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Preparing The Week Ahead

Daytrader21 Uaktualniono 3 Maj  w #Trader's blog #Nfp #Volatility #Rba #Cable #Crash #Correction #Seasonality #Risk Events #Grexit

The coming week is going to be more important than you may think, not only because there are many risk events on the doc that can spur volatility but also because it can mark the turn in the equity market. Don't call me wrong because I'm not calling a crash just a major correction. Since this can be a major topic on itself I'm not going to talk about it here as there are many details that need to be covered. However I'm just going to give you a major hint and I would recommend to watch ES react…
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Przetłumacz na Angielski Pokaż oryginał

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1 Komentarze
fxsurprise8 avatar
fxsurprise8 3 Maj

great article. Where do you find up to date probabilities for rates?

Daytrader21 avatar
Daytrader21 3 Maj

fxsurprise8 You would have to look at bond yields. Look at the 12 month bill  yielding 1.930%, cash rates are at 2.25% -->big money saying 25 bps cut on Tuesday. Here is a free website where you can look at yields (see above), or you can find the data in excel and construct your charts there. I hope it helps. 

fxsurprise8 avatar
fxsurprise8 3 Maj

ah thanks a lot

CommunitySupport avatar
CommunitySupport 4 Maj

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Preparing the Week Ahead

Daytrader21 Uaktualniono 3 Sie  w #Trader's blog #Volatility #Economic Calendar #EUR/USD #Risk Events #EU Inflation #EU Economic Data

If last week was all about US economic data this week prepare yourself to shift your focus to EU economic data and some and also some risk event coming from Australia as we'll have RBA's Monetary Policy announcement, the Unemployment figures and last but not least the Trade Balance figures.
The events from past week has brought to surface some volatility as both the VIX and FX volatility spike higher and that's precisely what the whole trading world has expected: the return of volatility. It …
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Przetłumacz na Angielski Pokaż oryginał

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Preparing the Week Ahead

Daytrader21 Przesłąno 4 Maj  w #Trader's blog #Ecb #Boe #Volatility #Rba #Fed #Risk Events #Yelle

Next week is definitely going to be full of high risk event as we're going to have interest rates announcements from ECB, BOE and RBA which should add some volatility. After last week NFP big surprise to the upside figures although initially the dollar got a bid by the end of the day it erased those gains and we had a general broad based dollar weakness. If you're still confused about this general dollar weakness I've made a blog post right before the NFP announcement where I spoke about why yo…
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Preparing the week ahead

Daytrader21 Przesłąno 6 Kwi  w #Trader's blog #Ecb #Nfp #AUD/USD #Boj #EUR/USD #Unemployment Rate #Easing #Risk Events #Deflationary

Last week was definitely hot in terms on high risk events as on one hand we had the ECB monetary policy and on the other hand we had NFP figures which saw 3 straight monthly increases in the labor market, and S&P500 hitting a new all time high. The fact that ECB has not acted on the deflationary pressures is becoming an increasingly bigger threat to EU zone this puts a higher risk on the upcoming inflation figures from different countries withing EU zone that are abo…
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Przetłumacz na Angielski Pokaż oryginał

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1 Komentarze
Convallium avatar
Convallium 6 Kwi

interesting post as always! )

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