Communauté
Blog
Durden's Blog

Durden's Blog

Avatar

BEARISH DYNAMICS

Durden Publié 29 oct comme Analyse sur EUR/GBP, Cible: 0.7111, Date: 1 de décembre, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #GBP #EUR #Trend #Volatility #Bearish #EUR/GBP #Rsi #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICTORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 0.69331 - 0.70184 - 0.71106 - 0.74108

Weekly CHART PATTERNS : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/GBP pair is moving in a bearish dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator. US possible rate decision support the trend. The volatility and the volume are coherent with a possible bearish regime.

Daily VISION…
Lisez l'histoire complète
Traduire en Anglais Montrez l'original

Du fait que vous ne soyez pas identifié, nous ne connaissons pas votre langue mais nous supposons que c'est le Anglais
Veuillez vous identifier ou choisir une autre langue à traduire de la liste.

– ou –

5 Commentaires
Durden avatar
Durden 3 nov

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bearish regime. The Euro zone monetary policy can facilitate the selling regime.  The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly sell market side forecast. The pair EUR/GBP can have a -1.2 % at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 12 nov

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The EUR/GBP pattern  can have a - 0.2  %  as forecast  at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 24 nov

Economic  German releases support the slightly bullish forecast.    The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair EUR/GBP can have a 0.2 % at the Asian session opening. Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a  trendless regime.

Durden avatar
Durden 30 nov

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias slightly bearish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  slightly bearish  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/GBP  can have a  -0.2 % at the Asian session opening.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 déc

Great analysis

oupour laisser des commentaires
Avatar

BEARISH TREND

Durden Publié 27 oct comme Analyse sur CHF/JPY, Cible: 120.8930, Date: 1 de décembre, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #Trend #Trendline #Volatility #Bearish #CHF/JPY #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 115.189 - 119.903 - 120.981 - 122.217 - 125.991

Weekly CHART PATTERNS : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The pair is moving in bearish dynamics. The chart analysis and the Hidden Markov Models Analysis integrated with the RSI momentum indicator support the bearish tendency. The resistance zone is indicated at 125.991 and the support zone is at 115.189.

Daily VISION

The D1 scale indicate…
Lisez l'histoire complète
Traduire en Anglais Montrez l'original

Du fait que vous ne soyez pas identifié, nous ne connaissons pas votre langue mais nous supposons que c'est le Anglais
Veuillez vous identifier ou choisir une autre langue à traduire de la liste.

– ou –

4 Commentaires
Durden avatar
Durden 3 nov

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bearish regime.
The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly sell market side forecast. The pair CHF/JPY  can have a -0.7 % at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 12 nov

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a trendless  bias . The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The  CHF/JPY pattern  can have a -0.03  %  as forecast  at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 24 nov

The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  trendless    forecast. The pair  CHF/JPY can have a 0.01 % at the Asian session opening. Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a  trendless regime.

Durden avatar
Durden 30 nov

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias slightly bearish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  slightly bearish  market side forecast. The pair  CHF/JPY  can have a  -0.2 % at the Asian session opening.

oupour laisser des commentaires
Avatar

THE REGIME IS BEARISH

Durden Publié 22 sep comme Analyse sur CAD/HKD, Cible: 5.8492, Date: 2 de novembre, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #CAD #HKD #Trend #Support #Resistance #CAD/HKD #Bearish #Rsi #Trendlines #Hidden Markov Processes
[url=https://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/technical_analysis/?action=blog&nickname=Durden&post_id=64706#article][/url]
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 5.7798 - 5.8492 -6.0812

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

CAD/HKD is moving in a downtrend dynamics within a triangle. The chart analysis bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator. Hidden W scale analysis suggest 5.7798 as support zone and 6.0812 as resistance zone.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that CAD/HKD…
Lisez l'histoire complète
Traduire en Anglais Montrez l'original

Du fait que vous ne soyez pas identifié, nous ne connaissons pas votre langue mais nous supposons que c'est le Anglais
Veuillez vous identifier ou choisir une autre langue à traduire de la liste.

