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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 23 May as Analysis on EUR/JPY, Target: 129.2216, Date: 2nd of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , Standard Dev (SD), RSI, MA, Volatility, Volume
The traders interested in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some suggestions reading the book Hidden Markov Models in Finance, Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
The currency is graphically contemplated in a bullish dynamics with the HMM indicates a possible resistance area at around 134 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 118 Pips from the price value calculat…
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Durden 7 June

I grafici dei prezzi possono considerarsi  di tipo buy.
La statistica markoviana di tipo hidden consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bullish.  In H1 chart è possible valutare uno studio sulla  convergenza della Standard Dev. su livelli di  9.00 questo insieme a  un valore di RSI di 87.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di buy. 

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Durden 28 June

Gli studi statistici degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela H1 concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
Gli indicatori a supporto sono Trix e RSI.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 78% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  giovedì 28 giugno 2018 13:45.

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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 26 Apr. as Analysis on EUR/JPY, Target: 131.696, Date: 1st of June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: RSI, MA, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The traders involved in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some indications reading the book Hidden Markov Models in Finance, Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
The currency is graphically contemplated in a bullish dynamics with the Hidden tipology of Markov Models (HMM) indicates a possible resistance area at around 132 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 169 Pi…
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Durden 3 May

Le analisi grafiche dei prezzi consentono una valutazione  di tipo valutativo.
Lo studio dei modelli Hidden Markov consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bullish.  In H4 chart è possible valutare uno studio sulla  possible raggruppamento di livelli della SD a  19.00 questo insieme a  un valore di RSI di 82.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di buy. 

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Durden 19 May

Analisi grafiche non sembra coerente con le analisi probabilistiche di HMM. I calcoli riferenti alle chiusure propendono per una direzionalità leggermente ribassista il grafico della coppia invece sostiene in parte un regime di tipo rialzista.

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Durden 23 May

Grafici e HMM possono sostenere un regime di indecisione dei mercati.
La coppia potrebbe avvalersi di qualche opportunità in buy sfruttando le intersezioni delle medie a 9  e 100 con i vincoli di volumi sopra la media a 10.

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Durden 25 May

Sviluppo di regimi di tipo buy considerando il trading statistico HMM. 
A livello di possibili uscite basate sulla STDEV si può valutare per il TFH1 delle 13:04:12 un coefficiente pari a  2.00 STDEV.

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Durden 30 May

Fase di leggera predominanza di sell o mercato laterale. Alle 15:07:41 si potrebbe tendere a suggerire un possible sell con uscita su una distanza di circa 1.13  della  STDEV.

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NO REGIME WITH HMM

Durden Posted 26 Mar. as Analysis on EUR/JPY, Target: 129.982, Date: 1st of May, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: RSI, MA, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The traders fascinated in statistical trading (HMM in this study) can find some indications reading the book Hidden Markov Models in Finance, Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
The currency is graphically treated in a Bearish dynamics with the Markovian Hidden Processes indicates a possible resistance area at around 87 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 106 Pips from the price …
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Durden 18 Apr.

Suggerimenti per il sell con lo studio dei processi hidden. I grafici invece potrebbero suggerire  delle tendenze laterali. In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 12:58:55 si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.50 STDEV.

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Durden 19 Apr.

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 8, 15, 89 caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia attualmente 15:05 GMT+2 nei TF H1 suggeriscono dei regimi di acquisto.
Le analisi sui volumi non sembrano negare al regime di buy o laterale.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 29 Apr.

Technical bearish with HMM?

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Durden 29 Apr.

It seems possibility on bullish  in H1, or do you mean other charts?

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Durden 30 Apr.

