Monthly chart:
The pair is in uptrend since 2011. It broke above 38.2% retracement (of the 2002 to 2007 decline) in January and then traded around 50.0% retracement for nearly three months. In April, the pair broke back down and continued lower to clear the stops below 1.20 level. The confluence of the broken trendline (drawn off 2003, 2004 and 2009 highs) and 38.2% retracement shall offer further support ahead of 20 month SMA, should the pair continue to correct lower.
Weekly chart:
After Q1 r…
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