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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 23 May as Analysis on GBP/AUD, Target: 1.76536, Date: 2 von July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/AUD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , MA, RSI, Standard Dev (SD)
The traders fascinated in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some suggestions reading the book Hidden Markov Models in Finance, Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
The currency is graphically contemplated in a Bearish dynamics with the Hidden Markov methodology indicates a possible resistance area at around 148 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 108 Pips from th…
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2 Kommentar
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Durden 7 June

I grafici dei prezzi sembrano far convergere un criterio  di tipo buy.
Lo studio dei modelli HMM consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bullish.  In 20 min chart è possible valutare un modello sulla  possible raggruppamento di livelli della SD a  12.00 questo integrato a  un valore di RSI di 80.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di buy. 

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Durden 28 June

Gli studi statistici degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela 30 min concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
A sostegno gli indicatori sono Trix e Volume.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 53% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  giovedì 28 giugno 2018 13:45.

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 26 Apr. as Analysis on GBP/AUD, Target: 1.87295, Date: 1 von June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/AUD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: RSI, MA, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The traders inspired in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some indications studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
Pair can be contemplated as in a buy dynamics. To sustain this view are employed two different techniques. The statistical trading with the Hidden Markovian methodology and the chart analysis (integ…
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Durden 3 May

Le interpretazioni dei grafici dei prezzi supportano  di tipologia mercato in vendita.
Lo studio dei modelli Hidden Markov consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish.  In H5 chart è possible valutare un modello sulla  convergenza della SD a livelli di  11.00 questo insieme a  un valore di RSI di 89.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell. 

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Durden 19 May

Graficamente si potrebbe anche presupporre una dinamica laterale, ma lo studio dei modelli HMM  sembrano suggerire una valorizzazione del regime in Sell tf 30 Min. Volumi coerenti con inclinazioni marginali sulle dinamiche dei prezzi.

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Durden 23 May

HMM e analisi grafiche  possono sostenere un regime di indecisione dei mercati.
La coppia potrebbe avvalersi di qualche opportunità in buy sfruttando le intersezioni delle medie a 20  e 200 con i vincoli di volumi sopra la media a 10.

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Durden 25 May

Sviluppo di regimi bullish elaborando il trading statistico HMM.
A livello di possibili uscite basate sulla STDEV si può valutare per il TFH1 delle 13:02:56 un coefficiente pari a  2.00 STDEV.

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Durden 30 May

Fase di leggera predominanza di sell o mercato laterale. Alle 15:06:57 si potrebbe tendere a suggerire un possible sell con uscita su una distanza di circa 1.20  della  STDEV.

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 21 Feb. as Analysis on GBP/AUD, Target: 1.80353, Date: 2 von April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/AUD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , MA, RSI, Standard Dev (SD)
The inspired statistical traders could study the HMM considering the Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott book (Hidden Markov Models in Finance book).
Weekly VISION
The pair is classified statistically in a kind of buy dynamics. The Hidden Markov Methodology evaluation indicates a possible resistance zone at around 264 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 295Pips from the price value calculated …
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12 Kommentar
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Durden 28 Mar.

Volumi decrescenti, HMM e grafici da buy.  Possibili entry in rientro da ipervenduto su RSI e dalle Bande di Bollinger.

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Durden 30 Mar.

Le analisi grafiche dei prezzi  alle 18:30 possono considerarsi  di tipo mercato in vendita. Lo studio dei modelli Hidden Markov consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish. In H8 chart è possible valutare uno studio sulla convergenza della Standard Dev. su livelli di
15.00 questo insieme a  un valore di RSI di 83.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di vendita.

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Durden 31 Mar.

Lo studio dei modelli markoviani nascosti  potrebbe suggerire un possible sviluppo rialzista.
Se si dovessero poi avere dei valori di rientro da RSI in ipervenduto intorno a 13.00 in 15 Min, si potrebbe anche considerare una trade bullish

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Durden 1 Apr.

Gli studi statistici degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela 30 min concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
A supporto gli indicatori sono Trix e RSI.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 67% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  01 April 2018 22:15.

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Durden 2 Apr.

Lo studio dei modelli markoviani nascosti  potrebbe suggerire un possible sviluppo rialzista.
Se si dovessero poi avere dei valori di rientro da RSI in ipervenduto intorno a 16.00 in 30 Min, si potrebbe anche considerare una trade bullish

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NO REGIME DYNAMICS

Durden Posted 18 Jan. as Analysis on GBP/AUD, Target: 1.711116, Date: 1 von March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/AUD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: RSI, MA, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The inspired statistical traders could study the HMM considering the Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott book (Hidden Markov Models in Finance book).
Weekly VISION
The currency is evaluated statistically in a kind of bullish dynamics. The Hidden Markov Model estimation indicates a possible resistance area at around 129 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 280Pips from the price value calculated …
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8 Kommentar
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Durden 24 Feb.

La coppia può manifestare una lateralizzazione. 
HMM e RSI sembrano suggerire una possibile fase di indecisione o marginalmente bullish .

