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Aussie to consolidate around 0.75 in the weeks ahead

al_dcdemo Przesłano 4 Gru jako Analiza AUD/USD, Cel: 0.7525, Data: 1 z Luty, 12:00 GMT  w #Technical analysis #AUD/USD #Daily Chart #Correction #Double Top #Weekly Chart #Technical Tools #Net Long Positioning #Relatively High Yield
Technical Tools
Support and resistance (S/R). Price levels, trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Price action, candlestick and chart patterns. Simple moving averages (SMA). Commitments of traders (COT) indicator, which displays speculative positioning in FX futures market, used as a proxy for speculative positioning in spot FX market.
Weekly Chart
AUD/USD finally cracked the strong supply zone between 0.77 and 0.78 in July and the convincing break above the pattern extended to 0.8125, just ahe…
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11 Komentarze
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al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 24 Gru

UPDATE 7: Week ahead might easily end up being the least active week of the year. But otherwise subdued periods have often proved quite volatile in recent years. "Expect the unexpected" is a saying that is useful to always keep in mind in trading business.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 27 Gru

UPDATE 8: The U.S. dollar started this holiday-shortened week on the back foot. Pullback in U.S. treasury bond yields and rally in commodities have been two drivers. Year-end position squaring could lead to some messy price action into the end of the week.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 30 Gru

UPDATE 9: U.S. dollar ended this year on a softer note. The dollar index posted its lowest monthly close since 2014. Expectations of other major central banks following Fed into hawkish direction began to outweigh the still present monetary policy divergence.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 11 Sty

UPDATE 10: After months of underperformance, Australian Retail Sales improved in November. iPhone X and Black Friday sales have been cited. AUD/USD jumped 40 pips and is holding the gains. 0.7875 - 0.79 area, that includes 61.8% retracement of the September - December downswing, is the immediate barrier. 0.7850 is the initial support.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 15 Sty

UPDATE 11: Australian dollar started the week on the front foot and is approaching 0.7975 - 0.80 area, where it is likely to encounter at least some resistance. It's Martin Luther King Day today in the U.S. - thinner liquidity could lead to either tighter volatility or outsized moves.

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Loonie to consolidate through year-end

al_dcdemo Przesłano 4 Gru jako Analiza USD/CAD, Cel: 1.2625, Data: 1 z Luty, 12:00 GMT  w #Technical analysis #USD/CAD #Daily Chart #Weekly Chart #Technical Tools #Declining Wedge #Net Long Positioning #Medium Term Bottom #Neutral Boc
Technical Tools
Support and resistance (S/R). Price levels, trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Price action, candlestick and chart patterns. Simple moving averages (SMA). Commitments of traders (COT) indicator, which displays speculative positioning in FX futures market, used as a proxy for speculative positioning in spot FX market.
Weekly Chart
A sharp rally at the start of 2016 and an even more impressive reversal was followed by an upward sloping consolidation and then another leg lower. …
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13 Komentarze
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al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 30 Gru

UPDATE 9: U.S. dollar ended the year on a softer note. The dollar index posted its lowest monthly close since 2014. Expectations of other major central banks following Fed into hawkish direction began to outweigh the still present monetary policy divergence.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 5 Sty

UPDATE 10: USD/CAD broke and closed below 1.25 yesterday and stalled there. The level is part of a wider 1.24 - 1.25 support area. Today's labour market reports from both U.S. and Canada will have a big say in whether we'll get a continuation or a pullback from here.

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al_dcdemo 8 Sty

UPDATE 11: BOC Business Outlook Survey, released about an hour ago, was upbeat on the economy. Rate hike odds ticked further up. USD/CAD, however, is in the process of correcting Friday's outsized fall. 1.24 is the initial support and 1.245 the resistance.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 17 Sty

UPDATE 12: Bank of Canada meets today and virtually everyone expects a hike. A cautious hike is indeed the most likely scenario, though I wouldn't rule out a hawkish hold. There should be a big market reaction in either case. 1.26 area is the first stronger resistance and 1.23 the support.

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al_dcdemo 18 Sty

UPDATE 13: Bank of Canada hiked overnight rate for the third time in this cycle. Market reaction was messy. There appears to have been a leak which prompted sell-the-fact trade about 20 seconds before the release. Price then whipsawed in a 150-pip range before settling in the middle. 1.24 is the initial support, 1.25 the resistance.

