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EURUSD Head&Shoulder pattern ready for a major breakout

EURUSD is sitting on a major Head&Shoulder pattern that begin forming from September last year when we develop the left shoulder (see fig.1) and continue to develop throughout this year. Currently everything is set in place for a major breakout to the downside and a break of the H&S's neckline which is the final confirmation that we have a genuine pattern. In figure 1 we can also see that the 1.37 swing high price structure took a shape of an minor H&S pattern which in itself resemble the bigger…
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dada123 avatar
dada123 7 July

Nice, I agree, check: http://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/technical_analysis/?action=blog&nickname=dada123&post_id=826#comments

clau avatar
clau 8 July

I say this same, now depends on how much time will come to support 1.2

Daytrader21 avatar

@clau you're right the time element is important as much as the price

Daytrader21 avatar

Although we broke the neckline of H&S pattern and close bellow it at around 1.2870, in the last couple of days we had a typical knee-jerk reaction which I'm expecting to be short lived. To the upside 1.3200 was a key level which is where price found resistance after this recent rally so I'm confident enough price should resume to the downside

Daytrader21 avatar

it's very hard to reach our target by 1st of september, currently the market is holding up and we really need some strong momentum to the downside in order to reach my target

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Fiber: Head&Shoulder within an Head&Shoulder; Ultimate Reversal Pattern

On Feb 1st we have established a swing point and developed a minor H&S top. (Fig1. see blue circle). Using fractal analysis we can see the H&S pattern is expending on a much bigger scale on the daily chart.(Fig1. see red circle) The market is currently developing the right shoulder. We have an Head&Shoulder within an Head&Shoulder; an Ultimate Reversal Pattern. From here we should see a minor consolidation top right shoulder develop, which should spike up into 1.3200 50% retracement from the 1.3…
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alextiff avatar

I will keep an eye on this...

Dieselfx avatar
Dieselfx 13 May

there so many h&s that are fake....trade the more reliable patterns

Daytrader21 avatar

@Dieselfx That's correct, there are many patterns that not work all the time. And a H&S is confirmed only after have a break-out of the neckline. The H&S is just a part of the analysis as you can see the H&S hold more weight when you take in consideration the Elliot Wave analysis.

Daytrader21 avatar

The H&S pattern has not been invalidated yet although price turned around we are still below the Head (from the H&S pattern) which confirms that the pattern is still valid just that price action took another shape. Also the H&S pattern become valid only after the neckline is broken. Currently the momentum has shifted to the downside and I'm expecting price to continue downwards from here. It seems that I was to pessimistic in my time horizon when I've made my forecast for eurusd.

Maria_r avatar
Maria_r 19 Oct.

+

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