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DAY 8 - EURUSD OUTLOOK

alifari Publicado 8 Jun  en #Trader's blog #Eurusd #Outlook
We are seeing some consolidation around 1.1300 level on EURUSD after a sharp up move in last 2 weeks. This seems to be an important resistance level as last time price dropped considerably from this level. This recent up move is driven by optimism shown by ECB & Germany and as such fundamentals news could dictate price action on this pair in coming days.
From technical perspective, some retracement is expected from this level, but I am expecting shallow retracement upto 1.1075 level where we cou…
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DAY 5 - AUDUSD OUTLOOK

alifari Publicado 5 Jun  en #Trader's blog #Outlook #Audusd
Some important news scheduled this week from Australia which could provide plenty of volatility on AUDUSD pair. Tomorrow we have RBA Rate Statement and on Wednesday Quarterly GDP and finally on Thursday Trade Balance from Australia & China.
As of lately we have seen some selling pressure on this pair and as such any dovish comments from RBA and weak GDP growth could take this pair down considerably.
From technical perspective the pair remain in a 200 pip range since beginning of May 2017. Price …
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DAY 6 - US DOLLAR OUTLOOK

alifari Publicado 6 May  en #Trader's blog #Outlook #Us Dollar
Today's NFP numbers were disappointing and well below market expectations. I was anticipating similar numbers mainly because if we look at last few weeks US economic data there was clear hint of a slowdown in economic growth and as a result businesses were expected to be cautious in hiring new employees.
After today's numbers the chance of a rate hike by Fed's have somewhat diminished and I am expecting US Dollar to decline against other major currencies in coming weeks.
In recent times, market …
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US DOLLAR OUTLOOK

alifari Publicado 17 Oct  en #Trader's blog #USD #Outlook
US Dollar continues to lose ground against other major currencies this week as some weak economic data from US contributed to this downfall with New Zealand Dollar gaining 1.8% and was the strongest against major currencies. While any chance of an earlier rate hike is now diminished we could see further weakening of US Dollar in coming weeks. GBPUSD is also showing sings of strength and currently testing important resistance level at 1.5500.
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DAY 14 - USDJPY Outlook

alifari Publicado 14 Sep  en #Trader's blog #Usdjpy #Outlook
So far, September has proven to be a big month for currencies. After consolidating for a large part of 2014, most major currencies hit multi-month and in some cases multi-year highs this past week. In almost every scenario, the moves were driven by the voracious demand for U.S. Dollars but negative developments abroad also increased the attractiveness of the greenback.
Weekly Chart indicates more upside movement on USDJPY and price could hit 109 or even 110 in next few weeks.
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ANABEVZ avatar
ANABEVZ 15 Sep

Well done!

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DAY 9 - GBPUSD Outlook

alifari Publicado 9 Sep  en #Trader's blog #Outlook #Gbpusd
Despite stronger than expected economic data and hawkish comments from Bank of England, GBPUSD failed to rise and the pair fell to fresh 10 month lows in European session erasing all of its earlier gains.
The uncertainty surrounding the referendum continues to overshadow economic and monetary policy direction, which is the way it should be because if Scotland secedes, the uncertainty that it creates for the U.K. economy and the volatility it is bound to trigger greater volatility in U.K. assets …
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DAY 8 - USDJPY Outlook

alifari Publicado 8 Sep  en #Trader's blog #Usdjpy #Outlook
Monday's are usually low volatility day in comparison to other week days, however today volatility in the FX market exploded as investors piled into the US Dollar. No U.S. data was released today but there was an insatiable appetite for the greenback, which rose to its strongest level since July 2013 on a trade weighted basis. The dollar hit a new 5 year high against the Japanese Yen, 14 month high versus the Euro and 9 month high against the British Pound.
After Friday’s surprisingly weak non-f…
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DAY 7 - AUDUSD Outlook

alifari Publicado 7 Sep  en #Trader's blog #Outlook #Audusd
While EUR & GBP continued to tumble against USD in recent weeks, AUD remain resilient and we are seeing some buying interest developing on AUDUSD, as this pair continues to go higher. While USD is currently number one choice of any trader, the sentiment could somehow change after Friday's weak NFP numbers.
So here are my technical analysis and projected price action on AUDUSD for coming week.
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DAY 3 - USDCAD Outlook

alifari Publicado 3 Sep  en #Trader's blog #Outlook #Usdcad
USD/CAD dropped sharply on the back of the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy announcement. The central bank left monetary policy unchanged, but the slightly more optimistic tone of the BoC statement drove the Canadian dollar sharply higher.
According to the BoC, the housing market has been stronger than anticipated and with the U.S. recovery back on track, they believe that the Canadian economy will return to capacity in the next 2 years. There was nothing in today’s statement that suggests that …
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DAY 2 - GBPUSD Outlook

alifari Publicado 2 Sep  en #Trader's blog #Outlook #Gbpusd
Today we have seen volatility back in full flow after long weekend in US and Canada. One of the most volatile currency today was GBPUSD as the pair dropped about 145 pips as concerns over the Scottish independence vote trumped the better than expected economic data from the construction sector.
With only a few weeks to go before the Scottish referendum vote scheduled for September 18th, the latest YouGov poll has revealed that the gap between the No and the Yes vote has narrowed markedly. The No…
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