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EURo to hit 1.225 by February

al_dcdemo Przesłano 4 Gru jako Analiza EUR/USD, Cel: 1.2175, Data: 1 z Luty, 12:00 GMT  w #Technical analysis #Consolidation #Daily Chart #EUR/USD #Weekly Chart #Technical Tools #Long Term Trendline #Net Long Positioning #Political Risks
Technical Tools
Support and resistance (S/R). Price levels, trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Price action, candlestick and chart patterns. Simple moving averages (SMA). Commitments of traders (COT) indicator, which displays speculative positioning in FX futures market, used as a proxy for speculative positioning in spot FX market.
Weekly Chart
After trading to the lowest level in fourteen years, EUR/USD consolidated below the long term trendline, drawn off of 1985 and 2000 lows, for five m…
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Przetłumacz na Angielski Pokaż oryginał

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12 Komentarze
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al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 27 Gru

UPDATE 8: The dollar started this holiday-shortened week on the back foot. Falling U.S. treasury bond yields and rally in commodities have been two drivers. Year-end position squaring could lead to some messy price action into the end of the week.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 30 Gru

UPDATE 9: U.S. dollar ended the year on a softer note. The dollar index posted its lowest monthly close since 2014. Expectations of other major central banks following Fed into hawkish direction are beginning to outweigh the still present monetary policy divergence.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 4 Sty

UPDATE 10: EUR/USD is testing 2017 high (1.2090). A successful break would target 50.0% retracement of the 2014 - 2017 decline (1.2170), and then 2008 low (1.2330). U.S. jobs and wages report tomorrow could provide fuel for a larger move.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 12 Sty

UPDATE 11: European currencies outperformed today. EUR/USD gained about 100 pips and is poised to post a highest weekly close in three years. 1.2165 (50.0% retracement of the 2014 - 2017 decline) is a big area. A break above would open door to 1.23 - 1.2330 (LT trendline support, 2008 low) and put 1.25 (LT trendline resistance) into focus.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 26 Sty

UPDATE 12: As expected, ECB kept policy steady. Draghi didn't try to talk down euro, which gave it another boost higher. Later, U.S. president Trump backtracked on what Mnuchin said a day earlier, saying that ultimately he "wants to see a strong dollar", which prompted a round of profit taking among U.S. dollar bears. EUR/USD already recovered half of that fall and appears ready to retest 1.25.

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0.75 may not hold Aussie in December

al_dcdemo Przesłano 30 Lis jako Analiza AUD/USD, Cel: 0.7450, Data: 2 z Styczeń, 12:00 GMT  w #Technical analysis #AUD/USD #Daily Chart #Correction #Double Top #Weekly Chart #Technical Tools #Net Long Positioning #Relatively High Yield
Technical Tools
Support and resistance (S/R). Price levels, trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Price action, candlestick and chart patterns. Simple moving averages (SMA). Commitments of traders (COT) indicator, which displays speculative positioning in FX futures market, used as a proxy for speculative positioning in spot FX market.
Weekly Chart
AUD/USD finally cracked the strong supply zone between 0.77 and 0.78 in July and the convincing break above the pattern extended to 0.8125, just ahe…
Czytaj więcej
Przetłumacz na Angielski Pokaż oryginał

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9 Komentarze
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al_dcdemo 15 Gru

UPDATE 5: Fed hiked three times this year, which is at least one hike more than markets expected at the start of the year. FOMC's dot plot implies three hikes in 2018, markets are again not that hawkish. With so much money in the system and stock market seemingly engineered to go just up, federal funds rate could end up much higher than anyone expects. On the other hand, stock market bears have become surprisingly quiet this year.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 23 Gru

UPDATE 6: U.S. dollar ended the week higher against yen, marginally lower against franc and lower against other G10 major currencies. Even though monetary policy divergence is still in force, some of the recent trades have most certainly been made with convergence, which already started this year, in mind.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 24 Gru

UPDATE 7: Week ahead might easily end up being the least active week of the year. But otherwise subdued periods have often proved quite volatile in recent years. "Expect the unexpected" is one saying that is useful to always keep in mind in trading business.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 27 Gru

UPDATE 8: The U.S. dollar started this holiday-shortened week on the back foot. Pullback in U.S. treasury bond yields and rally in commodities have been two drivers. Year-end position squaring could result to some messy price action into the end of the week.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 30 Gru

UPDATE 9: U.S. dollar ended this year on a softer note. The dollar index posted its lowest monthly close since 2014. Expectations of other major central banks following Fed into hawkish direction began to outweigh the still present monetary policy divergence.