Lo studio dei modelli markoviani nascosti  potrebbe suggerire un possible sviluppo rialzista.
Se si dovessero poi avere dei valori di rientro da RSI in ipervenduto intorno a 10.00 in 30 Min, si potrebbe anche pensare ad una possible entry in buy

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 21 Feb. as Analysis on EUR/JPY, Target: 134.908, Date: 2nd of April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , Standard Dev (SD), RSI, MA, Volatility, Volume
The involved statistical traders could study the HMM considering the Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott book (Hidden Markov Models in Finance book).
Weekly VISION
The pair is denoted statistically in a kind of buy regime. The Hidden Markovian Processes estimation indicates a possible resistance zone at around 285 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 212Pips from the price value calculated at 2…
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Durden 28 Mar.

Metodologie Hidden e studio dei volumi in Buy, anche i grafici sono interpretabili con una predominanza buy.

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Durden 30 Mar.

La chart analisi  alle 18:30 consentono una valutazione  di tipologia mercato in vendita. La statistica markoviana di tipo hidden consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish. In H3 chart è possible valutare uno studio sulla convergenza della SD a livelli di
8.00 questo integrato a  un valore di RSI di 80.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell.

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Durden 31 Mar.

Analisi grafiche e statistiche  potrebbe suggerire un possible sviluppo rialzista.
Se si dovessero poi avere dei valori di rientro da RSI in ipervenduto intorno a 10.00 in H1, si potrebbe anche provare una trade in buy

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Durden 1 Apr.

Gli studi Markoviani degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela H1 concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
A sostegno gli indicatori sono Trix e Volume.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 64% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  01 April 2018 22:15.

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Durden 2 Apr.

Studi su modelli HMM  integrati con la pendenza delle medie a 10 e 25 su tf a 1 Min possono suggerire dinamiche bullish

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 18 Jan. as Analysis on EUR/JPY, Target: 137.982, Date: 1st of March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: MA, RSI, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The interested statistical traders could study the HMM considering the Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott book (Hidden Markov Models in Finance book).
Weekly VISION
The pair is classified statistically in a kind of bullish system. The Hidden Markovian Processes appraisal indicates a possible resistance zone at around 275 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 171Pips from the price value calculat…
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Durden 24 Feb.

La coppia può manifestare una fase bullish a livello di ritracciamento grafico. 
HMM e RSI sembrano suggerire una possibile fase di indecisione o marginalmente bullish.

Durden avatar
Durden 26 Feb.

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 29, 89, 200  caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia attualmente 19:23  nei TF H1 suggeriscono dei regimi di bearish.
Le analisi sui volumi possono affermare  al regime di Sell o laterale.

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Durden 27 Feb.

I grafici dei prezzi  alle 10:15:00 supportano  del tipo mercato in vendita. Lo studio dei processi Markoviani consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish. In 30 min  chart è possible valutare un modello sulla convergenza della Standard Dev. su livelli di
13.00 questo integrato a  un valore di RSI di 88.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell.

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Durden 28 Feb.

Le analisi grafiche suggeriscono una  dinamica  in regime sell. Lo studio statistico sembrano invece propendere per una fase di lateralizzazione.

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Durden 1 Mar.

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 8, 64, 329  caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia 09:45 nei TF 15 Min suggeriscono dei regimi di svalutazione.
Le analisi sui volumi possono sostenere al regime di Sell o laterale.

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BEARISH DYNAMICS

Durden Posted 24 May as Analysis on EUR/JPY, Target: 121.087 , Date: 3rd of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS: 116.008 126.97
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance line , W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
EUR/JPY is moving in a bullish dynamics. The chart analysis is slightly bearish in consideration of the possible retracement at the support line but the Hidden Markov Models Analysis seems to support the bearish retracement analysis. The RSI momentum indicator and the chart analysis distribution integrated with a Volume and Standard Deviation analysis seems t…
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Durden 15 June

Hidden Markov Models EUR analysis is coherently bullish but also the JPY is in that regime, so possibility of a no regime dynamics

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foreignexchange 27 June

Great analysis, possibility for bearish retracement?

