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More Losses for the USD/JPY

The USD/JPY had a remarkable run since the second half of 2016. We saw the pair rally by almost 2,000 pips from the lows to hit 118.65. But in the past few months the gains have stalled and recently the trendline underpinning the move higher has been broken, as you can see on the weekly chart below.
We’re already down by almost 700 pips right now but bodies in motion tend to stay in motion. And currencies in a downtrend tend to continue in that direction. I’m targeting more of the same during A…
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USD/JPY to Head Toward 111.00

I expect the USD/JPY to retrace a significant portion of its gains. The rally in the pair is reaching unsustainable levels. We’re now up by over 1,500 pips from the November lows. But as can be seen on the chart below, things could be changing. The trendline underpinning this move on the daily charts has been broken.
Our second chart below shows the situation on the lower timeframe charts. Here we see that the momentum has turned to the downside. We have a consensus between these two timeframes…
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New Zealand Dollar to Rally Further

The New Zealand Dollar is having a good year. The currency is up by 259 pips against the U.S. Dollar since January 1st. On our first chart below we see that after bottoming out in the middle of last year, it’s been a slow but steady grind higher.
This is confirmed further by looking at lower timeframe chart. Below we see the same momentum higher on the 4 Hour chart. I expect this to continue into year-end. The post-election USD rally seems to be exhausting itself and this should benefit my long …
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TInna avatar
TInna 1 Dec.

very well!

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Aussie Knocking on Crucial Resistance Area

The Aussie is knocking on a crucial 80 pips-wide resistance area. Look at our chart below. We’ve been testing this general area between 0.7677 and 0.7757 for the past several months. Each time the bulls got repelled at a different price inside this resistance cluster. But with each test, the odds increase that we will see a bullish breakout.
On our second chart below we can see that the AUD/USD has finally broke the downward sloping trendline. This is an important development and could give the…
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Cable to Break to the Downside?

Cable looks like it’s setting up for a break downward. The pair is no longer in an uptrend. The trendline supporting the latest rally has been broken in July. We’re also no longer seeing a sequence of higher highs and higher lows.
During July and August we’ve been in somewhat of a holding pattern. The GBP/USD bounced between 1.53 and 1.58. This is a relatively tight range, especially when compared to the other majors like the EUR/USD and USD/JPY, both of which saw over 700 pips swings during th…
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