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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 23 May as Analysis on GBP/CAD, Target: 1.69599, Date: 2nd of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , Standard Dev (SD), RSI, MA, Volatility, Volume
The traders involved in statistical trading (HMM in this study) can find some indications studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
HMM frame of reference suggest a great Sell dynamics for the cross pair. The study admit a possible 60,70% to have an depreciation of the pair value. It can lead to a Support level price at - 22 Pips…
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Durden 7 June

I grafici dei prezzi supportano  di tipo svalutativo .
Lo studio dei processi Markoviani consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish.  In 30 min  chart è possible valutare un modello sulla  convergenza della Standard Dev. su livelli di  16.00 questo unito a un valore di RSI di 86.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell. 

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Durden 28 June

Le analisi statistiche degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela H1 concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
A sostegno gli indicatori sono Volume e RSI.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 65% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  giovedì 28 giugno 2018 13:45.

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 21 Feb. as Analysis on GBP/CAD, Target: 1.78534, Date: 2nd of April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , MA, RSI, Standard Dev (SD)
The fascinated statistical traders could study the HMM considering the Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott book (Hidden Markov Models in Finance book).
Weekly VISION
The pair is classified statistically in a kind of bullish reign. The Hidden Markov Model evaluation indicates a possible resistance zone at around 312 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 229 Pips from the price value calculated at…
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Durden 28 Mar.

Valutando la coppia dal punto di vista statistico, avere una notevole probabilità di profitto  una trade in sell.
Per aggiungere un criterio di filtro si può valutare se i volumi in H1 siano superiori della media a 5.

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Durden 30 Mar.

Le analisi grafiche dei prezzi  alle 18:30 consentono una valutazione  del tipo sell. Lo studio dei modelli Hidden Markov consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish. In H3 chart è possible valutare un modello sulla convergenza della Standard Dev. su livelli di
17.00 questo unito a un valore di RSI di 90.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell.

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Durden 31 Mar.

MACD e STDEV insieme alle analisi Markoviane sembrano suggerire una dinamica bullish


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Durden 1 Apr.

Gli studi matematici degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela H1 concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
Gli indicatori a supporto sono Volume e RSI.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 76% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  01 April 2018 22:15.

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Durden 2 Apr.

Le analisi matematiche degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela H4 concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
A supporto gli indicatori sono Trix e RSI.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 56% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  02 April 2018 09:30.

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 18 Jan. as Analysis on GBP/CAD, Target: 1.81587, Date: 1st of March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , MA, RSI, Standard Dev (SD)
The traders interested in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some indications studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
Pair can be contemplated as in a buy dynamics. To sustain this view are employed two different techniques. The statistical trading with the Hidden Markovian methodology and the chart analysis (in…
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Durden 24 Feb.

La coppia può manifestare una lateralizzazione. 
HMM e RSI sembrano suggerire una possibile fase di indecisione o marginalmente bullish .

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Durden 26 Feb.

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 5, 10, 29, 36
caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia attualmente (19:14:26 nei TF H1
suggeriscono dei regimi di svalutazione.
Le analisi sui volumi non sembrano negare
al regime di Sell o laterale.

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Durden 27 Feb.

La chart analysis suggeriscono una  predominanza bullish. Lo studio statistico sembrano invece propendere per una fase di lateralizzazione.

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Durden 28 Feb.

Suggerimenti per il sell con lo studio dei processi hidden.
I grafici invece potrebbero suggerire  delle possibili lateralizzazioni.
In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 20:45:00  si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.25 STDEV.

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Durden 1 Mar.

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 8, 64, 329  caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia 09:30  nei TF 30 Min  suggeriscono dei regimi di sell.
Le analisi sui volumi possono sostenere al regime di Sell o laterale.

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 31 July as Analysis on GBP/CAD, Target: 1.57695, Date: 1st of September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.56891 1.69897
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The GBP/CAD pair is moving in a bearish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.69897. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.
Daily VISION
The D1 scale indicates tha…
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foreignexchange 22 Aug.

H4 chart, any hidden cycle bullish?

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Durden 25 Aug.