– ou –

3 Commentaires
foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 oct

Great analysis.  CAD recovery with GDP ?

Durden avatar
Durden 2 oct

The CAD/HKD  is in a slightly bullish regime. The CAD positive bias can be improved  by the PPI release. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.2 % at US closing market.

Durden avatar
Durden 8 oct

The pair shows a slightly bullish regime. But Hidden markov model and RSI support the +0.8% of the CAD pair again the HKD counterpart.
CAD  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime 

oupour laisser des commentaires
Avatar

BEARISH REGIME AT CAD/CHF

Durden Publié 22 sep comme Analyse sur CAD/CHF, Cible: 0.7109, Date: 2 de novembre, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #Trend #Volatility #Bearish #CAD/CHF #Rsi #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS : RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 0.6982 - 0.7029 - 0.71086 - 0.72197 - 0.75293 - 0.79002

Weekly CHARTS PATTERN : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

CAD/CHF is moving in a downtrend dynamics . The chart analysis bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator.

Daily VISION
The D1 scale indicates that CAD/CHF is in a slightly bearish trend channel. The chart analysis indicates 0.71086 as a possible key level pr…
Lisez l'histoire complète
Traduire en Anglais Montrez l'original

Du fait que vous ne soyez pas identifié, nous ne connaissons pas votre langue mais nous supposons que c'est le Anglais
Veuillez vous identifier ou choisir une autre langue à traduire de la liste.

– ou –

3 Commentaires
foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 oct

Great analysis.  CAD recovery with the GDP  ?

Durden avatar
Durden 2 oct

The  CAD/CHF  is in a slightly bullish regime. The CAD positive bias can be improved  by the PPI release. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.3 % at US closing market.

Durden avatar
Durden 8 oct

The pair shows a slightly bullish regime. But Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.2% of the CAD pair again the CHF counterpart.
CAD  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime

oupour laisser des commentaires
Avatar

BULLISH TREND

Durden Publié 31 aou comme Analyse sur EUR/NOK, Cible: 9.7231, Date: 1 de octobre, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #EUR #NZD #Trend #Volatility #Bullish #Rsi #EUR/NOK #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 8.1330 - 9.7231 - 9.8898

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bullish channel dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the bullish dynamics and can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bullish channel with a support zone at 9.8898 . The trend can lead to a possible bullish r…
Lisez l'histoire complète
Traduire en Anglais Montrez l'original

Du fait que vous ne soyez pas identifié, nous ne connaissons pas votre langue mais nous supposons que c'est le Anglais
Veuillez vous identifier ou choisir une autre langue à traduire de la liste.

– ou –

2 Commentaires
Durden avatar
Durden 3 sep

With the ECB release with the monetary policy meeting which is expected to keep unchanged the current monetary arrangement the pair EUR/NOK as a correlated pair probably could privilege a bullish regime.  As another element the China economy and the oil forecast can be assumed as anti-correlated regime with the EUR/NOK.

Durden avatar
Durden 15 sep

The EUR/NOK chart analysis and the hidden markov model integrated with the ZEW at 12.1 suggest a slightly bearish trend for the EU session.

oupour laisser des commentaires
Avatar

Bullish with resistance zone CHF/SGD

Durden Publié 17 juin comme Analyse sur CHF/SGD, Cible: 1.4730, Date: 3 de août, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #SGD #CHF #Trend #Bullish #Rsi #CHF/SGD #Resistance Zone #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 1.40812 - 1.47297 - 1.57892

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a slightly bullish dynamics . The chart analysis indicates the bullish trend that can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bullish channel with a resistance area at 1.47297 that can intercept the support line. The…
Lisez l'histoire complète
Traduire en Anglais Montrez l'original

Du fait que vous ne soyez pas identifié, nous ne connaissons pas votre langue mais nous supposons que c'est le Anglais
Veuillez vous identifier ou choisir une autre langue à traduire de la liste.

