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Durden's Blog

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 16 Mar.  in #Trader's blog
Weekly VISION
HMM framework for the CHF/JPY pair suggest a no regime dynamics for the cross pair. The study admit a possible 7,72% to have an appreciation of the pair value. This study admits a Support level price at - 80 Pips with a reference price value calculated at (venerdì 16 marzo 2018 13:15). The chart analysis also give support to a no distinctdirection. An indication of the % variation for the D1 (GMT clock) candle close can be computed with an objective value less than a + 0,5%.
Volume…
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Technical analysis

Durden Posted 1 Feb.  in #Trader's blog #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , Standard Dev (SD), RSI, MA, Volatility, Volume
The traders inspired in statistical trading (HMM in this study) can find some indications studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
The cross can be considered as in a bullish regime. To ratify this review are tested two different methodology. The HMM that give a quantitative value to the probability of buy and the chart analysis…
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NZDCAD

Durden Posted 2 Sep.  in #Trader's blog
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 0.8687 0.93298
Weekly Charts pattern : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly Vision
The pair is moving in a no bias regime with a possible retracement at the support area at 0.8687. The chart analysis indicates the bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator.
Daily Vision
The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bearish regime with a resistance zone at 0.92087. The tre…
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Trading

Durden Posted 11 Dec.  in #Trader's blog #Hidden Markov Processes
CAD/CHF is moving in a bullish dynamics with a support zone at 0.7298. The chart analysis indicates the bullish retracement dynamics. It could be be supported by the slowing RSI momentum indicator. The Hidden Markov Indicator is coherent with a slightly bullish retracement. The 0.77092 area is evaluated as resistance area.
Daily VISION
The D1 scale indicates that CAD/CHF is in a slightly bullish regime. The chart analysis indicates 0.7683 as a possible key level price. This resistance area could…
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Durden Posted 30 Nov.  in #Trader's blog #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS : RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 0.7298 0.7707 0.80001
Weekly CHARTS PATTERN : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

CAD/CHF is moving in a bullish dynamics with a support zone at 0.7298. The chart analysis indicates the bullish retracement dynamics. It could be be supported by the slowing RSI momentum indicator. The Hidden Markov Indicator is coherent with a slightly bullish retracement. The 0.77092 area is evaluated as resistance area.
Daily VISION

The…
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Technical analysis

Durden Posted 5 July  in #Trader's blog
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 0.7002 0.7191 0.8000

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bearish dynamics with a possible retracement at the support line at 0.7002. The chart analysis indicates the bearish trend are coherent with the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. The chart analysis support the bearish regime.

Daily Vision

The D1 sca…
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HMM

Durden Posted 11 May  in #Trader's blog #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.15777 9.32198
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a bearish pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.32198 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.
FORECAST EVALUATION
To give an…
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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 2 Mar.  in #Trader's blog
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.58907 1.68033 1.69998
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance line at 1.69998. The chart analysis indicates the bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is in agreement with a slightly bullish tendency.
Daily VISION
The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is …
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USD/MXN

Durden Posted 8 Feb.  in #Trader's blog
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 17.32291 17.82908 18.80122
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
TheUSD/MXN pair is moving in a slightly bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 18.80122. The chart analysis indicates a bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.
Daily VISION
The D1 scale in…
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TRENDLESS REGIME

Durden Posted 5 Feb.  in #Trader's blog

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 8.60907 8.67297 8.9997

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The pair USD/DKK is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 8.9997. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency. The chart can suggest a bea…
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