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Expectations for January

speculo_ergo_sum Posted 5 Jan.  in #Trader's blog #AUD #GBP #JPY #NZD
Pair Expectation, target value – maximum or minimum for the month
AUDUSD down, target: 0.7700-0.7600
EURUSD down, target: 1.1700-1.1800
USDCAD up, target: 1.1800-1.1900
GBPUSD up, target: 1.5700-1.5800
USDJPY down; Lower limit 115.00
The strongest currencies for the month of January seem to be USD and GBP, along with JPY. Expectations for the forthcoming rate cuts by RBNZ and RBA in the end of January and early February might exert downward pressure on AUD and NZD. Any rally in Canadian do…
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GDP, The Course For Interest Rates and AUD

speculo_ergo_sum Posted 5 Dec.  in #Trader's blog #GBP #CAD #USD
This week was replete with macroeconomic data releases that shaped the trends for exchange rates. The Australian dollar was not the role model for the currency, influenced by the slew of these reports. Unlike for other currencies, the trend for AUD seems to be persistent for a long time to come.
The assertion of that sort, not immediately obvious, is rather plausible if dynamics of AUD over the course of last week is considered in context of GDP report and interest rate decision by RBA.
In its…
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The British Pound – The Trend Down is Intact

speculo_ergo_sum Posted 1 Dec.  in #Trader's blog #GBP #Interest Rates #Minutes
Among a few tools of monetary policy, available to any central bank, the verbal stance on the current state of economy and financial system is the finest. Markets are desperately waiting for any signals, foreshadowing the forthcoming changes in interest rates or liquidity programs. Every statement, emanating from the the central bank, is thoroughly parsed and analyzed. The minutes, released on regular basis by BoE is not an exception.
On November the 19th BoE England Minutes were made public. T…
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UK GDP and Interest Rate Expectations

speculo_ergo_sum Posted 14 Aug.  in #Trader's blog #GBP #USD #UK #Gdp #Interest Rate #Expectations
This coming Friday the 2nd estimate of GDP in Great Britain will be released. The first round of preliminary data released in July had limited impact – GBP went up about 20 pts against USD over 3 minutes, just to lose all the gains within less than half-hour, albeit losses were quite modest. Lack of positive influence on exchange rate of GBP from quite good GDP numbers would be flabbergasting if interest rate expectations were not taken into account.
The main reason for such a lackluster dynami…
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Polinka avatar
Polinka 1 Oct.

Good luck!

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The forthcoming BoE interest rate decision – failure of rhetoric

speculo_ergo_sum Posted 6 Aug.  in #Trader's blog #GBP #Boe #Interest Rate
Every month financial markets anxiously await the most important price – the price of borrowing funds – to be set by central bankers. The day of announcement and previous days of the week might have little to no volatility, for the market players are uncertain of the future decision.
This is apparently not the case for BoE rate decision that is due this Thursday – FTSE 100 closed down 0.69% and was down about 1% intraday, that is unusually high volatility nowadays, albeit trading sessions on Mo…
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Shalomavahatikvah 8 Aug.

Nice trading. Check out my Blog about the JPY kicking butt! Thanks!

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Employment Cost Index, Interest Rate Expectations and Stock Market Swoon

speculo_ergo_sum Posted 1 Aug.  in #Trader's blog #GBP #EUR #JPY #USD #Sp500 #Eci #Interest Rates #Fed
This last week was repleted with important and having lasting influence data releases. Although the most anticipated and looked for by investors was Non-Farm Payroll Change, published on Friday, its impact on stock market was more than limited. What passed almost inconspicuously to most market participants and observers of different stripes but had significant influence on financial markets was release of Employment Cost Index last Thursday.
The importance of this data is difficult to overestim…
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VictoriaVika 18 Sep.

Удачи и успехов )

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Employment Cost Index, Interest Rate Expectations and Stock Market Swoon

speculo_ergo_sum Posted 1 Aug.  in #GBP #JPY #USD #Stock Market #S P500 #Eci #Interest Rates #Frs
This last week was repleted with important and having lasting influence data releases. Although the most anticipated and looked for by investors was Non-Farm Payroll Change, published on Friday, its impact on stock market was more than limited. What passed almost inconspicuously to most market participants and observers of different stripes but had significant influence on financial markets was release of Employment Cost Index last Thursday.
The importance of this data is difficult to overestim…
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