise probably as expectations for a U.S. rate hike still supported the currency.

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Durden 22 July

The euro slid lower on 21/07/2015 after Greece’s parliament passed the austerity measures demanded by the country’s creditors in order to support with a third bailout package.
The vote cleared the way for negotiations on a third bailout package to begin, but also raised doubts over the possibility of politics stability of the  government after many lawmakers in his left-wing  party voted against the deal. The DKK could privilege a beaish dynamics.
So bullish for the pair.

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