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Jackson Hole overrated?

Daytrader21 Postado 26 Ago  em #Trader's blog #Fed #Janet Yellen #Jackson Hole
Hi,
Janet Yellen's speech at the elite annual meeting Jackson Hole is probably one of the more widely anticipated speeches of Fed Chairwomen, but the real question is whether or not the Jackson Hole meeting is overrated or not. Taking in consideration the dull market condition faced so far maybe this catalyst can be the only hope for this market. A lot of the financial pundits speculate on the possibility that Janet Yellen will deliver and hawkish speech pointing to September rate hikes.
If you'…
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Next event risk: Fed lift-off

Daytrader21 Postado 5 Dez  em #Trader's blog #Ecb #Interest Rates #Fed
As expected the market didn't disappointed us in terms of the volatility it has generated so far through the last month of the year, but the only disappointment was in the fact that the ECB has failed us all in meeting market expectation and delivering on his promises. There're going to be a lot of event risks through the end of the year but above all the most anticipated without a doubt is the Fed rate decision which as per market expectation and the Fed fund futures there is a 80% probability …
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Last month of the year

Daytrader21 Postado 1 Dez  em #Trader's blog #Ecb #Qe #Monetary Policy #Fed
Since this is the last month of the year it will be your last chance to make up for the year but at the same time it can break you out as this month looks quite heavy in terms of macro data and big monetary policy decision across the FX landscape. The seasonality patterns during an environment which looks to be under the influence of mainly the monetary policy as the main driver of FX price can be altered.
Make no mistake about it but both ECB action this week to upgrade their QE program will ha…
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miriam1313 4 Dez

Good Luck Sir!

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December Fed Liftoff anf ECB Upgrade QE

Daytrader21 Postado 9 Nov  em #Trader's blog #Ecb #Qe #Fed
The final two months of the year are going to be very interesting not just in the fact that we have strong seasonality at play but more because the fundamental themes are going to play an even major role. If Fed does indeed hike the interest rates, which was my thesis from beginning of this summer because if you look at all of the other major monetary policy changes Fed has a thing to do them around December see QE, tapering etc.
If that would be the case coupled with ECB taking action and upgra…
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USDJPY Long Setup SL Hit

Daytrader21 Postado 29 Out  em #Trader's blog #Usdjpy #Fed
Even thought my long bias on USD/JPY was proven correct I still lost a little bit on this position, but not that much. Taking in consideration that I was long this pair since Tuesday but the market was showing any willingness to move I had to play with my positions very defensively as with this risk events you can never be sure of where the market will ultimately go.
So, just ahead of the Fed announcing the interest rate decision I've moved my SL level as I wasn't prepared to let the market go t…
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Prepearing the Week Ahead

Daytrader21 Updated 25 Out  em #Trader's blog #Boj #Monetary Policy #Interest Rates #Fed
Definitely the week ahead is shaping out to be pivotal in determining whether or not the movements started last week are genuine and we're going to see some follow through or the market will complete reverse and go the other way. The Economic calendar looks quite heavy this week as we have Fed rate decision which as per market expectation should be a predictable event in the sense that Fed will hold monetary policy.
On the other side of the monetary policy spectrum we have BOJ which many are spe…
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Joe_Vulcan 25 Out

Nice.  This has me pumped up.

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October Fx Market Outlook

Daytrader21 Postado 7 Out  em #Trader's blog #Ecb #Eurusd #Article Contest #Qe #Fed #Fx Market
In this article we’re going to look at both the technical setup as well as the fundamental themes that have been dictating the movements in the FX Market for the month of September and what’s going to drive the market forward in the coming month. The fact that we haven’t been able to see a rally in the equity market and a continuous decline in the US Dollar it tells us that something significant is happening, and that is a shift in the belief of monetary policy and its influences over the marke…
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Have No Fear Daytrader21 Is Still Here:)

Daytrader21 Postado 18 Set  em #Trader's blog #USD/CAD #Interest Rates #Fed
Last 48 hours have been very intense in the financial markets as everyone on this planet was waiting for the FED to deliver its monetary policy. As expected the FED kept on hold its monetary policy keeping the rates for another month at historical low levels. Now, that's not a new story, however they way Fed has decided to handle this decision is utterly BS as they have prepared the market for such a long time for a rate hike and now they keep delaying it and there are strong speculation they th…
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The Terminus Point

Daytrader21 Postado 17 Set  em #Trader's blog #Interest Rates #Fed #Us Dollar
Today is the one of the biggest day that we have seen recently as the Fed can either move towards normalizing interest rates or it can choose to keep them at historical low level for more time. Even though my expectation is for NO change in monetary policy I'm still factoring in a 20% probability of a rate hike. I mean anything can happen but the higher probability suggest a no move today.
The other half of the equation is how the market will respond as depending on how hawkish or dovish Yellen …
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Berkeley avatar
Berkeley 17 Set

keep it up, bro! ;) let it shake and rattle!

Daytrader21 avatar
Daytrader21 17 Set

Berkeley slow and steady:)

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Preparing The Week Ahead

Daytrader21 Postado 13 Set  em #Trader's blog #Fed #Interest Rate
Coming week is for sure one that can generate some volatility as we have Fed announcing the interest rate decision. Even thought I'm not expecting the Fed to start hiking rates this meeting it will be the one to watch as it will give serious hints of a possible move later this year.
I'm not sure if I really want to take any position ahead of the FED meeting unless I really have strong conviction about my trades so I'll be waiting to see how the market will be opening and see if there is any clea…
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