alcatraz的博客

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It´s FED Day - Whats the current outlook

Today at 19:00 GMT the well known FOMC minutes take place. Afaik there will be no press conference or additional forecasts so lets take possible actions or shifts by the numbers.
Reported dureable goods order fell by -3.4% vs. 0.5% expected m/m. A prior report was revised to -2.1% from -0.7% which is now the fifth consequtive month of more flat or negative readings.
If we dig down the available data the numbers start getting worse.
The Q4 GDP gets marked down a few ticks. Perhaps the most negati…
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DumbAsArock avatar

Thanks for the compliment. To answer your question, yes, I've been to Aruba. Tip: avoid the casinos there. They are the crookedest ones I've ever seen!

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SNB ends Cap... made 1600 Pips in seconds....


Ahhh, what a nice 1600 Pip trade. Wished i had more money to pile in.
For those who dont know. The SNB ended the cap right today so its going back to free float. Hope nobody was burned.
Take care
AL
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Albertoplatto avatar

Nice one

Agnessa26 avatar
Agnessa26 16 1月

Хорошая работа!

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Todays NFP conclusion

Today the U.S. NFP data were somewhat of a little surpise concerning the moves which are not typical. I like to write something about how a trader should face this specific event if somebody of you like to trade it.
The average consensus of 240k was beaten by 252k for december. However there are some factors which may get one into a cold start of the new year:
Wages: Right with the job count values, one should note about wages. The average hourly earnings (YoY) went down by 0.4% to 1.7%. This va…
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verindur avatar
verindur 10 1月

Of course not. You are so smart. ))))))) And you are always right.

alcatraz avatar
alcatraz 10 1月

Hello Verindur. If i d be always right, i would be rich. ;) Thanks for the kind words. Greetings to India and wishing you tons of pips.

verindur avatar
verindur 10 1月

Thank You. ))))))) Don't worry. We are growing rich together.

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About the swiss gold referendum...

A little note from me today after the month end flows which were hopefully successful for all of you.
This week on Sunday, the Switzerland gold referendum will be eyed most in the forex world.
Why is this referendum so much important and how may it affect the markets?
We got to see first what is this all about:
1. Referendum will enforce the SNB to hold all gold reserves in the country.
2. Gold reserves should not fall below 20 %.
3. The referendum will enforce SNB to not sell gold.
If th…
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AUD/USD RBA Statement Tonite

Current situation. AUD/USD is drifting slightly on the offer side awaiting for the RBA quarterly Stamement on Monetary Policy which involves forecasting of growth and inflation levels. As it seems, there will be no significant changes to the outlook since there were just few changes to the monetary policy stance mentioned in the post decision press release a couple of days ago. As usual when those kind of information are published, nobody really knows what will happen at least. However my perso…
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khalidamassi avatar

my dear please accept my advice, do not be overconfident in Forex... processional trader always have different scenarios ... thanks

alcatraz avatar
alcatraz 9 5月

I am surely not, thanks.

Jignesh avatar
Jignesh 9 5月

Good job on catching the inverted H&S and sticking with it!

Likerty avatar
Likerty 9 5月

I'm terribly bearish on this one:))

alcatraz avatar
alcatraz 9 5月

I d go with the mid term. Good luck. :)

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What to expect from RBNZ interest rate decision

Economic indicators like GDP and business confidence are supporting another rate hike. It is expected that the RBNZ is raising its rates to 3.00% in April. However analysts got a mixed view on this issue.
Dairy product prices, which are one of new zealands most exported products have seen a straight fall by 16% since the latest decision which could lead to affect RBNZ growth forecast .
Another issue could be the current inflation which has printed weaker (0.3%) than the expected 0.5% for Q1 2014…
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VictoriaVika avatar

Best of luck to you.

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What to expect from BOC interest rate decision today

The january statement was unchanged (1.00%) by policymakers. Last time governor Poloz metioned about weak inflation and the remaining slowdown in exports so that central bank officials were concerned enough to keep a door open for a rate cut later on.
However the latest set of data from canada were mixed. Some decent improvement in job figures stand against slight downturns in manufacturing. Jobs rate increased by 42.9k in march while a fall by 7.2k in february leaded to a jobless rate of 6.9%. …
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