The Hidden Cycles suggest a no bias zone, but charty analysis seems different ;)

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Durden 28 Aug.

The Hidden Cycle Processes are coherent with a selling dynamics. RSI methodology support.

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Durden 29 Aug.

bullish dynamics with possibility of buy in some retracement

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Durden 30 Aug.

Potrebbe essere considerata area di supporto, sarebbe da verificare eventualmente qualche pattern che possa sostenere un ritracciamento bullish.

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 24 May as Analysis on GBP/CAD, Target: 1.70355, Date: 3rd of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.98301 2.00293 2.0293 2.06822
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The GBP/CAD pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 2.06822. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency. The chart can suggest a …
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Durden 15 June

Hidden Markov Models coherently bullish with a GBP retracement, Oil could have a bearish regime.

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foreignexchange 27 June

Bullish possibilities ? Great analysis technical.

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Durden 27 June

The HMM analysis integrated with the RSI analysis can evaluate the BUY dynamics

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Durden 28 June

Bullish regime with Hidden Markov Processes.
RSI not coherent with chart analysis buying.

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Durden 30 June

The study of the chart integrated with the RSI suggest a bullish regime.
The HMM analysis suggest a bearish retracement

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 27 Apr. as Analysis on GBP/CAD, Target: 1.72987, Date: 1st of June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.70002 1.75831
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The GBP/CAD pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.75831. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.
Daily VISION
The D1 scale indicates that th…
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Durden 25 May

The speculations after the PMI release could suggest a supporting regime for the British Pound coherently with the RSI analysis.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 29 May

Grande Analisi : ) 
Si pensa a speculazioni su petrolio.

Durden avatar
Durden 29 May

potrebbe anche laterlizzare. 

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Durden 30 May

Bullish retracement, Hidden Markov Model coherent with the retracement

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 31 May

Sembra stia ritracciando

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 30 June as Analysis on GBP/CAD, Target: 1.70017, Date: 1st of August, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.67029 1.70017 1.8000

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/CAD pair is moving in a bearish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.70017. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a bearish tendency. The chart can suggest a possible bu…
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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 30 Apr. as Analysis on GBP/CAD, Target: 1.82997, Date: 1st of June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #CAD #GBP/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.86687 1.82997 1.86687

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/CAD pair is moving in a bearish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.86687. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a bearish tendency. The chart can suggest a possible bu…
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Durden 2 May

Hidden Markov Model suggest a +0.03 for the US session

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Durden 11 May

The HMM analysis support the no bias regime

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Durden 17 May

The chart analysis and the hidden markov model support the bullish regime.
The dynamics of  pound can lead to a bullish regime, the monetary policy and the  referendum also can give support to this study

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 29 Feb. as Analysis on GBP/CAD, Target: 1.85977, Date: 1st of April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #CAD #GBP/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.82902 1.85977 1.93322

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/CAD pair is moving in a bearish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.93322. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a bearish tendency. The chart can suggest a possible bul…
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Durden 2 Mar.

.... but this TA is about GBP/CAD

: )

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Durden 2 Mar.

The GBP/CAD  chart analysis is coherent with a bullish regime.
The HM  indicator and the RSI are coherent with a slightly bullish regime.
The resistance  line at 1.8899 can suggest a retracement.

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Durden 23 Mar.

The chart analysis  and Hidden Markov indicator for the GBP/CAD are coherent with a bearish regime.
1.8703 as possible resistance zone.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Apr.

Great analysis

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Durden 1 Apr.

The Hidden markov indicator suggest the possibility of a bearish retracement.
The NFP instead, as leading release can dominate the analysis.

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 31 Jan. as Analysis on GBP/CAD, Target: 2.00931 , Date: 1st of March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/CAD #Support #Resistance #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.93089 1.99018 2.0093 2.0988

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/CAD pair is moving in a bearish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.99018 . The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency. The chart can sugges…
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Durden 31 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair GBP/CAD  can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 5 Feb.

Bearish possible retracement for the pair. Forecast bearish for the asian session

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Durden 23 Feb.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  sellers market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime.  The chart analysis and the Standard dev analysis are coherent with a GBP/CAD bearish market. The possibility of Brexit can support the dynamics.

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