Community
Blog
Durden's Blog

Durden's Blog

Avatar

TRIANGLE WITH TRENDLESS REGIME

Durden Posted 25 Sep. as Analysis on CHF/SGD, Target: 1.4588, Date: 2nd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #SGD #CHF #Volatility #Pattern #Triangle #CHF/SGD #Trendless #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes #Regime

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 1.3294 - 1.40891 - 1.45877 - 1.49287 - 1.52881 - 1.5517

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a trendless dynamics in a triangle pattern . The chart analysis indicates the trendless dynamics that can also be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. The resistance at 1.52881 can be evaluated as bullish outside from the triangle figure pattern. …
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

3 Comments
foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Oct.

Great analysis. 
A pranzo ?

Durden avatar
Durden 2 Oct.

The CHF/SGD  is in a slightly bullish regime. The CHF positive bias can be improved. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.3 % at US closing market.

Durden avatar
Durden 8 Oct.

The pair shows a slightly bearish regime.  The Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.3% of the CHF pair again the SGD counterpart.

orto leave comments
Avatar

TRIANGLE PATTERN

Durden Posted 31 Aug. as Analysis on EUR/HKD, Target: 8.8380, Date: 1st of October, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Volatility #Pattern #Triangle #EUR/HKD #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS : RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 8.1329 - 8.8380 - 9.009 - 10.8281

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

EUR/HKD is moving in a trendless dynamics in a triangle figure pattern . The chart analysis is slightly bullish in consideration of the steady state but the Hidden Markov Models Analysis seems to support the trendless analysis. The RSI momentum indicator and the chart analysis distribution integrated with a Volume and Standard Deviati…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

2 Comments
Durden avatar
Durden 3 Sep.

With the ECB release with the monetary policy meeting which is expected to keep unchanged the current monetary arrangement the pair EUR/HKD as a correlated pair probably could privilege a slightlybullish regime.  As another element the China economy and the oil forecast can be assumed as anti-correlated regime with the EUR/HKD.

Durden avatar
Durden 15 Sep.

The  EUR/HKD chart analysis and the hidden markov model integrated with the ZEW at 12.1 suggest a slightly bearish trend for the EU session.

orto leave comments
Avatar

BULLISH DYNAMICS with HMM integration

Durden Posted 31 July as Analysis on GBP/NZD, Target: 2.2983, Date: 1st of September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Analysis #Chart #Volatility #Pattern #Bullish #GBP/NZD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 2.2983 - 2.35996 - 2.5187 - 2.57810

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 2.57810. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily VIS…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

2 Comments
Durden avatar
Durden 23 Aug.

The 2.34 land of trendless with the RSI slightly bearish can have as objective the 2.32 level price.
GBP releases and crude oil demand can improve the accuracy.

Durden avatar
Durden 27 Aug.

The decision proposed by the Chinese authorities to devalue the renminbi give great volatility on the world market exchange. The interest rate decision in combination with the economic chinese releases make the EUR and the correlated pair ( CHF-SEK-NOK-PLN-GBP )  recovery a great profit opportunity. Instead of this USD buyers or JPY sellers sustainers slide on a difficult side of the markets.
Commodities Pairs like AUD-NZD-RUB-CAD shows deflective dynamics. In this scenario the GBP/NZD chart indicates a slightly bullish mastership.

orto leave comments
Avatar

Triangle Pattern with HMM integration

Durden Posted 31 July as Analysis on GBP/CHF, Target: 1.5129, Date: 1st of September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #CHF #Volatility #Pattern #Triangle #GBP/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
[url=https://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/technical_analysis/?action=blog&nickname=Durden&post_id=61225#article][/url]


INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.45983 - 1.51293 - 1.51907 - 1.56928

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/CAD pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.51907. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

2 Comments
Durden avatar
Durden 23 Aug.

Crude oil demand indicates a bearish forecast for the pair.
The technical indicators converge with the hmm privileging the sell market side

Durden avatar
Durden 27 Aug.

