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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 30 May as Analysis on GBP/NZD, Target: 1.93625, Date: 2nd of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/NZD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , MA, RSI, Standard Dev (SD)
The traders fascinated in statistical trading (HMM in this study) can find some indications studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
No distinguish tendency with the HMM evaluation. The SD and Volume give suggestion of a no regime technical analysis.
Graphically there is not a great indication of the hidden regime and it is not …
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2 Comments
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Durden 7 June

I grafici possono considerarsi  del tipo sell.
Lo studio dei processi Markoviani consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish.  In H4 chart è possible valutare uno studio sulla  convergenza della SD a livelli di  18.00 questo integrato a  un valore di RSI di 86.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell. 

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Durden 28 June

Gli studi statistici degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela H1 concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
A supporto gli indicatori sono Trix e RSI.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 64% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  giovedì 28 giugno 2018 13:45.

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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 21 Feb. as Analysis on GBP/NZD, Target: 1.94881, Date: 2nd of April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/NZD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: RSI, MA, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The traders interested in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some suggestions studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
Pair can be examined as in a buy dynamics. To sustain this view are employed two different techniques. The statistical trading with the Hidden Markovian methodology and the chart analysis (integra…
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Durden 28 Mar.

Valutando la coppia dal punto di vista statistico, avere una notevole probabilità di profitto  una trade in sell.
Per aggiungere un criterio di filtro si può valutare se i volumi in H1 siano superiori della media a 5.

Durden avatar
Durden 30 Mar.

Le analisi grafiche dei prezzi  alle 18:30 possono considerarsi  di tipo mercato in sell. Lo studio dei modelli HMM consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish. In H4 chart è possible valutare un modello sulla convergenza della SD a livelli di
17.00 questo unito a un valore di RSI di 89.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell.

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Durden 31 Mar.

Indicatori MACD, RSI e Volatilità insieme alle analisi dei modelli Hidden sembrano suggerire una inclinazione bullish


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Durden 1 Apr.

Le analisi Markoviane degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela H4 concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
Gli indicatori a supporto sono Trix e Volume.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 52% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  01 April 2018 22:15.

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Durden 2 Apr.

I grafici dei prezzi  alle 10:15 consentono una valutazione  del tipo vendita.  In 15 min chart è possible valutare uno studio sulla convergenza della SD a livelli di 11.00 questo insieme a  un valore di RSI di 81.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell.

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 18 Jan. as Analysis on GBP/NZD, Target: 1.84463, Date: 1st of March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/NZD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: RSI, MA, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The traders fascinated in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some suggestions studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
No categorical inclination with the HMM formulation. The Volume and SD give indication of a no regime technical analysis.
The identification of the hidden regime is not so obvious and specifically…
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Durden 24 Feb.

La coppia può manifestare una lateralizzazione. 
HMM e RSI sembrano suggerire una possibile fase di indecisione o marginalmente bearish .

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Durden 26 Feb.

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 5, 10, 29, 36
caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia attualmente (19:12:30 nei TF 15 Min
suggeriscono dei regimi di vendita .
Le analisi sui volumi non vengono significativamente a negare 
al regime di Sell o laterale.

Durden avatar
Durden 27 Feb.

Suggerimenti per il sell con lo studio dei processi hidden.
Le analisi dei grafici invece potrebbero
suggerire  delle tendenze laterali.
In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 10:15  si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.50 STDEV.

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Durden 28 Feb.

I grafici  denotano una  dinamica  in regime buy. Lo studio dei processi Markoviani sembrano invece propendere per una fase di lateralizzazione.

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Durden 1 Mar.

Suggerimenti per il sell con lo studio dei processi hidden.
Le analisi dei grafici invece potrebbero indicare delle tendenze laterali.
In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 09:30:00  si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.33 STDEV.

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 25 May as Analysis on GBP/NZD, Target: 1.88082, Date: 3rd of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/NZD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.887
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.887 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.
Daily VISION
The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a …
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Durden 15 June

Hidden Markov Models coherently bearish with some sell opportunities

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foreignexchange 27 June

Great technical analysis

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Durden 27 June

The Hidden Markov Model analysis integrated with the RSI analysis can evaluate the BUY dynamics

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Durden 28 June

BEARISH  regime with Hidden Markov Processes.
RSI not coherent with chart analysis and SELLING

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Durden 30 June

The study of the chart integrated with the RSI suggest a BUY dynamics.
The HMM analysis isfor a bearish retracement