– ou –

3 Commentaires
Durden avatar
Durden 27 juin

In case of a greek  agreement found, as mentioned,  it is possible to see  a recovery of the euro and the euro correlted pair like CHF and GBP against the dollar. With no agreement, the scenario could be completely different, with the yen and the dollar to serve as potential bullish support.  Probably it is opportune to be outside this war and shift eventually the opportunity of profitable trading

Durden avatar
Durden 29 juin

The greek government, which failed to reach an agreement with creditors, it is possible that it is trying to get the support of the population with a referendum , in the likely event that Greece  exit the eurozone. It is possible that CHF can have a bearish retracement dynamics.

Durden avatar
Durden 22 juillet

The euro slid lower on 21/07/2015 after Greece’s parliament passed the austerity measures demanded by the country’s creditors in order to support with a third bailout package.
The vote cleared the way for negotiations on a third bailout package to begin, but also raised doubts over the possibility of politics stability of the  government after many lawmakers in his left-wing  party voted against the deal. The CHF could privilege a beaish dynamics.
So bullish for the pair.

oupour laisser des commentaires
Avatar

Bearish with retracement NZD/JPY

Durden Publié 31 mai comme Analyse sur NZD/JPY, Cible: 89.3010, Date: 1 de juillet, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #JPY #NZD #Trend #Bearish #NZD/JPY #Rsi #Retracement #Hidden Markov Processes

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 80.0012 - 84.001 - 85.302 - 88.087 - 89.301 - 93.86 . 99.8992

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bearish dynamics with a support line at 85.302 . The chart analysis integrated with the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI indicator support the trend.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bearish trend with a support at 85.301. …
Lisez l'histoire complète
Traduire en Anglais Montrez l'original

Du fait que vous ne soyez pas identifié, nous ne connaissons pas votre langue mais nous supposons que c'est le Anglais
Veuillez vous identifier ou choisir une autre langue à traduire de la liste.

– ou –

4 Commentaires
Durden avatar
Durden 14 juin

NZD interest rate at 3.25% give support for a bearish dynamics.  Hidden Markov Model applied to the pair can generate an objective price around 82 pips from actual price.
The RSI also support the bearish side of the market.

Durden avatar
Durden 27 juin

RBNZ published its Statement of Intent and took the opportunity to repeat once again that the "unjustified and unsustainable levels" of the New Zealand dollar (NZD) have significantly  not improved the country's economy, in addition to the  of the Australian and Chinese economies bearish trend and the sharp drop in the prices of  caseary products can lead the NZD dollars in a bearish  trend.

Durden avatar
Durden 27 juin

  The unemployment rate at 3.3%, . In addition, on an annual basis, inflation rose by 0.5%
Abeconomics strategy  to stimulate  inflation through consumer spending. For now, the policy of Shinzo Abe seems to work and the latest data show that the country is emerging from economic recession . So the pair could have a slightly bearish fundamentals support.

Durden avatar
Durden 29 juin

The RBNZ is probably committed to devalue the kiwi, so  bullish forecast.

oupour laisser des commentaires
Avatar

Bearish Channel EUR/NZD

Durden Publié 31 mai comme Analyse sur EUR/NZD, Cible: 1.4780, Date: 1 de juillet, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #EUR #NZD #Trend #Bearish #Rsi #Channel #Linear Regression Slope #EUR/NZD

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 1.47805 - 1.53983 - 1.61812

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bullish dynamics in a bearish channel with a resistance line at 1.53983. The chart analysis indicates the bearish retracement can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bullish cha…
Lisez l'histoire complète
Traduire en Anglais Montrez l'original

Du fait que vous ne soyez pas identifié, nous ne connaissons pas votre langue mais nous supposons que c'est le Anglais
Veuillez vous identifier ou choisir une autre langue à traduire de la liste.

– ou –

5 Commentaires
Durden avatar
Durden 14 juin

NZD interest rate at 3.25% give support for a bearish dynamics.  Hidden Markov Model applied to the pair can generate an objective price around 91 pips from actual price.
The RSI also support the bearish side of the market.

Durden avatar
Durden 27 juin

RBNZ published its Statement of Intent and took the opportunity to repeat once again that the "unjustified and unsustainable levels" of the New Zealand dollar (NZD) have significantly  not improved the country's economy, in addition to the  of the Australian and Chinese economies bearish trend and the sharp drop in the prices of  caseary products can lead the NZD dollars in a bearish  trend.

