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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 30 May as Analysis on GBP/CHF, Target: 1.35369, Date: 2nd of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , Standard Dev (SD), RSI, MA, Volatility, Volume
The fascinated statistical traders could study the HMM considering the Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott book (Hidden Markov Models in Finance book).
Weekly VISION
The pair is classified statistically in a kind of Sell dynamics. The Hidden Markov Study valuation indicates a possible resistance zone at around 129 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 251Pips from the price value calculated at 3…
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Durden 7 June

I grafici dei prezzi possono considerarsi  di tipologia vendita.
Lo studio dei modelli HMM consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish.  In 20 min chart è possible valutare un modello sulla  convergenza della SD a livelli di  18.00 questo integrato a  un valore di RSI di 91.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell. 

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Durden 28 June

Gli studi Markoviani degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela H1 concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
Gli indicatori a sostegno sono Trix e Volume.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 65% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  giovedì 28 giugno 2018 13:45.

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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 21 Feb. as Analysis on GBP/CHF, Target: 1.29985, Date: 2nd of April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: RSI, MA, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The traders inspired in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some indications reading the book Hidden Markov Models in Finance, Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
The currency is graphically treated in a bullish dynamics with the Markovian Hidden Processes that indicates a possible resistance area around +154 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 140 Pips from the pr…
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Durden 28 Mar.

Valutando la coppia dal punto di vista statistico, avere una notevole probabilità di profitto  una trade in sell.
Per aggiungere un criterio di filtro si può valutare se i volumi in H4 siano superiori della media a 100.

Durden avatar
Durden 30 Mar.

Le analisi grafiche dei prezzi  alle 18:30 sembrano far convergere un criterio  di tipologia vendita. Lo studio dei modelli Hidden Markov consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish. In 15 min chart è possible valutare un modello sulla possible raggruppamento di livelli della SD a
10.00 questo insieme a  un valore di RSI di 83.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell.

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Durden 31 Mar.

Analisi Markoviane integrati con la pendenza delle medie a 9 e 20 su tf a 30 Min possono suggerire dinamiche laterali-bullish

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Durden 1 Apr.


Le analisi statistiche degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela 30 min concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
Gli indicatori a supporto sono RSI e Volatility.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 70% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  01 April 2018 22:15.

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Durden 2 Apr.

Inclinazioni per una dinamica rialzista, possibilità di buy su rimbalzi a media a 20 .
Volumi in linea con un buy
 

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 18 Jan. as Analysis on GBP/CHF, Target: 1.34257, Date: 1st of March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: MA, RSI, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The involved statistical traders could study the HMM considering the Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott book (Hidden Markov Models in Finance book).
Weekly VISION
The currency is evaluated statistically in a kind of bullish dynamics. The Markovian Methodology formulation indicates a possible resistance area at around 304 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 225Pips from the price value calculat…
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Durden 24 Feb.

La coppia  può manifestare una lateralizzazione. 
HMM e RSI sembrano suggerire una possibile fase di indecisione o marginalmente bullish .

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Durden 26 Feb.

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 5, 10, 29, 36
caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia attualmente 19:13  nei TF 5 Min
suggeriscono dei regimi di buy.
Le analisi sui volumi non sembrano contrapporsi
al regime di buy o laterale.

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Durden 27 Feb.

La chart analysis denotano una  dinamica  di tipo bearish. Lo studio statistico sembrano invece propendere per una fase di lateralizzazione.

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Durden 28 Feb.

Indicazione di svalutazione per la coppia con lo studio dei processi hidden.
I grafici invece potrebbero indicare delle tendenze laterali.
In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 20:45:00  si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.50 STDEV.

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Durden 1 Mar.

Indicazione di mercato laterale per la coppia con lo studio dei dei risultati hidden.
Dal punto di vista grafico invece potrebbero  enotare delle possibili trade in buy su valori di CCI di ipercomprato dove si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 2.00 STDEV.

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 31 July as Analysis on GBP/CHF, Target: 1.24686, Date: 1st of September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.23698 1.30032
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The GBP/CHF pair is moving in a bearish dynamics in a triangle pattern with a resistance zone at 1.30032. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.
Daily VISION
The D1 s…
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Durden 25 Aug.

Around a bullish hidden cycle in H1

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Durden 28 Aug.

The Hidden Cycle Processes are coherent with a no bias dynamics

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Durden 30 Aug.

