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Predicting CAC 40

The uncertainty surrounding France's upcoming elections appeared to ratchet up for debt investors as the premium over Germany that France pays to borrow in bond markets climbed to its highest in three years.
The chances that one of the two established political parties will regain power in May's vote was seen as diminishing after the Socialists have picked a hard-left candidate and as Conservative leader Francois Fillon battled to contain a scandal over fake pay.
Opinion polls showed centrist ca…
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VAIBS1991 22 Mar.

Investors are continuing  to focus on political developments in France ahead of the highly-anticipated presidential election scheduled next month.Concerns over the French presidential election have slightly eased after centrist Emmanuel Macron appeared to come out on top in a televised debate against his main rival, far-right anti-EU leader Marine Le Pen.
Meanwhile, the Financial Times reported that center-right candidate Francois Fillon is now facing claims he allegedly sought to profit financially from ties to Russian President Vladimir Putin.

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Anticipating EUR/USD

Recently Trump officials have expressed concern about the strength of the dollar or, as Navarro complained, about other currencies being undervalued. The OECD confirms. Its models see the euro at nearly 25% undervalued, sterling almost 16.5% undervalued and the yen 11% under-valued. The Mexican peso, whose marked depreciation has been exacerbated by comments from Trump, is undervalued, according to the OECD, by 147%. I think we will see some appreciation of EUR/USD in February 2017 as the Fed is…
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VAIBS1991 13 Feb.

In Euro area household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 56 percent of its total use, followed by government expenditure (21 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (20 percent). Net exports of goods and services adds 4 percent to the GDP. Euro Area's gross domestic product expanded 0.5 % (QoQ) and 1.8 %t (YoY)r in the fourth quarter of 2016 which was better the market expectations. Among countries for which data is already available, GDP growth has picked up in France, Belgium, Latvia and Lithuania and was unchanged in Spain and Austria.

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Predicting HKG.IDX

There has been a rally of more than 30% in HKG.IDX from February 2016 lows. After touching the high of 24400 in September 2016 HKG.IDX has been trading sideways with a recent break on the down side.
I am expecting the HKG.IDX to hold on to the gains made this year with a correction of may be 3-4 % more. So my price target is 22200 for 1st December 2016.
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