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タグ・フィルター:  Trend Breakout
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EUR JPY lost its 1year rising trendline

The title already tells a lot about this analysis, but let's see it in details:
In this above weekly chart we see how price built a strong uptrend started last year in April 2013, and used twice as important support. Last bounce was not enough to reach new highs, showing weakness when approaching the resistance areas in 144s. Clearly momentum has changed and this is a good time to watch for lower levels:
On a closer look in daily chart, we see how the breakout came with important strength. Neare…
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scramble 2014年05月25日

The progression on the downside was not strong as expected: price found some buyers  in lower 138 area and stopped for a while.Still confirmed the overall scenario but at the moment not much confidence on a straight move.

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scramble 2014年06月13日

update: direction still confirmed. target is still highly possible considering this strong bearish week. Bounces expected near previous low into 136  area but I don't personally expect it to hold the pressure.

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USD CHF bounce and up.

During March and April 2014 market shown big uncertainty for a continuation to the downside in this instrument, finding a low near 0.870 right in the post-SNB interventation area (...).
As seen in the above monthly chart after the uncertainty, now market shows an interesting progression to the upside approaching quarterly opening rate 0.8925. The move is better seen in weekly timeframe:
The first touch down in 0.87 did not show much, but when second approach occurred 2 weeks ago (green arrow) ca…
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scramble 2014年05月25日

Market was able to conquer a bullish week and close higher than quarterly opening price (0.8925). the move was quite slow indeed I don't expect at the moment any strong moves on the instrument. More likely there will be some bounces between 0.9050 and 0.8930.

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scramble 2014年06月13日

update: direction and behavior confirmed. wondering if price will pass straight through the 0.91 line. Not clear atm! My expectations are anyway on a quick turn back in case of a straight move to 0.92 area. Possibilities for my target are in this case quite high. 2 weeks left, let's see

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