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Durden 27 June

The HMM study integrated with the RSI analysis can evaluate the BUY dynamics, ECB decision coherent with the bullish regime

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Durden 28 June

Chart analysis coherent with a BUY market. The RSI and the study of the Hidden Markov Processes are coherent with the bullish markets.

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Durden 30 June

The study of the chart integrated with the RSI suggest a bullish dynamics.
The HMM analysis isfor a sell retracement

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BEARISH DYNAMICS

Durden Posted 27 July as Analysis on EUR/JPY, Target: 110.03, Date: 1st of September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS: 108.232 110.03 126.98

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

EUR/JPY is moving in a bearish dynamics. The chart analysis is slightly bearish in consideration of the possible retracement at the support line but the Hidden Markov Models Analysis seems to support the trendless analysis. The RSI momentum indicator and the chart analysis distribution integrated with a Volume and Standard Deviation analysis seems …
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Durden 14 Aug.

Japan industrial production could not have improvement, the HMM and the RSI could support the trendless bias

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Durden 18 Aug.

The Euro zone is in a recovery regime. The  technical HHM integrated with the RSI are coherent with a slightly bullish dynamics for the pair. The analysis in consideration of the volatility could be in agreement with the forecast. The forecast accuracy could be improved with the consideration of the Euro forecast recovery and the possibility of some Abe policies

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 27 Aug.

interesting

Durden avatar
Durden 27 Aug.

Thx but the bulliah regime  is not coherent with the forecast

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Durden 28 Aug.

Possibilitu of retracemennent with HMM

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 30 June as Analysis on EUR/JPY, Target: 113.030, Date: 1st of August, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS: 109.322 113.030 122.117

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

EUR/JPY is moving in a bearish dynamics. The chart analysis is slightly bearish in consideration of the possible retracement at the support line but the Hidden Markov Models Analysis seems to support the trendless analysis. The RSI momentum indicator and the chart analysis distribution integrated with a Volume and Standard Deviation analysis se…
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Durden 31 July

The release can support the yen consolidation

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Durden 31 July

Actually the pair is in a bullish regime with RSI coherent with the chart analysis

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Durden 1 Aug.

The JP manifacturing PMI  supported the bearish retracement of the pair

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Durden 1 Aug.

Bullish regime not so great accuracy

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Durden 1 Aug.

No trend phase, discrete accuracy

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 28 Feb. as Analysis on EUR/JPY, Target: 121.8010, Date: 1st of April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS: 121.8010 123.8129 127.0982 131.2993

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

EUR/JPY is moving in a triangle dynamics. The chart analysis is slightly bearish in consideration of the possible retracement at the support line but the Hidden Markov Models Analysis seems to support the trendless analysis. The RSI momentum indicator and the chart analysis distribution integrated with a Volume and Standard Deviation …
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Durden 2 Mar.

The schengen question can give support to the bearish EUR regime.

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Durden 23 Mar.

The chart analysis  and Hidden Markov indicator for the EUR/JPY are coherent with a bearish regime.
130.001 as possible resistance zone.

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TRIANGLE DYNAMICS

Durden Posted 28 Jan. as Analysis on EUR/JPY, Target: 129.9877, Date: 1st of March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 126.087 129.9877 133.187

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

EUR/JPY is moving in a triangle dynamics. The chart analysis is slightly bearish in consideration of the possible retracement at the support line but the Hidden Markov Models Analysis seems to support the trendless analysis. The RSI momentum indicator and the chart analysis distribution integrated with a Volume and Standard Deviation analysi…
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3 Comments
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Durden 31 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair EUR/JPY  can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 5 Feb.

German Factory Orders release at -0.7 %  can support the bearish dynamics and the bearish forecast for the US session.

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Durden 23 Feb.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  sellers market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime.  The chart analysis and the Standard dev analysis are coherent with a EUR/JPY  bearish market. The possibility of Brexit can support the bearish dynamics of the EU area.

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