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The possibility of raising the British interest rate in the first half of 2018 and specifically in May meeting up to 60%
GBPUSD:
GBPUSD:
Blog de la Communauté FX
Fed Interest Rate Decision
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members vote on where to set the rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.
A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the USD.
A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the USD.
Suffering some initial damage shorting NZD
I have been trying to build up short positions Nzd since yesterday
I was right about GbpNzd being a dangerous position to go long on,
my SL was hit on this pair after GbpUsd broke below 1.30, and Nzd is not weakening as expected
I thought that i was selling Nzd at appropriate levels - below resistance,
but Nzd pairs I was selling showed a lot of strength yesterday,
and my account was being dragged down quite dramatically
At one point - last night - I was fed up, and willing to throw in the towel…
I was right about GbpNzd being a dangerous position to go long on,
my SL was hit on this pair after GbpUsd broke below 1.30, and Nzd is not weakening as expected
I thought that i was selling Nzd at appropriate levels - below resistance,
but Nzd pairs I was selling showed a lot of strength yesterday,
and my account was being dragged down quite dramatically
At one point - last night - I was fed up, and willing to throw in the towel…
The bank of England reduces an interest rate.
On Thursday, the Bank of England has lowered an interest rate from 0,5% to 0,25%. I have expanded the program of stimulation of APF to 435 billion (with 375), and also I have added the program for purchase of corporate bonds for 10 billion pounds. But there is more to come: the inflation quarterly statement is submitted, Mark Carney has held a press conference. We argue on events consequences.
GBPUSD has fallen to 200 points within half an hour.
Decrease in a rate of Bank of Engla…
GBPUSD has fallen to 200 points within half an hour.
Decrease in a rate of Bank of Engla…
Looking for a good start to this month
I am looking to start off well in the August competition
The trade that I have picked out is selling Aud
I expect a rate cut from the RBA, which might come as a bit of a surprise
The economic data support a cut, but not all banks agree with that
Commentary from Australia support a rate cut tomorrow though
So, I am long EurAud, and short AudChf, and AudJpy
gl all
The trade that I have picked out is selling Aud
I expect a rate cut from the RBA, which might come as a bit of a surprise
The economic data support a cut, but not all banks agree with that
Commentary from Australia support a rate cut tomorrow though
So, I am long EurAud, and short AudChf, and AudJpy
gl all
Мнение UOB по процентной ставке ЕЦБ
"Мы по-прежнему считаем, что завтра ЕЦБ сократит ставки по депозитам на 10 б.п., до -0.4%. Такой шаг все чаще выглядит как единственное существенное изменение политики, которое следует ожидать. Таким образом, если завтра ставка все таки будет снижена, мы считаем, что рынок уже полностью учел такое изменение в ценах. Теперь мы также прогнозируем введение, или по крайней мере, объявление о введении в будущем многоуровневой системы ставок для оплаты избыточных резервов, имеющихся в центральном банк…
INTEREST RATE BULLISH REGIME
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 74.807 79.9983 83.029
Weekly Charts pattern : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly Vision
The pair is moving in a bullish dynamics (Nippon Interest Rate) with a resistance line at 83.029. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volume Analysis support the trend. The Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI are coherent with a slightly bullish regime.
Daily Vision
The D1 scale…
JPY performance
Today's BoJ announcement deviated from most analysts expectations. BoJ kept the same amount of assets purchases but slashed the interest rate to negative. Will JPY follow the same depreciation route as it did already twice after quantitative easing introductions? It might definitely fall from overbought territories. However, the current gloomy mood in the markets calls for JPY as a safe haven currency. Similar situation persists in the market with Euro. It's a nice question to the participants o…
Повышению ставки - есть!!!
Как и ожидалось, ФРС решили не откладывать дело в долгий ящик и, О ЧУДО - все-таки повысили процентную ставку!!! Как же при этом повел себя рынок! Он это событие попросту проигнорировал!!! В прямом смысле слова!!! Те 50 пунктов движения пары в первые минуты релиза не умещаются ни в какие рамки!!! Он повел себя крайне неестественно - не стал не то что продавать на фактах, так он еще и покупать на фактах не стал Судя по всему пара евро-доллар решила отработать мой сценарий - для начала отработат…
Повышению ставки - быть!!!
Так как очередную мою статью не приняли вкратце изложу основную мысль в блоге. А мысль эта звучит следующим образом - лучше поздно. чем никогда! Предполагаемый сценарий движения пары евродоллар следующий: