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Cable lowest since 2009

Cable has broken March low (1.4635) and 1.46 level to post new five-year lows (1.4587) before it bounced from Weekly Support 3 and staged 80 pip profit taking rally. It is now consolidating around 1.4650 level and even if it won't close below the mentioned low, it will still most certainly be lowest weekly close in five years. That points to further losses in the week ahead, with pre-election uncertainty not helping.
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GBP/USD to remain in recent range

Monthly chart:
Current medium-term downtrend has broken longer-term uptrend, which is marked on the chart as trendline that supported the pair in 2009, 2010 and 2013. After trading down to below 1.50 in January, the pair reversed all sub 1.55 losses in February and even broke above the big level. At that point it looked like a bottom is in place, but the breakout proved to be fake as the pair fell all the way to 1.4635, breaking 2013 low in the process. Next stronger support now comes near May 2…
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al_dcdemo 12 Apr.

UPDATE 4: There are two main risk events in the week ahead: inflation report on Tuesday and labour market report on Friday. While the pair may continue to sell off on weaker data, upticks on stronger data may be short-lived as election worries prevail. There's not much support until 1.45 level and 76.4% retracement of the 2009 to 2014 uptrend near 1.4375. Initial resistance should come in near 1.4670 - 1.4700 and then stronger around 1.4750.

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al_dcdemo 18 Apr.

UPDATE 5: Pip-wise, the pair was the second best performer on the week, after Loonie. Weak break of last Friday's low on Monday and subsequent rejection was followed by almost 200 pip rally from the lows on Tuesday (bleak US Retail Sales report) and continued in trending fashion until Friday, when pop above 1.50 on solid UK jobs report was countered by strong selling. It still managed to close near recent range top and above previous week's open.

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al_dcdemo 19 Apr.

UPDATE 6: MPC Meeting Minutes on Wednesday are not expected to offer anything new, while Retail Sales report on Thursday may provide some volatility. Technically, the pair appears poised to break top of the recent range near 1.50 level and 50 DMA. If that happens, 100 DMA is the next level to watch. However, due to UK elections and associated worries, further ranging action in the pair is just as likely.

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al_dcdemo 25 Apr.

UPDATE 7:The pair was the best performer among majors this week, in both pip and percentage categories. It brushed aside election worries, jumped after the hawkish BOE minutes and shrugged off weak Retail Sales report. It added more than two cents, while the weekly range was worth more than three cents. It broke and closed above 50 and 100 DMA and trendline drawn off July 2014 and February 2015 highs, closing the week at the top.

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al_dcdemo 26 Apr.

UPDATE 8: Prelim GDP q/q on Tuesday and FOMC meeting on Wednesday are the main risk events for the pair in the week ahead, but with UK elections closing in and also a holiday extended weekend, there's scope for some near-term consolidation or correction. 1.50 level should now act as a strong support and 50 DMA just below that can be viewed as an additional safety net.

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