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Expectations for January

Pair Expectation, target value – maximum or minimum for the month
AUDUSD down, target: 0.7700-0.7600
EURUSD down, target: 1.1700-1.1800
USDCAD up, target: 1.1800-1.1900
GBPUSD up, target: 1.5700-1.5800
USDJPY down; Lower limit 115.00
The strongest currencies for the month of January seem to be USD and GBP, along with JPY. Expectations for the forthcoming rate cuts by RBNZ and RBA in the end of January and early February might exert downward pressure on AUD and NZD. Any rally in Canadian do…
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Macroeconomic Data, Oil and Canadian Dollar

Canadian dollar has been in a down trend for 5 weeks now – it has lost about 3% against USD, JPY and
about 1.5% against EUR over this period of time. This is not a lot by historical standards but in this day of age – in times of very low volatility for almost all classes of traded assets – one can talk about the trends despite of their seeming insignificance in absolute terms.
Poor employment data releases in July and August lead to sell-offs on Fridays, that account for the most of the losses…
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Employment Cost Index, Interest Rate Expectations and Stock Market Swoon

This last week was repleted with important and having lasting influence data releases. Although the most anticipated and looked for by investors was Non-Farm Payroll Change, published on Friday, its impact on stock market was more than limited. What passed almost inconspicuously to most market participants and observers of different stripes but had significant influence on financial markets was release of Employment Cost Index last Thursday.
The importance of this data is difficult to overestim…
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Employment Cost Index, Interest Rate Expectations and Stock Market Swoon

This last week was repleted with important and having lasting influence data releases. Although the most anticipated and looked for by investors was Non-Farm Payroll Change, published on Friday, its impact on stock market was more than limited. What passed almost inconspicuously to most market participants and observers of different stripes but had significant influence on financial markets was release of Employment Cost Index last Thursday.
The importance of this data is difficult to overestim…
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Translate to English Show original
orto leave comments