lubZostaw komentarz
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Loonie to break 1.30 in December

al_dcdemo Przesłano 30 Lis jako Analiza USD/CAD, Cel: 1.2950, Data: 2 z Styczeń, 12:00 GMT  w #Technical analysis #USD/CAD #Daily Chart #Weekly Chart #Technical Tools #Declining Wedge #Net Long Positioning #Medium Term Bottom #Neutral Boc
Technical Tools
Support and resistance (S/R). Price levels, trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Price action, candlestick and chart patterns. Simple moving averages (SMA). Commitments of traders (COT) indicator, which displays speculative positioning in FX futures market, used as a proxy for speculative positioning in spot FX market.
Weekly Chart
A sharp rally at the start of 2016 and an even more impressive reversal was followed by an upward sloping consolidation and then another leg lower. …
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Przetłumacz na Angielski Pokaż oryginał

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9 Komentarze
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al_dcdemo 15 Gru

UPDATE 5: Fed hiked three times this year, which is at least one hike more than markets expected at the start of the year. FOMC's dot plot implies three hikes in 2018, markets are again not that hawkish. With so much money in the system and stock market seemingly engineered to go just up, federal funds rate could end up much higher than anyone expects. On the other hand, stock market bears have become surprisingly quiet.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 23 Gru

UPDATE 6: U.S. dollar ended the week higher against yen, marginally lower against franc and lower against other major currencies. Even though monetary policy divergence is still in force, some of the recent trades have most certainly been made with convergence, which already started this year, in mind.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 24 Gru

UPDATE 7: Next week might easily end up being the least active week of the year. But otherwise subdued periods have often proved quite volatile in recent years. "Expect the unexpected" is one saying that is useful to always keep in mind in trading business.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 27 Gru

UPDATE 8: The dollar started this holiday-shortened week on the back foot. Pullback in U.S. treasury bond yields and rally in commodities have been two drivers. Year-end position squaring could result to some messy price action into the end of the week.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 30 Gru

UPDATE 9: U.S. dollar ended the year on a softer note. The dollar index posted its lowest monthly close since 2014. Expectations of other major central banks following Fed into hawkish direction began to outweigh the still present monetary policy divergence.

lubZostaw komentarz
Avatar

EURo to climb further up in December

al_dcdemo Przesłano 30 Lis jako Analiza EUR/USD, Cel: 1.1950, Data: 2 z Styczeń, 12:00 GMT  w #Technical analysis #Consolidation #Daily Chart #EUR/USD #Weekly Chart #Technical Tools #Long Term Trendline #Net Long Positioning #Political Risks
Technical Tools
Support and resistance (S/R). Price levels, trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Price action, candlestick and chart patterns. Simple moving averages (SMA). Commitments of traders (COT) indicator, which displays speculative positioning in FX futures market, used as a proxy for speculative positioning in spot FX market.
Weekly Chart
After trading to the lowest level in fourteen years, EUR/USD consolidated below the long term trendline, drawn off of 1985 and 2000 lows, for five m…
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Przetłumacz na Angielski Pokaż oryginał

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9 Komentarze
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al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 19 Gru

UPDATE 5: EUR/USD rose almost 100 pips yesterday, in what was a lively Monday. The pair is trading near the lower extreme of the 2017 channel. A successful bounce would target 1.2150 and then 1.23. A breakdown would put 1.14 - 1.15 back into focus.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 23 Gru

UPDATE 6: U.S. dollar ended up higher against yen, marginally lower against franc and lower against other major currencies this week. Even though monetary policy divergence is still in force, some of the recent trades have most certainly been made with convergence, which already started this year, in mind.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 24 Gru

UPDATE 7: Next week could easily end up being the least active week of the year. But otherwise subdued periods have often proved quite volatile in recent years. "Expect the unexpected" is one saying that is useful to always keep in mind in trading business.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 27 Gru

UPDATE 8: The dollar started this holiday-shortened week on the back foot. Falling U.S. treasury bond yields and rally in commodities have been two drivers. Year-end position squaring could result to some messy price action into the end of the week.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 30 Gru

UPDATE 9: U.S. dollar ended the year on a softer note. The dollar index posted its lowest monthly close since 2014. Expectations of other major central banks following Fed into hawkish direction are beginning to outweigh the still present monetary policy divergence.