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Durden 26 Feb.

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 8, 15, 89
caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia attualmente  19:18 nei TF 30 Min
suggeriscono dei regimi di vendita .
Le analisi sui volumi possono affermare  un regime di Sell o laterale.

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Durden 27 Feb.

Le analisi grafiche denotano una  dinamica  in regime di buy. Le analisi statistiche sembrano invece propendere per una fase di lateralizzazione.

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Durden 28 Feb.

Indicazione di svalutazione per la coppia con lo studio dei processi hidden.
Le analisi dei grafici invece potrebbero denotare delle tendenze laterali.
In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 20:45:00  si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.25 STDEV.

Durden avatar
Durden 1 Mar.

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 29, 89, 200  caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia nei TF 5 Min suggeriscono dei regimi di sell.
Le analisi sui volumi possono affermare  al regime di Sell o laterale.

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GBPAUD

Durden Posted 31 July as Analysis on GBP/AUD, Target: 1.60958, Date: 1 von September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/AUD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.66129
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The GBP/AUD pair is moving in a bearish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.73297. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a bearish retracement.
Daily VISION
The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is …
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foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 22 Aug.

H1 chart, any hidden cycle bearish?

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Durden 25 Aug.

Thanks, in H1 HMM could suggest a no bias zone

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Durden 28 Aug.

The Hidden Cycle Processes are coherent with a no bias regime

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Durden 29 Aug.

bullish dynamics with possibility of a buy in some retracement

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Durden 30 Aug.

Potrebbe essere considerata area di ritracciamento, sarebbe da verificare eventualmente qualche pattern che possa sostenere il rientro in buy.

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 24 May as Analysis on GBP/AUD, Target: 1.66165, Date: 3 von July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/AUD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.66129
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The GBP/AUD pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.7632. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a bearish retracement.
Daily VISION
The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is i…
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6 Kommentar
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Durden 15 June

Hidden Markov Models coherently bearish  with an Australian dollar retracement.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 27 June

Possibility for a slightly bullish tendency ?

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Durden 27 June

The Hidden Markov Model analysis integrated with the RSI analysis can evaluate the BUY dynamics but politics could dominate

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Durden 28 June

Sell regime with Hidden Markov Processes.
RSI coherent with chart analysis and the bearish market.

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Durden 30 June

The study of the chart integrated with the RSI suggest a buy dynamics.
The HMM analysis is for a selling retracement

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 27 Apr. as Analysis on GBP/AUD, Target: 1.76298, Date: 1 von June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/AUD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
NDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS :
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The GBP/AUD pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.8001 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.
Daily VISION
The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in …
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Durden 11 May

Il rapporto sull'inflazione redatto dalla Bank of England (BOE) fornisce un'analisi economica che potrebbe sostenere il GBP.

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Durden 11 May

Hidden Markov Models and Technical Analysis suggest the  bearish regime

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Durden 16 May

Sterlina sostenuta anche dalle politiche europee, regime di buy

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Durden 24 May

The study of the HMM analysis  integrated with the RSI study  coherent with the possibility of  a secondary  retracement, a slightly bullish dynamics for the  Asian  session could be coherent with the analysis

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Durden 25 May

The speculations after the PMI release could suggest a supporting regime for the British Pound coherently with the RSI study.

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TRENDLESS REGIME

Durden Posted 30 June as Analysis on GBP/AUD, Target: 1.80083, Date: 1 von August, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/AUD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.77617 1.80083 1.85567

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/AUD pair is moving in a bearish dynamics with a support zone at 1.77617. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

Daily VISION…
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BEARISH TRIANGLE DYNAMICS

Durden Posted 29 Feb. as Analysis on GBP/AUD, Target: 1.95087, Date: 1 von April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #AUD #GBP #GBP/AUD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.91718 1.95087 1.98302

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/AUD pair is moving in a bearish triangle dynamics with a support zone at 1.91718. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

Daily VI…
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Durden avatar
Durden 2 Mar.

The GBP/AUD  chart analysis is coherent with a bullish regime.
The HM  indicator and the RSI are coherent with a slightly bullish regime.
The resistance  line at 1.9498 can suggest a retracement.

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Durden 23 Mar.

The chart analysis  and Hidden Markov indicator for the GBP/AUD are coherent with a bullish regime.
1.8802 as possible resistance zone.

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 31 Jan. as Analysis on GBP/AUD, Target: 2.00032, Date: 1 von March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/AUD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.98300 2.00032 2.08907

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/AUD pair is moving in a bearish dynamics with a support zone at 2.08907. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

Daily VISION…
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3 Kommentar
Durden avatar
Durden 31 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime.
The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair  GBP/AUD  can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 5 Feb.

Bearish possible retracement for the pair. Forecast bearish for the asian session

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Durden 23 Feb.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  sellers market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime.  The chart analysis and the Standard dev analysis are coherent with a  bearish market. The possibility of Brexit can support the dynamics.

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