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Thomson: The Day Ahead-15.09.2016

THE DAY AHEAD - NORTH AMERICA
Thursday Sept 15 - 2016
Thomson Reuters
SHARING is POWER
Upcoming Key Economic Events
BIAS-USD: Slightly Bullish vs. Commodity-driven only, not Safe-havens
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anna_n avatar
anna_n 29 Set

Cremelady  +1

anna_n avatar
anna_n 29 Set

FXRabbit seems you got your cookie from Nihad )) let us get ours)))

Julia_Zhulinskaya avatar

FXRabbit just curious what have you send to him? :)

Julia_Zhulinskaya avatar

All what I have foreseen for you almost year ago comes true)) I am SO glad! Congratulations on your new status, my dukascopy friend!

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Astro-Trading, does it work? (Financial Crisis Backtest)


When I came across astro-trading, thought to myself "What the...?", but my endeavor to research every possible way of trading.
Therefore, decided to conduct unbiased research on the subject.
With no prior knowledge, started a new chapter in my trading tools.
After grasping the concept, decided to do a backtest before applying it to markets, I selected financial crisis.
If Astro can predict market direction and timing, then it should at least do timing: the case with financial crisis, right?
A
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Efegen avatar
Efegen 12 Lug

You should definitely enter article contest!!

Nihad avatar
Nihad 12 Lug

Thx bro, I am. Here is my latest "GameChanger",
https://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/fx-article-contest/?Game-Changer-Series-Nitrous-Tradometer&action=read&id=2833

CharmingRimma avatar

Nihad unbelievable thoughts! wish it bring you money for ticket to your dreamland!

Nihad avatar
Nihad 28 Ago

CharmingRimma Money was never a problem, I do it for the love of the game, thx Rimma

anna_n avatar
anna_n 28 Ago

Nihad what else you do for love? :) ))))

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Nihad's Library: Stocks in 10 minutes (Video)


How the stock market works is a complete book chapter addressing Capital Markets.
You need not less than 4 hours to read it, and 8 hours (reading it twice) to grasp it.
Watching this video three times in 30 minutes, saves you 12 hours and a more solid understanding.
It simply focuses on what you need to know with a straight forward example as an application.
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Jenny26 25 Feb

ok)

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CRUDE: Release the Kraken

I am posting this on behalf of a commodity called CRUDE,
yeah, yeah, that one that used to burn until recently,
that's it:
CRUDE: I am not just burning now
CRUDE (shouting): RELEASE THE KRAKEN.
So, let's wait & see what voodoo he is talking about
And you know,if anything wrong happened, blame it on CHINA

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Song dedicated to the EURO: ALL of ME BEARISH

I am not fond of Indian songs, but I liked this one, especially When I read it this way:

All of Me (BEARISH).
ON HIGH LEVERAGE TOO
So I decided to dedicate this song mainly to the EURO this week.
Sorry EURO, nothing personal, your Super Mario decided to use BAZOOKAs.
Markets decided to help.
I have seen the CROSSES stacking,
the minimum I came across was: the mighty S4 and TOMAHAWKS

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Nihad 12 Gen

To Rationalize my last statement, I would quote ECB's VASILIAUSKAS today @13:58 GMT

"Low oil price is the new reality, we should get used to, it PROVIDES BENEFITS TO GROWTH, AND CONSUMERS REAL INCOME; ECB should focus on Core Inflation".
This is the same case with Japan and USA : "Recessionary Gaps"

Nihad avatar
Nihad 12 Gen

Update: The 10 Std lots closed @ profit of 35 pips. Brent is being pushed to a close below 30, currently @ 30.51. Re-entering @ 1556-1557 on heavy leverage based on Brent's performance

Nihad avatar
Nihad 12 Gen

Here is the Log for the trade above the bulk of 10 StdLots @ 1552, the profit is ONLY 25 pips not 35 pips

Nihad avatar
Nihad 12 Gen

I Rentered on 4 positions, 2 of them @ 1553 handle on HEAVY lots (20+10), price stayed in this region for 5 minutes during the entire hour, highlighted on the chart. Triple lower tops, operator is not bailing out buyers locked in at the top of the buying wave, confirming DISTRIBUTION. @ the 1553 a couple of 5p lots were pressed, this operator never used 5p since Friday, last week close. I infer its the BoC.
BRENT in the last 2 hours recovered from the 30.60 and currently 31.12 (+52 Cents). Recording 1665 Contracts, the highest hourly volume since 7 Jan.
THANK the MIGHTY LORD

Nihad avatar
Nihad 12 Gen

CAD MORNEAU Update @ 19:28 GMT:
Canadians are concerned about the fall in the C$
DECLINES to predict where the C$ is going to
We are PAYING ATTENTION to the C$
Q: C$ 10 BLN budget deficit in the Campaign. A: Declined indirectly

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RBA WRAP-UP (Aug 2016:Is it AUSSIE's time??)

