NZD/USD has broken key support after support level and it seems now that the bearish trend is already oversold. We can't rule ot another retest of the big round number 0.6500 before going up again. The COT report is already warning us that a reversal or at least a bounce should happen because during this last leg down the commercials have become net buyers and they have been accumulating a lot of contracts as the COT report has been moving to extreme levels again (see Figure 1[/…
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Kiwi Calling The Bottom
Two days ago in my recent webinar I've been calling out the possibility of a bottom in kiwi. I'm not expecting a full reversal just a rally inside a bearish trend or a correction as nothing goes up or down in a straight line. Even last month I've been warning that we need to prepare for a bounce but also highlighting that timing the bounce is key, you can read what I had to say back then here: NZ Dollar COT Extreme
The reason why I've…
Figure 1: NZD/USD Seasonality
The reason why I've…