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BEARISH WITH HMM

Durden Posted 26 Mar. as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.96916, Date: 1 von May, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , Standard Dev (SD), RSI, MA, Volatility, Volume
The traders inspired in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some suggestions reading the book Hidden Markov Models in Finance, Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
The currency is graphically examined in a bullish dynamics with the Hidden Markov Models (HMM) indicates a possible resistance area at around 134 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 128 Pips from the pri…
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5 Kommentar
Durden avatar
Durden 4 Apr.

Le interpretazioni dei grafici dei prezzi sostengono  di tipologia compratori.
Lo studio dei modelli HMM consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bullish.  In H1 chart è possible valutare un modello sulla  possible raggruppamento di livelli della SD a  12.00 questo unito a un valore di RSI di 91.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di buy. 

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Durden 11 Apr.

Le analisi grafiche esprimono una dinamica da compratori. Le analisi  HMM consentono di denotare una possibilità di Buy.

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Durden 18 Apr.

Suggerimenti bearish con lo studio dei dei risultati hidden. I grafici invece potrebbero denotare delle tendenze laterali. In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 12:57:53 si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.11 STDEV.

Durden avatar
Durden 19 Apr.

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 8, 15, 89 caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia attualmente  15:04  nei TF 5 Min  suggeriscono dei regimi di bearish.
Le analisi sui volumi non sembrano contrapporsi al regime di Sell o laterale.

Durden avatar
Durden 30 Apr.

Analisi Marcoviane e statistiche  potrebbe suggerire un possible sviluppo rialzista.
Se si dovessero poi avere dei valori di rientro da RSI in ipervenduto intorno a 13.00 in 30 Min, si potrebbe anche provare una trade in buy

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 18 Jan. as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.60608, Date: 1 von March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , Standard Dev (SD), RSI, MA, Volatility, Volume
The traders interested in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some indications studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
No unequivocable direction with the statistic formulation. The SD and Volume give suggestion of a no regime technical analysis.
The identification of the hidden regime is not so obvious and speci…
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8 Kommentar
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Durden 24 Feb.

La coppia può manifestare una lateralizzazione. 
HMM e RSI sembrano suggerire una possibile fase di indecisione o marginalmente bearish .

Durden avatar
Durden 26 Feb.

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 8, 15, 89
caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia attualmente  nei TF 5 Min
suggeriscono dei regimi di bearish.
Le analisi sui volumi non sembrano negare mercato in Sell o laterale.

Durden avatar
Durden 27 Feb.

I grafici  suggeriscono una  predominanza da buy. Lo studio dei modelli HMM sembrano invece propendere per una fase di lateralizzazione.

Durden avatar
Durden 28 Feb.

Indicazione di svalutazione per la coppia con lo studio dei processi hidden.
I grafici invece potrebbero denotare delle tendenze laterali.
In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 20:45:00  si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 2.00 STDEV.

Durden avatar
Durden 1 Mar.

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 8, 15, 89 caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia 09:45 nei TF 5 Min  suggeriscono dei regimi di bearish.
Le analisi sui volumi non sembrano negare
al regime di Sell o laterale.

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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 24 May as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.62711, Date: 3 von July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.831
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a trendless pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.831. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a no bias tendency.
Daily VISION
The D1 scale indicates that the patttern …
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6 Kommentar
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Durden 15 June

Hidden Markov Models EUR analysis is coherently bullish with some opportunity in the trendline

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 27 June

Possibility of a bullish tendency ?

Durden avatar
Durden 27 June

The HMM study integrated with the RSI analysis can evaluate the BUY dynamics, ECB decision coherent with the bullish regime

Durden avatar
Durden 28 June

Chart analysis with bullish market. The RSI and the study of the Hidden Markov Processes are coherent with the BUY markets.

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Durden 30 June

The study of the chart integrated with the RSI suggest a BULLISH dynamics.
The HMM analysis is for a sell retracement

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NO BIAS REGIME

Durden Posted 27 July as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.56777, Date: 1 von September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.15122 9.49808 9.56777

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a trendless pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.56777 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a no bias tendency.
Daily VISION
The D1 sc…
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foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 27 Aug.

interesting analysis : )

Durden avatar
Durden 27 Aug.

