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DAY 2 - RBA INTEREST RATE STATEMENT

alifari Posted 2 Mar.  in #Trader's blog #Audusd #Rba #Statement #Rate #Interest
Majority of analysts expects RBA to cut interest rate further from 2.25% to 2.0% tomorrow. Moreover, In last few interest rate statements we have seen dovish tone from RBA Governor showing concern that the Aussie Dollar exchange rate is still relatively high and it need to decline further to help boost exports.
From technical perspective, AUDUSD is consolidating in a 280 pip range since start of February 2015. A bearish breakout of this consolidation zone could pave way for 0.7500 level. However…
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RBA Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

alifari Posted 17 Mar.  in #Trader's blog #Rba #Monetary Policy #Minutes #Meeting
Fundamental View

The Reserve Bank of Australia will publish its minutes from the early March policy meeting on Monday. On March 4 the RBA held the Australian rate steady at 2.5%. This week's minutes are expected to return to the AUD overvalued narrative as more exporters are pressuring the central bank after the currency continues to trade over 0.90. Traders are curious to to hear comments on Australian employment front. Housing and exports are recovering, but unemployment continues to rise whi…
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REVIEW OF RBA MONETARY POLICY MEETING

alifari Posted 4 Feb.  in #Trader's blog #AUD #Rba #Monetary Policy #Meeting
Going into the monetary policy meeting, A$ was trading near its 3 year lows because investors had been pricing in one more rate cut in 2014. According to the CFTC, there was also a significant amount of short positions in the Australian Dollar, so when the RBA said “on present indicators, the most prudent course is likely to be a period of stability in interest rates,” it immediately prompted short covering. For the first time in a number of months, the central bank also did not describe the Au…
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