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NO REGIME WITH HMM

Durden Posted 26 Mar as Analysis on EUR/NOK, Target: 9.58586, Date: 1 di Maggio, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/NOK #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , MA, RSI, Standard Dev (SD)
The traders interested in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some suggestions studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
No distinct orientation with the HMM formulation. The SD and Volume give suggestion of a no regime technical analysis.
Graphically there is not a great indication of the hidden regime and it is n…
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Durden 11 Apr

Le analisi grafiche esprimono una predominanzabearish. Le analisi Markoviane consentono di assecondare una possibilità di Sell.

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Durden 18 Apr

Indicazione di valutazione per la coppia con lo studio dei processi hidden.  Dal punto di vista grafico invece potrebbero indicare delle possibili lateralizzazioni. In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 12:58:35 si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.50 STDEV.

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Durden 19 Apr

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 8, 15, 89 caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia attualmente 15:05 GMT+2 nei TF H1 suggeriscono dei regimi di buy.
Le analisi sui volumi possono affermare  al regime di buy o laterale.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 29 Apr

Technical analysis with HMM in H1 ?

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Durden 30 Apr

Analisi grafiche e statistiche  potrebbe suggerire un possible sviluppo rialzista.
Se si dovessero poi avere dei valori di rientro da RSI in ipervenduto intorno a 8.00 in H1, si potrebbe anche pensare ad una possible entry in buy

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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 21 Feb as Analysis on EUR/NOK, Target: 9.59024, Date: 2 di Aprile, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/NOK #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: MA, RSI, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The traders inspired in statistical trading (HMM in this study) can find some indications reading the book Hidden Markov Models in Finance, Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
The currency is graphically contemplated in a bullish dynamics with the Hidden tipology of Markov Models (HMM) that indicates a possible resistance area around +118 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 189 P…
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Durden 28 Mar

Studiando  la coppia dal punto di vista statistico, sembra economicamente profittevole una trade in sell.
Per aggiungere un criterio di filtro si può valutare se i volumi in 30 Min siano superiori della media a 30.

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Durden 30 Mar

Le interpretazioni dei grafici dei prezzi  alle 18:30 sostengono    di tipologia svalutativo . Lo studio dei modelli HMM consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish. In H8 chart è possible valutare uno studio sulla convergenza della Standard Dev. su livelli di
10.00 questo unito a un valore di RSI di 86.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell.

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Durden 31 Mar

Analisi Marcoviane e statistiche  potrebbe suggerire un possible sviluppo rialzista.
Se si dovessero poi avere dei valori di rientro da RSI in ipervenduto intorno a 10.00 in 15 Min, si potrebbe anche considerare una trade bullish

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Durden 1 Apr

Le analisi statistiche degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela H4 concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
Gli indicatori a supporto sono Trix e Volume.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 66% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  01 April 2018 22:15.

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Durden 2 Apr

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 5, 10, 29, 36  caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia nei TF H1  suggeriscono dei regimi di bearish.
Le analisi sui volumi non sembrano contrapporsi  al regime di Sell o laterale.

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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 18 Gen as Analysis on EUR/NOK, Target: 9.66022, Date: 1 di Marzo, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/NOK #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: RSI, MA, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The traders interested in statistical trading (HMM in this study) can find some suggestions reading the book Hidden Markov Models in Finance, Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
No unequivocable inclination with the statistic formulation. The SD and Volume give expression of a no regime technical analysis.
Chart analysis also not estimate an appreciation or depreciation of the pair…
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Durden 27 Feb

Indicazione di svalutazione per la coppia con lo studio dei processi hidden.
I grafici invece potrebbero indicare delle possibili lateralizzazioni.
In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 10:15  si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.17 STDEV.

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Durden 28 Feb

Suggerimenti per il buy con lo studio dei processi hidden.
I grafici invece potrebbero
denotare delle tendenze laterali.
In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 20:45:00  si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.25 STDEV.

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Durden 1 Mar

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 5, 10, 29, 36  caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia 09:45 nei TF 15 Min suggeriscono dei regimi rialzisti.
Le analisi sui volumi non vengono significativamente a negare  al regime di buy o laterale.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Mar

Con un ritracciamento rialzista ;)

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Durden 1 Mar

Sembrerebbe abbia ritracciato,  se tiene il supporto.
Se si studia il grafico a 10 Min le medie possono suggerire una  dinamica  in regime di buy. Lo studio statistico sembrano invece propendere per una fase di lateralizzazione.

