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March Release of Dukascopy Bank Sentiment Index Report

Full report is available here.
Summary
The global economy seems to have stabilized in the previous month, following a turbulent ride in the beginning of the year. The overall economic sentiment was mainly boosted by renewed optimism over the state of Chinese economy along with higher oil prices, which were, in turn, bolstered by expectations that the world’s major producers could come to an agreement to freeze crude oil extraction. Despite that, the persistent economic uncertainty and recent pol…
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UK inflation not to falling the prices?

Today sees the publication of the UK inflation figures for April which are likely to show for the first time in a while a fall in the rate of annual inflation. However whilst this dip is welcome it will remain over target which will make it some 41 months in a row that this has been the case. To show the significance of this in relation to UK economic policy making I would like to take you back to the Bank of England Inflation Report of May 2009 which told us this.Inflation is likely to fall bac…
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liana677 avatar
liana677 27 mai

Not the same month as that is March rather than April but I suspect that the same will hold. Rather than a theoretical dissection of the position I thought it would be clearer to show the numbers and the contradictions they clearly imply.

janna333 avatar
janna333 27 mai

Last summer/autumn I was very critical of the methodology used in this measure which is called CPIH. If you look at today’s numbers you can see why.

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