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Durden的博客

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden 发布18 1月 为分析在 SGD/JPY , Target: 85.189, 日期: 1 于 3月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #Rsi #SGD/JPY #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , Standard Dev (SD), RSI, MA, Volatility, Volume
The traders inspired in statistical trading (HMM in this study) can find some indications studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
The cross can be considered as in a bullish regime. To ratify this review are tested two different methodology. The HMM that give a quantitative value to the probability of buy and the chart analysis…
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8 意见
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Durden 24 2月

La coppia può manifestare una lateralizzazione. 
HMM e RSI sembrano suggerire una possibile fase di indecisione.

Durden avatar
Durden 26 2月

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 8, 64, 329
caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia attualmente 19:10:18 nei TF 5 Min
suggeriscono dei regimi di bearish.
Le analisi sui volumi non sembrano contrapporsi
al regime di Sell o laterale.

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Durden 27 2月

La chart analysis denotano una predominanza bearish.
Le analisi Markoviane suggeriscono la possibilità di un ritracciamento in buy.

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Durden 28 2月

I grafici dei prezzi  alle 21:15 consentono una valutazione  di tipologia mercato in vendita. Lo studio dei processi Markoviani consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish. In H8 chart è possible valutare un modello sulla possible raggruppamento di livelli della SD a
9.00 questo unito a un valore di RSI di 87.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell.

Durden avatar
Durden 1 3月

Suggerimenti laterali con lo studio dei dei risultati hidden.
Le analisi dei grafici invece potrebbero  suggerire  possibili ritracciamenti bearish.
In generale se si dovesse entrare in sell intorno alle 09:30:00  si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.25 STDEV.

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BEARISH DYNAMICS

Durden 发布30 4月 为分析在 SGD/JPY , Target: 80.003, 日期: 1 于 6月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #JPY #SGD #Rsi #SGD/JPY #Hidden Markov Processes

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 77.997 80.003

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The SGD/JPY pair is moving in a bearish dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the possible retracement at the support line at 77.997. The retracement can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis. The RSI and the volatility support the regime.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bear…
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6 意见
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Durden avatar
Durden 2 5月

Slightly bearish dynamics for the US session HMM analysis for the pair

Durden avatar
Durden 11 5月

The study of the hidden markov models support the slightly bullish regime for the US session

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Durden 17 5月

The chart analysis and the hidden markov model support the slightly bullish
regime.
The dynamics of  JPY economy can lead to a bullish regime, the monetary policy and the oil analysis also can give support to this study

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 6月

great analysis : )

Durden avatar
Durden 1 6月

But the Yen recovery could not improve the forecast : )

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden 发布31 3月 为分析在 SGD/JPY , Target: 84.2907, 日期: 1 于 5月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #Rsi #SGD/JPY #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 80.02902 84.2908 86.091

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a no bias dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the retracement at the support line at 80.02902. The bullish retracement can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis. The RSI and the volatility support the regime.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bullish regime. The…
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6 意见
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Durden avatar
Durden 19 4月

No bias regime, HMM slightly bullish

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Durden 27 4月

The Hidden Markov indicators suggest the possibility of a no bias regime for the US session

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Durden 28 4月

The  RSI and HMM  are coherent with a bearish regime for the pair

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Durden 29 4月

The bearish regime for the pair  could dominate the US session, the HMM and the RSI are coherent with the selling regime

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Durden 30 4月

The SGD/JPY  is in a bearish dynamics and could be supported in consideration of the Hidden Markov indicator 

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TRENDLESS REGIME

Durden 发布29 2月 为分析在 SGD/JPY , Target: 81.2977, 日期: 1 于 4月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #JPY #SGD #Rsi #SGD/JPY #Hidden Markov Processes
[b]Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
[/b]

Key price levels : 80.0001 81.2977 82.831

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The SGD/JPY pair is moving in a bearish dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the possible retracement at the support line at 80.0001. The retracement can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis. The RSI and the volatility support the regime.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is …
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3 意见
Durden avatar
Durden 2 3月

The SGD/JPY  chart analysis is coherent with a no bias regime domination.
The HM  indicator and the RSI are coherent with a  bullish regime.
The resistance line at  82.01 can suggest a retracement.

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Durden 9 3月

HMM and RSI are coherent with a slightly bearish regime, the chart analysis and the US economic release support the no bias dynamics.

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Durden 23 3月

The chart analysis for the SGD/JPY  and Hidden Markov indicator are coherent with a bearish regime.
83.001 as possible resistance zone.

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden 发布31 1月 为分析在 SGD/JPY , Target: 85.893 , 日期: 1 于 3月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #Rsi #SGD/JPY #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 82.830 85.893 86.108

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bearish dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the retracement at the support line at 83.329. The bullish retracement can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis. The RSI and the volatility support the regime.

Daily Vision
The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bullish regime. The two level at 85.89…
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3 意见
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Durden 31 1月

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair  SGD/JPY  can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 5 2月

The pair is in a bullish dynamics, the HMM and the RSI could support the regime.