Potrebbe essere considerata area di supporto, sarebbe da verificare eventualmente qualche pattern che possa sostenere il buy. Anche gli hidden markov sono coerenti con il bullish.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Sep.

Thx

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Durden 1 Sep.

Bearish  regime Hidden Markov models, RSI coherent with the sell dynamics

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TRIANGLE PATTERN REGIME

Durden Posted 25 May as Analysis on GBP/CHF, Target: 1.25589, Date: 3rd of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.30081 1.25589
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The GBP/CHF pair is moving in a bullish dynamics in a triangle pattern with a resistance zone at 1.30081. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.
Daily VISION
The D1 s…
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Durden 15 June

Hidden Markov Models coherently bullish with a CHF retracement.

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foreignexchange 27 June

Great technical analysis, bullish possibilities ?

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Durden 27 June

The Hidden Markov Model analysis integrated with the RSI analysis can evaluate the BUY dynamics but politics with Brexit could dominate.

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Durden 28 June

Bearish regime with Hidden Markov Processes.
RSI not coherent with the selling chart analysis.

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Durden 30 June

The study of the chart integrated with the RSI suggest a BUY dynamics.
The HMM analysis is for a bearish retracement

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 27 Apr. as Analysis on GBP/CHF, Target: 1.30291, Date: 1st of June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.28629 1.31322
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The GBP/CHF pair is moving in a bullish dynamics in a channel pattern with a resistance zone at 1.3001. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.
Daily VISION
The D1 sca…
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Durden 11 May

Hidden Markov Models and Technical Analysis suggest the bearish dynamics

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Durden 16 May

Buy dynamics, Economic releases bullish

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Durden 24 May

The study of the Hidden Markov Model    integrated with the RSI  study to suggest the possibility of  a secondary  retracement, a slightly bullish dynamics for the  Asian  session could be coherent with the analysis

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Durden 25 May

The speculations after the PMI release could suggest a supporting regime for the British Pound coherently with the HMM.

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TRENDLESS ZONE

Durden Posted 30 June as Analysis on GBP/CHF, Target: 1.31322, Date: 1st of August, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.28619 1.31322

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/CHF pair is moving in a bearish dynamics in a channel pattern with a support zone at 1.28619. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

D…
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TRENDLESS REGIME

Durden Posted 31 Dec. as Analysis on GBP/CHF, Target: 1.48683, Date: 1st of February, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CHF #Rsi #Trendless #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.47022 1.48683 1.50887 1.55108

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/CHF pair is moving in a bullish dynamics in a channel pattern with a resistance zone at 1.55108. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.…
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3 Comments
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Durden 14 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  slightly bearish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buying market side forecast. The pair GBP/CHF  can have a -0.1%  %  at the Asian session opening. 

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Durden 28 Jan.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly  bullish regime.
The GBP/CHF  pair  can have a + 0.7  %  at the Asian session opening. 
The Oil drivers forecast correlated with the GBP economy  could support a little bearish tendency for the pair.

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Durden 31 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair GBP/CHF  can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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SLIGHTLY BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 24 Nov. as Analysis on GBP/CHF, Target: 1.5631, Date: 1st of January, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #CHF #GBP/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.29893 1.49331 1.56312

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/CHF pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.56312. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily VISION…
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Durden 24 Nov.

GBP is in a bearish regime against the CHF counterpart. The Hidden Markov Model is coherent with a - 1.02 % at the Asian session.

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Durden 30 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias - slightly bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling  market side forecast. The pair  GBP/CHF  can have a  -0.01 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 13 Dec.

The GBP/CHF pair can have a bearish retracement in consideration of the HMM forecast.

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TRIANGLE PATTERN WITH HMM

Durden Posted 30 Oct. as Analysis on GBP/CHF, Target: 1.5307, Date: 1st of December, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #CHF #Volatility #GBP/CHF #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.41293 1.53093 1.55287

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/CHF pair is moving in a bullish dynamics in a triangle pattern with a resistance zone at 1.55287. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.
…
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Durden 3 Nov.

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bullish regime.      The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair GBP/CHF can have a  +0.29  % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 12 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The pair  GBP/CHF  can have a 0.8  % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 24 Nov.

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bearish regime.      The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair GBP/CHF can have a  -0.3 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 30 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias slightly bearish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  slightly bearish  market side forecast. The pair  GBP/CHF  can have a  -0.2 % at the Asian session opening.

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