Possibility for the bulliah regime

Durden avatar
Durden 28 Aug.

Hmm possibility of bullish retracement but not coherent with the chart analysis

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Sep.

Do you think that HMM could describe with a discrete accuracy also the cycle in energy commodities ?
A trader in chat noted that there are model similar utilized 

Durden avatar
Durden 1 Sep.

Probably, but it should verified for different number regimes. As in the Hidden state of macro variables.

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NO BIAS REGIME

Durden Posted 30 June as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.32083, Date: 1 von August, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.19856 9.32083 9.7000

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a trendless pattern dynamics with a support line at 9.19856 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

Daily …
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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 30 Apr. as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.15777, Date: 1 von June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.15777 9.32198

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a bearish pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.32198 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

Daily VISIO…
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4 Kommentar
Durden avatar
Durden 2 May

Hidden Markov Indicator support the slightly bullish regime for the session

Durden avatar
Durden 11 May

the HMM analysis support the slightly bullish regime

Durden avatar
Durden 17 May

The chart analysis and the hidden markov model support the bullish regime.
The dynamics of  the Euro zone can lead to a bullish regime, the monetary policy and the  British referendum also can give support to this study

Durden avatar
Durden 31 May

The BCE release can support the bearish regime for the EUR pair. The Hidden Markov study and the RSI analysis are coherent with a trendless regime. Slightly bearish for the pair EUR/SEK

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 29 Feb. as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.17217, Date: 1 von April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 8.9930 9.17217 9.63289

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a trendless pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.63289 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

Dail…
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2 Kommentar
Durden avatar
Durden 2 Mar.

The schengen question can give support to the bearish EUR regime.
So it could be possible a slightly bearish retracement.

Durden avatar
Durden 23 Mar.

The EUR/SEK chart analysis  and Hidden Markov indicator  are coherent with a bullish EUR recovery regime.

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SLIGHTLY REGIME

Durden Posted 28 Jan. as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.32983, Date: 1 von March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes

NDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.15329 9.32983 9.69098

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a trendless pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.69098 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Da…
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4 Kommentar
Durden avatar
Durden 31 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/SEK  can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 5 Feb.

German Factory Orders release at -0.7 %  can support the bearish dynamics and the bearish forecast for the US session.

Durden avatar
Durden 23 Feb.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  sellers market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime.  The chart analysis and the Standard dev analysis are coherent with a EUR/SEK bearish market. The possibility of Brexit can support the bearish dynamics of the EU area.

Durden avatar
Durden 1 Mar.

The EUR/SEK  chart analysis is coherent with the technical analysis.
The hidden Markov studies integrated with the RSI supported the forecast dynamics.
The pair level price and the forecast show a great accuracy.

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BEARISH RETRACEMENT

Durden Posted 30 Dec. as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.10322 , Date: 1 von February, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Trendlines #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 8.9522 9.10322 9.6682

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a trendless pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.67731 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

Daily…
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3 Kommentar
Durden avatar
Durden 14 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias - slightly bullish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buying market side forecast. The pair EUR/SEK  can have a  +0.1  %  at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 28 Jan.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bullish regime.
The EUR/SEK  pair  can have a 0.2  %  at the Asian session opening. 

Durden avatar
Durden 31 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/SEK  can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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BEARISH RETRACEMENT

Durden Posted 24 Nov. as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.1280, Date: 1 von January, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 8.93100 9.12801 9.1822 9.67731

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a bullish channel pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.67731 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.
…
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4 Kommentar
VictoriaVika avatar
VictoriaVika 24 Nov.

Good luck Nicola

Durden avatar
Durden 24 Nov.

EUR  is in a trendless  regime against the EUR/SEK counterpart. The Hidden Markov Model is coherent with a 0.3  % at the Asian session.  German Index are coherent with a slightly bullish forecast

Durden avatar
Durden 30 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  selling  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/SEK  can have a  -0.3 % at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 13 Dec.

The EUR/SEK pair can have a bearish retracement in consideration of the HMM forecast. Also the possibility of the FED decision could facilitate the barish EUR regime

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