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Durden 23 2月

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  sellers market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bullish regime.  The chart analysis and the Standard dev analysis are coherent with a SGD/JPY bearish market.

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TRENDLESS REGIME

Durden 发布31 12月 为分析在 SGD/JPY , Target: 85.2983, 日期: 1 于 2月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #Rsi #SGD/JPY #Hidden Markov Processes
[b]Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
[/b]

Key price levels : 82.923 85.2983 87.9887

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bearish dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the possible retracement at the support line at 82.923. The retracement can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis. The RSI and the volatility support the regime.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a tren…
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3 意见
Durden avatar
Durden 14 1月

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias - slightly bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buying market side forecast. The pair SGD/JPY  can have a  -0.29 %  at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 28 1月

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly  bullish regime.
The SGD/JPY  pair  can have a + 0.7  %  at the Asian session opening. 

Durden avatar
Durden 31 1月

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair  SGD/JPY  can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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TRENDLESS REGIME WITH HMM

Durden 发布26 11月 为分析在 SGD/JPY , Target: 87.9177, 日期: 1 于 1月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #JPY #SGD #Rsi #SGD/JPY #Hidden Markov Processes

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 83.812 87.082 87.917 92.8002

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in with a no bias dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the possible retracement at the support line at 87.082. The retracement can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis. The RSI and the volatility support the regime.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern …
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2 意见
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Durden 30 11月

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias - slightly bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buying market side forecast. The pair SGD/JPY  can have a    +0.02 %  at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 13 12月

The SGD/JPY pair can have a bearish retracement in consideration of the HMM forecast.

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TRENDLESS REGIME

Durden 发布30 9月 为分析在 SGD/JPY , Target: 83.3290, 日期: 2 于 11月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #JPY #SGD #Volatility #Rsi #SGD/JPY #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 83.329 - 86.830

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bearish dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the possible retracement at the support line at 83.329. The retracement can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis. The RSI and the volatility support the regime.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a trendless channel. The two …
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3 意见
foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 10月

Great analysis.

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Durden 2 10月

The SGD/JPY is in a slightly bearish tendency with a support zone at 83.029. The JPY positive bias can be improved by the CFTC JPY speculative net positions release. The hidden state target is evaluated at -0.1 % at US closing market.

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Durden 8 10月

The pair shows a bullish regime. Also Hidden markov model and RSI support the +0.8% of the SGD pair again the JPY counterpart.
JPY  Fundamental suggest the buy side regime.

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Bullish with retracement on SGD/JPY

Durden 发布31 5月 为分析在 SGD/JPY , Target: 90.1082, 日期: 1 于 7月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #Support #Resistance #Bullish #Rsi #SGD/JPY #Retracement #Hidden Markov Processes

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 86.808 - 90.108 - 91.891

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bullish dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the possible retracement at the resistance line at 91.891. The retracement can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bullish channel. The trend can lead to a possible bearish retracement with a ke…
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5 意见
Durden avatar
Durden 14 6月

JPY market retrace after the declaration of the price objectiv. The Abeconomics can be considered in a monetary side to have reach part of the target. The hidden markov model applied to the pair suggest a possible bearish retracement of around 87.12 pips in consideration of the actual market close price.

Durden avatar
Durden 27 6月

The unemployment rate at 3.3%, . In addition, on an annual basis, inflation rose by 0.5%
Abeconomics strategy  to stimulate  inflation through consumer spending. For now, the policy of Shinzo Abe seems to work and the latest data show that the country is emerging from economic recession . So the pair could have a slightly bearish fundamentals support.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 30 6月

Great analysis : )

Durden avatar
Durden 1 7月

Thanks

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Durden 1 7月

The pair is in a bullish trend with a possible crossing of the resistance line at 90.98. As indicated in fig.
The possibility of this crossing is the accuracy improvement in consideration of the bearish trend and of the objective price at 98.10

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Triangle Convergence in SGD/JPY

Durden 发布15 3月 为分析在 SGD/JPY , Target: 87.6830, 日期: 1 于 5月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #Volatility #Rsi #SGD/JPY #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes

Indicators: Hidden Markov Processes, RSI, Volatility, Volume
Key price levels : 84.406-87.002-89.987

Weekly Vision
SGD/JPY seems to continue its pattern with a convergence support and resistance lines.
The standard deviation measurement at 0.182, the hidden cycle index at 0.12 seems could support a lightly bullish trend hypothesis.The pair could rebounces at 87.012 in correspondence of the support zones.

Figure 1 exhibits the key price levels and the trendlines.

…
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2 意见
Durden avatar
Durden 12 4月

The chart shows a bearish trend with a level price around the  87.83 level price.  The technical analysis and the forecast  seems to be in agreement with the level price dynamics.  The markov model suggest a possible sligthly bearish trend scenario that could improve the forecast. 

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Durden 26 4月

The pair at 89.1 zone can have a possible retracement that could improve the forecast analysis. To give support to this consideration can be observed the Hidden markov State of the bearish output around 87.92.  The possibility of this bearish hidden output could be as an index of the bearish validity of the objective at 87.6

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