al_dcdemo's Blog

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Loonie approaches the 2016 trendline

Loonie has been quite volatile in the past couple of weeks. For some time it has appeared more sensitive to U.S./Canada yield differentials than oil prices but is nevertheless still contained in the 2016 trading channel.
The ascending trendline comes in near 1.3175 today with 200 DMA at 1.31 and then 2009 high at 1.3065. 100 DMA (1.3250) is the immediate resistance while 50 DMA currently runs just below 1.34.
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BOC holds rates as oil nears $50

BOC held rates steady yesterday and didn't deliver a dovish statement as many in the market expected. Canadian dollar adjusted higher after the event while firming oil prices haven't been doing it any harm. Brent broke $50 overnight with WTI trading close to the big figure too.
Loonie is back below 1.30 - 1.3065 area, now targeting 50 DMA. That looks like a good spot for a pullback support but, if oil extends above $50, a deeper pullback in the pair seems more likely. The aforementioned area sha…
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