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GBP/JPY 3rd Oct.

GUANYINDIZI Posted 15 Ago as Analysis on GBP/JPY, Target: 126.5, Date: 3 di Ottobre, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/JPY
Tech; BOLL 20 2 2 EMA
On the daily chart, it is looking scary, because it has been endlessly falling without touching the lower bound of the Bollinger Bands.
But it will rebounce in the next 2 days, upper resistance is un-predictable, because it can be balanced by the appreciation of YEN.
On the monthly chart, it should hit below 120, that would happen in Sep. . Mainly driven by the YEN, that GBP would be on its rebounce during this period. The red line level 119 should be where it becomes stead…
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MR_KHALEDBADRY avatar
MR_KHALEDBADRY 9 Set

nice

TInna avatar
TInna 9 Set

super!

zarina avatar
zarina 9 Set

interesting opinion

Yulia10 avatar
Yulia10 9 Set

great

GUANYINDIZI avatar
GUANYINDIZI 24 Set

回顾日本央行从QE到QEE之路，可以发现日元汇率并没有被打压下行，反而在本轮美元指数走强中同样走强，其内在原因有以下几个：
　　一是日本经常项目和资本与金融项目双顺差，意味着对日元的供不应求，而近期日本金融项目也开始呈现明显的资金流入态势。
　　二是日本央行已经实施了负利率，对于国际资金而言，其未来宽松的空间极小，因此货币宽松对于日元汇率的负面影响处于极值水平。货币政策接近极限的情况下，市场对日元因货币宽松而继续下跌的预期大幅降低，且其他国家的不断宽松也使得日本与其他国家的实际利率差在缩小。
　　三是套息、套利交易使得日元资产受市场青睐。数据显示，中国央行和全球最大债券基金PIMCO正大量购买负利率日本国债，其背后的盈利逻辑是美元持有者通过交叉货币基差互换进行套利。负利率不断推升市场对美元资产的疯狂需求，导致基差在去年一年几近翻番，高达65bp，临近2011年高点。
　　具体来看，美元资产持有者通过在同业拆借市场上借出美元，换回日元。从目前的LIBOR数据来看，3个月日元LIBOR为-0.03%，3个月美元LIBOR为0.81%，而基差为65bp。借入日元后购买3个月日本国债，虽然国债本身为负利率，但通过此交易可使得收益率转正，并能够提前锁定3个月后的可观利润。
　　在实施负利率之后，我们看到日本银行业遭遇负利率的负面冲击越来越明显。里昂证券数据显示，最近日本一家主要银行从货币基金

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USD/JPY 3rd Oct.

GUANYINDIZI Posted 15 Ago as Analysis on USD/JPY, Target: 96.5, Date: 3 di Ottobre, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/JPY
Tech; BOLL 20 2 2 EMA
In the last two weeks, the movements were mainly driven by fundamentals. Now the 1 hr, 4hr, daily charts are having no directions.
Take a look at the 4 hr chart, there is a large gap from the current price to the lower bound of the bollinger bands. But even larger from the top. The preference is downward.
If we take a look at the monthy chart, it is bearish , the target is 93.7, but will take months to come, upper resisitance is at around 105.
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zarina avatar
zarina 9 Set

101 strong level

Yulia10 avatar
Yulia10 9 Set

very good

GUANYINDIZI avatar
GUANYINDIZI 9 Set

@rupesh1984,  I admit it would be a mistake for 93 in Sep., perhaps won't reach it till 2017,  but maket moves with suprise too, 97 is likely

GUANYINDIZI avatar
GUANYINDIZI 28 Set

its under pressure,  may 100.4 and below, brace for impact if taking long

GUANYINDIZI avatar
GUANYINDIZI 29 Set

1st res at 101.78

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AUD/USD two weeks ahead

GUANYINDIZI Posted 14 Ago as Analysis on AUD/USD, Target: 0.78550, Date: 3 di Ottobre, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #AUD/USD
On the 4hr chart, it is on the down trend, with out any hope, due to a previous long solid red candle put in place.
It is downtrend on the daily chart as well, the proposed bottom is at 0.7440, where a samller wave A was ended there, and that is below the lower bound of bollinger bands. A splash fall in the next few days hits below the lower bound ending with a lower shadow, is likely. But don't take long positions right away, will have to wait for at least one day.
It is not that pessimistic o…
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TInna avatar
TInna 9 Set

well done

zarina avatar
zarina 9 Set

good analysis

Yulia10 avatar
Yulia10 9 Set

good job

GUANYINDIZI avatar
GUANYINDIZI 2 Ott

S1 0.7597

GUANYINDIZI avatar
GUANYINDIZI 2 Ott

RS1 0.7760

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USD/CAD two weeks ahead

GUANYINDIZI Posted 14 Ago as Analysis on USD/CAD, Target: 1.29, Date: 3 di Ottobre, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/CAD
Tech; BOLL 20 2 2 EMA
On the daily chart, the proposed level is to hit the lower band of the bollinger bands in the next few days, so that 1.29 is a conservative figure.
In the last 20 days, having more than doubled traded volume with almost sluggish upward movement, that makes it a signicant top.
The selling level on the 4hr chart, which is sell 1 , happened during off peak hours, most people would have missed out.
On the 1hr chart, it becomes stealthy , there are 2 lower shadows at A lev…
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rupesh1984 avatar
rupesh1984 9 Set

i m buyer in usdcad, for me its going to be up.

MR_KHALEDBADRY avatar
MR_KHALEDBADRY 9 Set

nice

TInna avatar
TInna 9 Set

отлично!

zarina avatar
zarina 9 Set

Most likely it will !

Yulia10 avatar
Yulia10 9 Set

very good analysis!

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GBP/ USD Ranges for the next 90mins

GUANYINDIZI Posted 28 Lug as Analysis on GBP/USD, Target: 1.31.78, Date: 1 di Settembre, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/USD
It is on the 4th wave which is up, but won't go to far, shall finish at 132.18.
The incomng 5th wave is downward, and could be prolonged to 7th wave, that finishes the down side
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rupesh1984 avatar
rupesh1984 9 Set

gbp/usd sick pair, never predict anything,they always surprised you with their action.

MR_KHALEDBADRY avatar
MR_KHALEDBADRY 9 Set

good job

TInna avatar
TInna 9 Set

well done

GUANYINDIZI avatar
GUANYINDIZI 9 Set

@rupesh1984, for me its the 3rd most profitable pair, euro is a lot more unpredictable

Yulia10 avatar
Yulia10 9 Set

nice

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USD/JPY

GUANYINDIZI Posted 22 Lug as Analysis on USD/JPY, Target: 106.40, Date: 1 di Settembre, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/JPY
On the 30min chart . It is now on the 3rd rising wave, where the 4th wave is downward, and there will be a 5th which is rising, it is safe to take a long position now
The 5min chart is up trend , it will be safe if it does not break the middle line of bollingger bands
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GUANYINDIZI avatar
GUANYINDIZI 31 Ago

多空放天量较量， 宝宝刚才只想做空十个点，但是害怕， 大家晚安

GUANYINDIZI avatar
GUANYINDIZI 31 Ago

明天有望继续上攻

rupesh1984 avatar
rupesh1984 9 Set

super :)

TInna avatar
TInna 9 Set

отличная работа!

Yulia10 avatar
Yulia10 9 Set

well done

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