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 27 Lug as Analysis on EUR/NOK, Target: 9.48997, Date: 1 di Settembre, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/NOK #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 9.19177 9.48997 9.70317

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bullish channel dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the bullish dynamics and can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. The Brexit retracement and the Brent forecast can support the regime.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is …
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Durden 14 Ago

the oil retracement suggest the possibility of a bullish regime for the pair

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Durden 18 Ago

The Euro zone is in a recovery regime. The  technical HHM integrated with the RSI are coherent with a slightly bullish dynamics for the pair. The analysis in consideration of the volatility could be in agreement with the forecast. The forecast accuracy could be improved with the consideration of the Oil forecast speculation

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 27 Ago

Bearish ; )

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Durden 27 Ago

The regime do not support the forecast

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Durden 28 Ago

No bias regime HMM

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BULLISH DYNAMICS

Durden Posted 30 Giu as Analysis on EUR/NOK, Target: 9.46210, Date: 1 di Agosto, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/NOK #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 9.19856 9.46210 9.68919

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bullish channel dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the bullish dynamics and can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. The Brexit retracement and the Brent forecast can support the regime.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the pattt…
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Durden 31 Lug

The pair is in a bullish regime coherently with RSI indicator

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Durden 1 Ago

Norway manifacturing PMI can bring a different volarility

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Durden 1 Ago

Norway Manufacturing PMI result with a + 3.3 improve on the market consensum but the pair do not seems have a bearish behavior.

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Durden 1 Ago

HMM suggest the trendless dynamics for the forecast

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Durden 1 Ago

No trend regime, discrete accuracy for the pair

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 30 Apr as Analysis on EUR/NOK, Target: 9.17983, Date: 1 di Giugno, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #NOK #Rsi #EUR/NOK #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 9.17983 9.71891

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bearish dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the bullish dynamics and can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. The level price at 9.17983 as a support zone could bring to a bullish retracement.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern…
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5 Commenti
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Durden 30 Apr

The EUR/NOK can be bearish dominated in consideration of the EU monetary policy

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Durden 2 Mag

SLightly bullish for the US session, HMM indication

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Durden 11 Mag

Slightly bearish session for the HMM analysis

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Durden 17 Mag

The chart analysis and the hidden markov model support the bullish regime.
The dynamics of  Euro zone can lead to a bullish regime, the monetary policy and the  british referendum also can give support to this study

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Durden 31 Mag

The BCE release can support the bearish regime for the EUR pair. The Hidden Markov study and the RSI analysis are coherent with a trendless regime. Bearish for the pair EUR/NOK

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NO BIAS DOMINATION

Durden Posted 31 Mar as Analysis on EUR/NOK, Target: 9.50907, Date: 1 di Maggio, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/NOK #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 9.3197 9.50907 9.68022

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bullish channel dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the bullish dynamics and can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bullish channel with a support zone at 9.8898 . The trend can lead to a possible bullish reco…
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Durden 19 Apr

German ZEW could support the bullish dynamics for the pair

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Durden 27 Apr

The Hidden Markov indicator suggest the possibility of a bullish dynamics for the US session

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Durden 28 Apr

The German release seems to support the bullish analysis but the Hidden Markov model can indicates a trendless regime.

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Durden 29 Apr

The no bias dynamics for the EUR/NOK  could dominate the US session, the HMM and the RSI are coherent with the slightly bullish regime

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Durden 30 Apr

The EUR zone is in a bullish dynamics and could be supported in consideration of the Hidden Markov indicator and the RSI analysis. Bullish EUR/NOK

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TRIANGLE PATTERN

Durden Posted 28 Feb as Analysis on EUR/NOK, Target: 9.67732, Date: 1 di Aprile, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/NOK #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 9.19298 9.67732

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bullish triangle dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the bullish dynamics and can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. The level price at 9.19298 as a support can bring to the bearish regime.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a…
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2 Commenti
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Durden 2 Mar

The schengen question can give support to the bearish EUR regime.
So it could be possible that the EUR/NOK  slightly bearish retracement.

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Durden 23 Mar

The chart analysis  and Hidden Markov indicator for the pair are coherent with a bullish regime.
9.801 as possible resistance zone.

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 28 Gen as Analysis on EUR/NOK, Target: 9.82983, Date: 1 di Marzo, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/NOK #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 9.17292 9.82983 9.90887 10.22097

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bullish dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the bullish dynamics and can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. The level price at 9.90887 as a resistance can bring to the bearish retracement regime.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indica…
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3 Commenti
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Durden 31 Gen

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bearish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/NOK  can have a  selling  domination  at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 5 Feb

German Factory Orders release at -0.7 %  can support the bearish dynamics and the bearish forecast for the US session.

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Durden 23 Feb

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  sellers market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime.  The chart analysis and the Standard dev analysis are coherent with a  bearish market.

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BULLISH CHANNEL

Durden Posted 30 Dic as Analysis on EUR/NOK, Target: 9.70823 , Date: 1 di Febbraio, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Support #Resistance #EUR/NOK #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 9.17032 9.70823 9.80297 9.8889

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bullish channel dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the bullish dynamics and can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. The level price at 9.80297 as a resistance can bring to the bearish retracement regime.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale …
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3 Commenti
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Durden 14 Gen

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias - slightly bullish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buying market side forecast. The pair EUR/NOK  can have a  +0.22  %  at the Asian session opening.  The Oil drivers forecast and the EU macro releases  can support the slightly bullish trend for the pair

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Durden 28 Gen

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buying market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bullish regime.
The EUR/NOK  pair  can have a  +0.2  %  at the Asian session opening. 

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Durden 31 Gen

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/NOK  can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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