The decision proposed by the Chinese authorities to devalue the renminbi give great volatility on the world market exchange. The interest rate decision in combination with the economic chinese releases make the EUR and the correlated pair ( CHF-SEK-NOK-PLN-GBP )  recovery a great profit opportunity. Instead of this USD buyers or JPY sellers sustainers slide on a difficult side of the markets.
Commodities Pairs like AUD-NZD-RUB-CAD shows deflective dynamics. In this scenario the GBP/CHF  chart indicates a slide sell side propency.

orto leave comments
Avatar

Triangle Pattern

Durden Posted 31 July as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.3509, Date: 1st of September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Pattern #Triangle #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.2097 - 9.35089 - 9.6089

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.6089 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

D…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

2 Comments
Durden avatar
Durden 23 Aug.

The new greek politic issues can be view in a sell market side opportunities.
The HMM also privilege the bearish trade

Durden avatar
Durden 27 Aug.

The decision proposed by the Chinese authorities to devalue the renminbi give great volatility on the world market exchange. The interest rate decision in combination with the economic chinese releases make the EUR and the correlated pair ( CHF-SEK-NOK-PLN-GBP )  recovery a great profit opportunity. Instead of this USD buyers or JPY sellers sustainers slide on a difficult side of the markets.
Commodities Pairs like AUD-NZD-RUB-CAD shows deflective dynamics. In this scenario the AUD/JPY  chart indicates a slightly bullish regime forecast.

orto leave comments
Avatar

Triangle Pattern

Durden Posted 31 July as Analysis on EUR/PLN, Target: 4.1897, Date: 1st of September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #PLN #Volatility #Pattern #Triangle #Rsi #EUR/PLN #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.15692 - 4.1897 - 4.21931 - 4.24804

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 4.15692 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.
…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

3 Comments
Durden avatar
Durden 23 Aug.

The new greek politic issues can be view in a sell market side opportunities.
The HMM also privilege the bearish trade.
The RSI instead could privilege a no trend forecast

Durden avatar
Durden 27 Aug.

The decision proposed by the Chinese authorities to devalue the renminbi give great volatility on the world market exchange. The interest rate decision in combination with the economic chinese releases make the EUR and the correlated pair ( CHF-SEK-NOK-PLN-GBP )  recovery a great profit opportunity. Instead of this USD buyers or JPY sellers sustainers slide on a difficult side of the markets.
Commodities Pairs like AUD-NZD-RUB-CAD shows deflective dynamics. In this scenario the EUR/PLN  chart indicates a bullish side propency .

Durden avatar
Durden 31 Aug.

The pair pattern is in a slightly sell side market trend.
The RSI and the Hidden markov processes suggest the possibility of a bearish forecast.

orto leave comments
Avatar

Triangle Pattern AUD/SGD

Durden Posted 14 June as Analysis on AUD/SGD, Target: 1.0389, Date: 3rd of August, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Pattern #Rsi #AUD/SGD #Retracement #Hidden Markov Processes #Trinagle #Slightly Bearish #Support Lines
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 1.001 - 1.0499 - 1.09995

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

AUD/SGD is moving in a downtrend triangle pattern dynamics . The chart analysis bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that AUD/SGD is in a slightly bullish trend. The crossing of the triangle lines can lead to a possible bullish dynamics.
…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

3 Comments
Durden avatar
Durden 1 July

The AUD/SGD pair is in bullish trend as indicated in figure. The pattern around the support line can include also the possibility of a bearish crossing. In this context in consideration of the Hidden Markov Model bearish state can be indicated an objective of  1.0312

Durden avatar
Durden 28 July

The China - 8.487 % performance can create a psychologic bridge with the AUD economy because of the commodity prices evaluated in a offer side forecast can be view as a message for the AUD sellers opportunities.

Durden avatar
Durden 2 Aug.

