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EUR/CAD Elliott Wave Count

Daytrader21 投稿日: 2015年04月15日。分析予想通貨ペア:EUR/CAD, 予想レート: 1.3082, 予想日: 1日6月, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Consolidation #Impulsive Wave #EUR/CAD #Elliottwave
EUR/CAD has been trading to the downside since beginning of the last year when we put in place the major swing high at 1.5600. Based on Elliott Wave cycle we're in the last stage of this sell of, as currently the market is developing of 3 of V. Each impulsive wave is composed by another 5 wave of smaller degree and we can count this wave both in wave III and now in wave V. Expecting wave 3 of V to end at 1.2900 or 1.300 big round number before to see a minor retracement or at least some conso…
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Daytrader21 2015年04月18日

Update 1: I think wave 3 of V has just completed and with the daily bearish outside bar posted on Friday, we can see a retest of 1.3400 (see red line Figure 2) to complete wave 4 of V. Support for next week should be at previous week's low 1.300 big round number.

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Daytrader21 2015年05月02日

Update 2: Wave number 4 of V is completed and 1.3600 should be the top. First we need a break and a close below the big round number 1.3500 for further downside movement. Right now we're in the final stage before the Elliott Wave sequence is completed. We need one more low below the big round number 1.3000

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Daytrader21 2015年05月09日

Update 3. As expect it seems that the 1.3600 level is now a swing high in place after a second rejection of that level. However we need a break below 1.3400 the most recent swing point in order to expect more downside pressure. Resistance stands at 1.3600-1.3550 price should be trading lower from around this levels

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Daytrader21 2015年05月15日

Update 4: Right now the market is in a wide range between 1.3700 resistance level and 1.3400 support level, we need a break and a daily close below that support level for the market to gain more downside momentum.

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USD/CHF Large Range Key Reversal

Daytrader21 投稿日: 2013年11月10日。分析予想通貨ペア:USD/CHF, 予想レート: 0.9070, 予想日: 2日1月, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Impulsive Wave #Triangle #USD/CHF #Elliott Wave #Correction #Range #Five Wave Cycle #Snb Intervention
Since latest SNB intervention in the market from around 2 years ago USD/CHF have been trading in a big range zone from a high of 0.9970 to a low of 0.8890, an wide 1080 pips range zone. Based on Elliott Wave theory we can easily see that this contracting range over the last 2 years has form a triangle that conforms the requirement of 5 waves based on Elliott Wave analysis. Based on this I see the last deep towards the 0.8890 low, labeled E in Figure1 as the last corre…
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Daytrader21 2013年11月15日

Update 1: The market is already giving us signs of topping around 0.9250 as momentum slowed down. This is the first wave of a new five wave sequence to the upside, from here on the market could retrace back all the way down until 0.8900 swing low point or our second option is for the market to correct only half way at 50% fib retracement level of previous level at 0.9065

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Daytrader21 2013年11月22日

Update 2. As predicted we have just entered in the stage of developing wave 2, but we still have to break below 0.9080 support level which was quite a strong support level in the last days. But that fact that this level was retested for so many times suggest that at some point in time it will become weaker and we can break below it.

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Daytrader21 2013年11月29日

Update 3: As I said in my previous update the market has indeed broke below 0.9080 support level. Right now the market is in an retracement mode and I'm still expecting lower level before wave B is completed, next support level is around 0.8950 from where we should expect the market momentum to pick up

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Daytrader21 2013年12月09日

Update 4: Based on Elliot wave theory wave 2 can often retrace till the start point of wave 1 which in our case is 0.8890 but in order for our forecast to be validated this swing low point must hold, expecting this week momentum to pick up. Next resistance level where the market may find some problems on the way back up are the following levels:08980 and 0.9040 if we manage to break and close above it than we may see our target hit

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Daytrader21 2013年12月14日

Update 5: Because we broke below wave E and 0.8900 level it may suggest that this is an irregular triangle, but next week is key, if we manage to close back again above 0.8900 it will show us if this downside break is a genuine break or is a false breakout

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