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Turkish Lira to Continue Stabilization

fxsurprise8 Posted 30 Nov. as Analysis on EUR/TRY, Target: 3.6405, Date: 2 von January, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #Eurozone #Long Term #Turkey #EUR/TRY #Try #Turkish Lira #Stabilization #Us Election
The month of November started out unusually busy for the EUR/TRY. This pair usually doesn't move much. But in the aftermath of the US election, we saw a spike all the way to the 3.6900 level. Over 20 days later and the pair still can't surpass the highs seen on November 10th. This shows that we're finally stabilizing.
But that's only reason number one why I'm betting on stabilization in the EUR/TRY. The second reason is shown on the hourly chart below. Notice how no clear momentum can be seen he…
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Elens94 avatar
Elens94 1 Dec.

Good work

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EUR/USD Bounces Off Long-Term Support

fxsurprise8 Posted 30 Nov. as Analysis on EUR/USD, Target: 1.0596, Date: 2 von January, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Euro #Support #EUR/USD #Eurozone #Long Term #Us Dollar #Momentum #Support Levels #Single Currency
I think the losses for the Euro are coming to an end. Our first chart below shows reason number one. The pair recently bounced off 1.0522. This is a long-term support level that held up prices for the past 18 months. Not far from here we find another level, the 1.0462 swing low. This is a multi-year for the Euro. The last time the single currency traded below here was all the way back in 2003.
On our second chart we see a glimpse of the trading on the lower time-frame. Notice how during the past…
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fxsurprise8 28 Dec.

Things are not going exactly as planned in the EUR/USD. While the pair managed to break the 1.0500 handle, it hasn't made much headway below the figure.

We spent the last two weeks of December swinging between 1.0400 and 1.0500. We are currently quoted at 1.0404.

This is certainly no consolation for my forecast, which remains off by almost 2 percent. But the end of the contest is still a good time away, so let's hope we bounce back on year-end flows.

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fxsurprise8 31 Dec.

Things are looking up for my forecast! During the past few days the EUR/USD rallied over 120 pips to close the year at 1.0525. This is around 70 pips away from my forecast. Now this doesn't mean the contest is over, we still have few more days left until January 2nd.

There is still hope that mean reversion will continue to be a force here and push us higher still. We're coming up from oversold levels, like I noted in my original forecast. Plus the bounce at support lends more credence to the bounce story.

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