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 27 Apr. as Analysis on GBP/NZD, Target: 1.93291, Date: 1st of June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/NZD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.98097
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.98097. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.
Daily VISION
The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in…
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4 Comments
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Durden 11 May

Hidden Markov Models and Technical Analysis suggest the slightly bearish regime

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Durden 16 May

Bullish with HMM coherently with RSI

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Durden 24 May

The study of the Hidden Markov Model Indicator  integrated with the RSI analysis  coherent with the possibility of  a secondary  retracement, a slightly bullish dynamics for the  Asian  session could be coherent with the analysis

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Durden 25 May

The speculations after the PMI release could suggest a supporting regime for the British Pound coherently with the Hidden Markov Model.

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 31 Jan. as Analysis on GBP/NZD, Target: 2.12287, Date: 1st of March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/NZD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 2.10807 2.12287 2.22132

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/NZD pair is moving in a bearish triangle dynamics with a resistance zone at 2.10807. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a bearish tendency.

Daily VISION…
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3 Comments
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Durden 31 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly bearish  market side forecast. The pair  GBP/NZD  can have a trendless dynamics at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 5 Feb.

Bearish possible retracement for the pair. Forecast bearish for the asian session 

Durden avatar
Durden 23 Feb.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  sellers market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime.  The chart analysis and the Standard dev analysis are coherent with a GBP/NZD bearish market. The possibility of Brexit can support the dynamics.

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BEARISH CHANNEL

Durden Posted 31 Dec. as Analysis on GBP/NZD, Target: 2.18981, Date: 1st of February, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #NZD #GBP/NZD #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.93085 2.08182 2.18981 2.32999

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/NZD pair is moving in a bearish dynamics with a resistance zone at 2.08182. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a bearish tendency.

Daily VISION…
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Durden 14 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bullish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buying market side forecast. The pair GBP/NZD  can have a  + 0.8  %  at the Asian session opening. 

Durden avatar
Durden 28 Jan.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly  bullish regime.
The GBP/NZD  pair  can have a + 0.2  %  at the Asian session opening. 

Durden avatar
Durden 31 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  selling  market side forecast. The pair  GBP/NZD  can have a  selling domination  at the Asian session opening.

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TRENDLESS REGIME

Durden Posted 24 Nov. as Analysis on GBP/NZD, Target: 2.3422, Date: 1st of January, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #NZD #GBP/NZD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes


INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 2.24891 2.34220 2.35030

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/NZD pair is moving in a trendless dynamics with a resistance zone at 2.35030. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily VIS…
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3 Comments
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Durden 24 Nov.

GBP is in a bearish regime against the NZD counterpart. The Hidden Markov Model is coherent with a - 1.32 % at the Asian session.

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Durden 30 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias - slightly bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling  market side forecast. The pair GBP/NZD can have a  -0.03 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 13 Dec.

The GBP/NZD pair can have a bearish retracement in consideration of the HMM forecast.

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BEARISH TRIANGLE WITH HMM

Durden Posted 30 Oct. as Analysis on GBP/NZD, Target: 2.1403, Date: 1st of December, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #NZD #GBP/NZD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 2.08683 2.14032 2.44893

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/NZD pair is moving in a bearish triangle dynamics with a resistance zone at 2.44893. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily…
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4 Comments
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Durden 3 Nov.

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bullish regime.      The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair GBP/NZD can have a +0.1 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 12 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The pair  GBP/NZD  can have a +0.8 % at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 24 Nov.

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bearish regime.      The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair GBP/NZD can have a  -0.8 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 30 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias slightly bearish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  slightly bearish  market side forecast. The pair  GBP/NZD  can have a  -0.08 % at the Asian session opening.

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TRENDLESS DYNAMICS with HMM integration

Durden Posted 30 Sep. as Analysis on GBP/NZD, Target: 2.3330, Date: 2nd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #NZD #Volatility #GBP/NZD #Trendless #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 2.13518 - 2.333 - 2.45097 - 2.53087

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 2.53087. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency. The chart analysis suggest…
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3 Comments
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foreignexchange 1 Oct.

Great analysis.  stai in ufficio parioli ?

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Durden 2 Oct.

The GBP/NZD  is in a bearish regime with a support zone at 2.30 . The NZD positive bias can be improved  by the Oil retracement. The hidden state target is evaluated at -0.1 % at US closing market.

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Durden 8 Oct.

The pair shows a bearish regime. Also Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.3% of the GBP pair again the NZD counterpart.
GBP  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime.

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