lubZostaw komentarz
Avatar

Kiwi to retest support near 0.685

al_dcdemo Przesłano 23 Paź jako Analiza NZD/USD, Cel: 0.6925, Data: 1 z Grudzień, 12:00 GMT  w #Technical analysis #Reversal #Daily Chart #NZD/USD #Ascending Channel #Weekly Chart #Technical Tools #Net Long Positioning #Neutral Rbnz
Technical Tools
Support and resistance (S/R). Price levels, trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Price action, candlestick and chart patterns. Simple moving averages (SMA). Commitments of traders (COT) indicator, which displays speculative positioning in FX futures market, used as a proxy for speculative positioning in spot FX market.
Weekly Chart
NZD/USD confirmed the 0.685 support as 2015 - 2016 support/resistance line held twice. The pair briefly traded above 200 week SMA, 50.0% retracement…
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9 Komentarze
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al_dcdemo 14 Lis

UPDATE 5: NZD/USD slipped 50 pips overnight on no particular news. Higher timeframe momentum resumed, sending the pair down to test 2016/2017 support in 0.68 - 0.685 area. If the area gives way, we could see some stop-loss selling but I'd expect dip buyers to start emerging near 0.675.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 17 Lis

UPDATE 6: U.S. dollar ended the week lower against European currencies and yen, and higher against commodity bloc. If we look at these currencies from the yield perspective, it was actually a typical risk-off week, albeit on reduced volatility.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 23 Lis

UPDATE 7: FOMC Minutes highlighted the division among officials on inflation outlook, though majority still think it will ultimately pick up. December hike is virtually a done deal but what comes after that will increasingly depend on inflation progress. The U.S. dollar was sold ahead of and after the release.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 27 Lis

UPDATE 8: NZD/USD started the week on a firm note. The pair fell to one-year low near 0.6775 ahead and after the game-changing outcome of the New Zealand election. Adjustment lower may be over for now with RBNZ turning slightly more hawkish. 0.70 is the next target.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 29 Lis

UPDATE 9: Progress on U.S. tax reform, better than expected GDP revision and Janet Yellen with some hawkish comments have all been welcomed by the dollar bulls. Yet the currency struggled to make any significant headway. Markets have been continuously underestimating Fed's resolve to normalize rates in this cycle.

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Aussie to retrace some more in November

al_dcdemo Przesłano 23 Paź jako Analiza AUD/USD, Cel: 0.7775, Data: 1 z Grudzień, 12:00 GMT  w #Technical analysis #AUD/USD #Breakout #Daily Chart #Double Top #Weekly Chart #Technical Tools #Net Long Positioning #Relatively High Yield
Technical Tools
Support and resistance (S/R). Price levels, trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Price action, candlestick and chart patterns. Simple moving averages (SMA). Commitments of traders (COT) indicator, which displays speculative positioning in FX futures market, used as a proxy for speculative positioning in spot FX market.
Weekly Chart
AUD/USD was trying to crack the strong supply zone between 0.77 and 0.78 for more than a year, carving out a triangle pattern in the process. The pa…
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9 Komentarze
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al_dcdemo 15 Lis

UPDATE 5: AUD/USD fell 50 pips overnight, after the release of weaker than expected Wage Price Index. 38.2% retracement of the 2016 - 2017 upswing now looks properly broken. 0.75 - 0.755 area is the next major support. It includes 2016 - 2017 trendline, the big figure, and is backed by 50.0% retracement.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 17 Lis

UPDATE 6: The U.S. dollar ended the week lower against European currencies and yen, and higher against commodity bloc. If we look at these currencies from the yield perspective, it was actually a typical risk-off week, albeit with reduced volatility.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 23 Lis

UPDATE 7: FOMC Minutes highlighted the division among officials on inflation outlook, though majority still think inflation will ultimately pick up. December hike is virtually a done deal but what comes after that will increasingly hinge on inflation progress. The U.S. dollar was sold ahead of and after the release.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 28 Lis

UPDATE 8: AUD/USD posted an outside day last Tuesday as it bounced from 2016 - 2017 trendline. One week later, the pair is trading about 75 pips higher, after sellers emerged ahead of 0.7650. Private Capital Expenditure report on Thursday will likely provide some fuel for either direction.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 29 Lis

UPDATE 9: Progress on U.S. tax reform, better than expected GDP revision and Janet Yellen with some hawkish comments have all been welcomed by U.S. dollar bulls. Yet the currency struggled to make any significant headway. Markets have continuously underestimated Fed's resolve to normalize rates in this cycle.