A Quick Wrap up of the RBA for future reference:
  1. Accommodating policy as appropriate to based on outlook assessment.
  2. Reasonable Chance A$ to decline further once FED hikes (if any).
  3. Past FALL in A$ to support economy in face of lower terms of trade.
  4. GDP revised lower to reflect slower population growth.(2-3%-2015/16,2.5-4% 2016/17)
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Nihad avatar
Nihad 10 Ago

al_dcdemo From the beginning of September, I will be issuing a monthly reports of Central FX reserves and will call it "Commitments of Centrals", :)). Am not kidding

Nihad avatar
Nihad 10 Ago

al_dcdemo I will publish it here in Dukascopy

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Nihad 11 Ago

al_dcdemo The big move came from PBoC hahaahahahah

Nihad avatar
Nihad 11 Ago

al_dcdemo Remember the call on the GBPAUD for 2240??, its about time.

al_dcdemo avatar

USD/CHF: Maybe you're right, Franc is still a strong currency. But good ol' fake breakout may not be excluded.
GBP/AUD: I was thinking pullback to ~2.05 now that RBA is less dovish and BOE less hawkish. We'll see what happens after today's PBOC move.
EUR/NZD: Was stopped out, SL too tight. Looking to re-renter.

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Nihad's: CRX SHORTS (Live Test 29.06-1 MIN)

This is the Live Test result for the CRX Indicator on the SHORT side for the 1 MIN. Screenshots every 4 hours are posted below:
  • Currency= GBPNZD
  • Testing Period: 7 a.m 29.06.15 - 00:00 a.m 30.06.15
  • Day's HIGH= 2311
  • Day's LOW= 2286
  • Day's Range= 250 Pips
  • Total Trades= 148/2 = 74 Trades.
  • Trades Won = 64 Trades.
  • Trades Lost = 10 Trades.
  • Win-Loss Ratio: 86%.
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ForexSpeaker avatar

interested Nihad
but it s on TOS mm  which programme language you use for ?

Nihad avatar
Nihad 13 Gen

ForexSpeaker Glad so you find it. On TOS you can only ThinkScript,the language on TOS. ThinkScript has one pro and one. The pro is the its very very easy to learn,there I used it to create on the spot indicators (its called Studies on TOS) and  entry and exit signals (strategies). The con is you can use recursion (historical candles) only in the backtesting mode, you cannot deploy a strategy that uses recursion in LIVE mode.

Nihad avatar
Nihad 13 Gen

ForexSpeaker Therefore, I only get the Pro of it by visualizing my trading logic, and then collect the pieces of logic on another.  Hope this answers your question

ForexSpeaker avatar

Nihad  proud that you are egyptian LOL
actually  FADE  trade idea it s highly risk .. but this result it s great really
if you are interested in automated trading . i would like to share with you a coursera course in Computational Investing,
it s amazing and i follow actually this course in the begging in this month (the simulated in PYTHON )
https://www.coursera.org/learn/computational-investing/home/welcome
keep going Bro i follow to your article it was grea speacially th 3D one ...

Nihad avatar
Nihad 13 Gen

ForexSpeaker Am glad you are. My strategy is only possible with Genetics and Event-driven (functional)  programming, Genetics can be deployed on Java using JGAP, while Functional programming can be used in JAVA 8 Lambda expressions. This makes JAVA my ultimate choice, Dukascopy platforms are based on JAVA frameworks and they are on my top-10 tier 2 brokers, making them the ultimate choice for my algorithm trading, the reason am here in the first place.

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Nihad's: CRX LONGS (Live Test 29.06-15 MIN)

This is the Live Test result for the CRX Indicator on the LONG side for the 15 MIN. Screenshots every 4 hours are posted below:
  • Currency= GBPNZD
  • Testing Period: 7 a.m 29.06.15 - 00:00 a.m 30.06.15
  • Day's HIGH= 2311
  • Day's LOW= 2286
  • Day's Range= 250 Pips
  • Total Trades= 8/2 = 4 Trades.
  • Trades Won = 4 Trades.
  • Trades Lost = 0 Trades.
  • Win-Loss Ratio: 100%.
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Nihad's: CRX LONGS (Live Test 29.06-5 MIN)

This is the Live Test result for the CRX Indicator on the LONG side for the 5 MIN. Screenshots every 4 hours are posted below:
  • Currency= GBPNZD
  • Testing Period: 7 a.m 29.06.15 - 00:00 a.m 30.06.15
  • Day's HIGH= 2311
  • Day's LOW= 2286
  • Day's Range= 250 Pips
  • Total Trades= 18/2 = 9 Trades.
  • Trades Won = 8 Trades.
  • Trades Lost = 1 Trade.
  • Win-Loss Ratio: 88%.
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Nihad's: CRX LONGS (Live Test 29.06-1 MIN)

This is the Live Test result for the CRX Indicator on the LONG side for the 1 MIN. Screenshots every 4 hours are posted below:
  • Currency= GBPNZD
  • Testing Period: 7 a.m 29.06.15 - 00:00 a.m 30.06.15
  • Day's HIGH= 2311
  • Day's LOW= 2286
  • Day's Range= 250 Pips
  • Total Trades= 134/2 = 67 Trades.
  • Trades Won = 60 Trades.
  • Trades Lost = 7 Trades.
  • Win-Loss Ratio: 90%.
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