Durden avatar
Durden 27 juin

In case of a greek  agreement found, as mentioned,  it is possible to see  a recovery of the euro and the euro correlted pair like CHF and GBP against the dollar. With no agreement, the scenario could be completely different, with the yen and the dollar to serve as potential bullish support.  Probably it is opportune to be outside this war and shift eventually the opportunity of profitable trading

Durden avatar
Durden 29 juin

The greek government, which failed to reach an agreement with creditors, it is possible that it is trying to get the support of the population with a referendum , in the likely event that Greece  exit the eurozone. It is possible that  EUR can have a bearish retracement dynamics.

Durden avatar
Durden 29 juin

The RBNZ is probably committed to devalue the kiwi, so  bullish forecast.

oupour laisser des commentaires
Avatar

Bearish with retracement at NZD/CAD

Durden Publié 31 mai comme Analyse sur NZD/CAD, Cible: 0.8791, Date: 1 de juillet, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #CAD #NZD #Trend #Support #Resistance #Bearish #Rsi #NZD/CAD #Retracement #Hidden Markov Processes



Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 0.87187 - 0.92093 - 0.95997

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bearish dynamics with a possible retracement at the support line at 0.87187. The chart analysis indicates the bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is …
Lisez l'histoire complète
Traduire en Anglais Montrez l'original

Du fait que vous ne soyez pas identifié, nous ne connaissons pas votre langue mais nous supposons que c'est le Anglais
Veuillez vous identifier ou choisir une autre langue à traduire de la liste.

– ou –

2 Commentaires
Durden avatar
Durden 14 juin

NZD interest rate at 3.25% give support for a bearish dynamics.  Hidden Markov Model applied to the pair can generate an objective price around  69 pips from actual price.
The RSI also support the bearish side of the market.

Durden avatar
Durden 27 juin

RBNZ published its Statement of Intent and took the opportunity to repeat once again that the "unjustified and unsustainable levels" of the New Zealand dollar (NZD) have significantly  not improved the country's economy, in addition to the  of the Australian and Chinese economies bearish trend and the sharp drop in the prices of  caseary products can lead the NZD dollars in a bearish  trend.

oupour laisser des commentaires
Avatar

Bullish channel CHF/JPY

Durden Publié 30 mai comme Analyse sur CHF/JPY, Cible: 133.8129, Date: 1 de juillet, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #JPY #CHF #Trend #Bullish #CHF/JPY #Rsi #Channel #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 120.008 - 130.002 - 133.812

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a downtrend dynamics . The chart analysis bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bullish channel. The channel can lead to a possible bullish retracement in the triangle.

Forecast ev…
Lisez l'histoire complète
Traduire en Anglais Montrez l'original

Du fait que vous ne soyez pas identifié, nous ne connaissons pas votre langue mais nous supposons que c'est le Anglais
Veuillez vous identifier ou choisir une autre langue à traduire de la liste.

– ou –

3 Commentaires
Durden avatar
Durden 27 juin

The unemployment rate at 3.3%, . In addition, on an annual basis, inflation rose by 0.5%
Abeconomics strategy  to stimulate  inflation through consumer spending. For now, the policy of Shinzo Abe seems to work and the latest data show that the country is emerging from economic recession . So the pair could have a slightly bearish fundamentals support.

Durden avatar
Durden 27 juin

In case of a greek  agreement found, as mentioned,  it is possible to see  a recovery of the euro and the euro correlted pair like CHF and GBP against the dollar. With no agreement, the scenario could be completely different, with the yen and the dollar to serve as potential bullish support.  Probably it is opportune to be outside this war and shift eventually the opportunity of profitable trading

Durden avatar
Durden 29 juin

The greek government, which failed to reach an agreement with creditors, it is possible that it is trying to get the support of the population with a referendum , in the likely event that Greece  exit the eurozone. It is possible that  CHF can have a bearish retracement dynamics.

oupour laisser des commentaires
Plus