lubZostaw komentarz
Avatar

USD/CAD appears headed towards 1.30

al_dcdemo Przesłano 23 Paź jako Analiza USD/CAD, Cel: 1.2675, Data: 1 z Grudzień, 12:00 GMT  w #Technical analysis #USD/CAD #Daily Chart #Weekly Chart #Technical Tools #Declining Wedge #Net Long Positioning #Medium Term Bottom #Neutral Boc
Technical Tools
Support and resistance (S/R). Price levels, trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Price action, candlestick and chart patterns. Simple moving averages (SMA). Commitments of traders (COT) indicator, which displays speculative positioning in FX futures market, used as a proxy for speculative positioning in spot FX market.
Weekly Chart
A sharp rally at the start of 2016 and an even more impressive reversal was followed by an upward sloping consolidation and then another leg lower. …
Czytaj więcej
Przetłumacz na Angielski Pokaż oryginał

Gdy nie jesteś zalogowany, nie wiemy jakim językiem się posługujesz, lecz przypuszczamy iż jest to Angielski
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9 Komentarze
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al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 17 Lis

UPDATE 5: U.S. dollar ended the week lower against European currencies and yen, and higher against commodity bloc. If we look at these currencies from the yield perspective, it was actually a typical risk-off week, albeit with reduced volatility.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 21 Lis

UPDATE 6: Loonie was one of the movers in a relatively subdued day. Some progress with NAFTA talks was reportedly used as an excuse to sell USD/CAD down to 1.275 after the pair rejected prices above the strong resistance at 1.2825 in the European morning. OPEC meetings tomorrow are worth keeping an eye one.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 23 Lis

UPDATE 7: FOMC Minutes highlighted the division among officials on inflation outlook, though majority still think it will ultimately pick up. December hike is virtually a done deal but what comes after that will increasingly hinge on inflation progress. The U.S. dollar was sold ahead of and after the release.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 24 Lis

UPDATE 8: Weaker than expected retail sales report led to a 40-pip jump in USD/CAD yesterday. The pair held onto gains and is following through today. 1.2665 - 1.2825 range still in play. It's been a catch-up week for WTI oil with BRENT taking a bit of a breather it seems.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 29 Lis

UPDATE 9: Progress on U.S. tax reform, better than expected GDP revision and Janet Yellen with some hawkish comments have all been welcomed by the dollar bulls. Yet the currency struggled to make any significant headway. Markets have continuously underestimated Fed's resolve to normalize rates in this cycle.

lubZostaw komentarz
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Cable to maintain 1.30 - 1.35 range for now

al_dcdemo Przesłano 23 Paź jako Analiza GBP/USD, Cel: 1.3375, Data: 1 z Grudzień, 12:00 GMT  w #Technical analysis #GBP/USD #Daily Chart #Ascending Channel #Weekly Chart #Technical Tools #Net Long Positioning #Flash Crash #Hawkish Boe
Technical Tools
Support and resistance (S/R). Price levels, trendlines and Fibonacci retracements. Price action, candlestick and chart patterns. Simple moving averages (SMA). Commitments of traders (COT) indicator, which displays speculative positioning in FX futures market, used as a proxy for speculative positioning in spot FX market.
Weekly Chart
Cable broke below long-term support line in one of the most volatile weeks in the pair's history as U.K. opted out of E.U. Then, a flash-crash in Oc…
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Przetłumacz na Angielski Pokaż oryginał

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9 Komentarze
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al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 11 Lis

UPDATE 5: U.S. dollar recorded a loss this week as recent gains on tax reform hopes have been pared. U.S. Senate said to propose delaying corporate tax cut until 2019. U.S. dollar index is closing in on the trendline, drawn off of September and October lows.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 13 Lis

UPDATE 6: Weekend report that 40 members of British parliament have agreed to sign a letter of no-confidence in PM Theresa May, weighs on the pound. GBP/USD opened about 20 pips lower, extended the decline by 50 pips in Asia and by 30 pips so far in Europe. 1.30 - 1.3050 is the support area to watch.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 17 Lis

UPDATE 7: The U.S. dollar ended the week lower against European currencies and yen, and higher against the commodity bloc. If we look at these currencies from the yield perspective, it was actually a typical risk-off week, albeit on reduced volatility.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 23 Lis

UPDATE 8: FOMC Minutes highlighted the division among officials on inflation outlook, though majority still think inflation will ultimately pick up. December hike is virtually a done deal but what comes after that will increasingly depend on inflation progress. U.S. dollar was sold ahead of and after the release.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 29 Lis

UPDATE 9: Progress on U.S. tax reform, better than expected GDP revision and Janet Yellen with some hawkish comments have all been welcomed by U.S. dollar bulls. Yet the currency struggled to make any significant headway today. Markets have been continuously underestimating Fed's resolve to normalize rates in this cycle.

lubZostaw komentarz
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