The monetary easing from the RBA, can determine the overall valuation of the currency.
Considering the technicals indicators are looking significantly bearish for the AUD/SGD dollar.
The moving averages are declining, whilst RSI still remains within neutral territory which could indicates there is still plenty of room on the downside.

orto leave comments
Avatar

Trendless regime AUD/JPY

Durden Posted 14 June as Analysis on AUD/JPY, Target: 95.8100, Date: 3rd of August, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #AUD #JPY #AUD/JPY #Pattern #Rsi #Channel #Trendless #Trendlines #Hidde
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 102.003 - 100.01 - 96.083 - 95.810 - 94.807 - 90.983
Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line, support line, W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

AUD/JPY is moving in a trendless dynamics . The chart analysis is in a slightly bullish tendency but the Hidden Markov Models Analysis seems to support the trendless analysis. The RSI momentum indicator and a Parabolic Sar distribution integrated with a Volume and Standard Deviation analysis seems to faci…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

2 Comments
Durden avatar
Durden 27 June

The unemployment rate at 3.3%, . In addition, on an annual basis, inflation rose by 0.5%
Abeconomics strategy  to stimulate  inflation through consumer spending. For now, the policy of Shinzo Abe seems to work and the latest data show that the country is emerging from economic recession . So the pair could have a slightly bearish fundamentals support.

Durden avatar
Durden 28 July

The China - 8.487 % performance can create a psychologic bridge with the AUD economy because of the commodity prices evaluated in a offer side forecast can be view as a message for the AUD sellers opportunities.

orto leave comments
Avatar

Trendless AUD/CAD

Durden Posted 14 June as Analysis on AUD/CAD, Target: 0.9510, Date: 3rd of August, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #AUD #CAD #AUD/CAD #Pattern #Triangle #Rsi #Trendless #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 0.97211 - 0.95103 - 0.94086
Weekly Charts pattern : Bearish triangle , W1 Chart.
Weekly Vision
AUD/CAD is moving in a slightly downtrend dynamics. The chart analysis bearish trend can be supported by the chart analysis and the negative Hidden Markov indicator.
Daily Vision
The D1 scale indicates that AUD/CAD is very close to the key area 0.94 - 095 possible level of retracement. This can lead to a possible retracement and a slightly bul…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

4 Comments
Durden avatar
Durden 1 July

The AUD/CAD crossing the trendline of the demand side suggest the possibility of a bearish trend. As indicated in fig.
The Hidden Markov Model bearish state suggest the 95.29 objective.

Durden avatar
Durden 28 July

The China - 8.487 % performance can create a psychologic bridge with the AUD economy because of the commodity prices evaluated in a offer side forecast can be view as a message for the AUD sellers opportunities.

Durden avatar
Durden 31 July

The bearish trend of growth in China could easily push the economic outlook of Australia in the red zone of the rate cut by the RBA. This monetary policy could support the offer side of the AUD.

Durden avatar
Durden 2 Aug.

The possible monetary easing from the RBA, can determine the overall valuation of the currency.
Considering the technicals indicators are looking significantly bearish for the  AUD/CAD dollar.
The moving averages are declining, whilst RSI still remains within neutral territory which could indicates there is still plenty of room on the downside.

orto leave comments
Avatar

Triangle bullish pattern in HKD/JPY

Durden Posted 31 May as Analysis on HKD/JPY, Target: 15.6881, Date: 1st of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #HKD #JPY #Resistance #Pattern #Bullish #Triangle #Rsi #HKD/JPY #Hidden Markov Processes #Chart Analysis
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 15.08832 - 15.68812 - 16.04987 - 16.1292

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bullish triangle dynamics . The chart analysis indicates the bullish trend that can have a retracement at the resistance zone 16.1292 be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bullish c…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original

Since you are not logged in, we don't know your spoken language, but assume it is English
Please, sign in or choose another language to translate from the list.

– or –

4 Comments
Durden avatar
Durden 27 June

The unemployment rate at 3.3%, . In addition, on an annual basis, inflation rose by 0.5%
Abeconomics strategy  to stimulate  inflation through consumer spending. For now, the policy of Shinzo Abe seems to work and the latest data show that the country is emerging from economic recession . So the pair could have a slightly bearish fundamentals support.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 30 June

Great analysis : )

Durden avatar
Durden 1 July

Thanks

Durden avatar
Durden 1 July

HKD/JPY is in a bullish channel. The chart analysis of the pair  and the HMM with positive coefficient suggest the dynamics of the trend with possible objective at  15.84 .

orto leave comments
More