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Taking Profits Too Earlier

I'm so mad at myslef because on both my shorts on EUR/USD and EUR/AUD I took my profits too earlier as the market was quite strong and moved more than +150 pips and +250 pips after I took my profits so this is a missed opportunity but I guess this comes as natural as after so many times the market moved 50-100 pips in my direction and short time after it returned back to BE, you don't want to go through the same pain anymore and next time when the market moves you take profits and you miss a big…
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EUR/AUD Short Trade

My first winner is the short EUR/AUD trade I've made yesterday and which has generated more than 120 pips profits. Now my account balance stands near 130k. With this trade I was aiming for a retest of previous week's low after the post-NFP rally we where unable to keep the momentum to the upside and this was reason enough to expect more downside and beside this I was expecting aussie to be strong this week and that's the reason why I choose EUR/AUD.
Right now I'm looking for further opportunitie…
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piter44 avatar
piter44 6 oct

More or less I was on this train too :)

Daytrader21 avatar

I'm not sure why but it seems that this pair is among the pairs that I'm most successful trading it

WallStreet6 avatar

NIce- I had this position, but it was closed due to a amrgin call as it rebounded up during the day:(

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EUR/AUD Trade Setup

My recent trades have been working out well for me after in the initial stage I saw some drawdown especially on USD/JPY in the end I managed to bring my equity curve near $150k mark which is an impressive run if you take in consideration that at one point my account balance was in 70%DD.
Unfortunately I got stopped out too earlier on my shorts EUR/AUD as I was using a trailing stop and I moved it just too close to the market action.
Best Regards,
Daytrader21
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EUR/AUD Consolidation mode

Over the last year EUR/AUD has been moving from large ranging zones to small ranging zones, moving back and forth between this consolidation phases. Right now the current established range is between 1.4400 resistance level and 1.4000 big round number and psychological number. Taking in consideration that we're approaching the summer time whee liquidity usually is low and thus the activity level is very low we should expect the market to move in tight range zones and this is…
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Daytrader21 avatar

Update 1: The market is still inside a wide range and has resistance at 1.4350 and support stands at big round number 1.4000. For the next week we should see the market once again trying to retest the low.

Daytrader21 avatar

Update 2: We're still consolidating between 1.3900 support zone and 1.4350 resistance level which basically form a range trading box. We should see further consolidation into next week between this 2 extreme levels. Another level we should keep an eye on is the middle of the box which comes at 1.4150

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FX Story Time

Is that time again when I'm rambling again about the FX markets and the sh*t going on in the land of the free market on a daily basis. There is no day passing by without to be amazed of the things going on with the FX Market. This time around I took again a long position on EUR/AUD after my first attempt failed to materialize around RBA rate decision, I spoke more about that trade here: RBA Cut Rates
Not to mention that the reaction on the RBA rate decision was absurd and I was expecting …
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guilhemch avatar

Nice story as usual. It is always difficult the handle these times when your forecast is right but you're not taking part in the party.

Daytrader21 avatar

guilhemch Yes, it's even harder when this is happening since beginning of the month, definitely not a good strategy to get in top 10 rank:)

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RBA Cut Rates

As per my expectations RBA has indeed pulled the trigger and cut the main interest rates by 0.25% to 2.00%. I have been warning of the high probability of an cut in my recent post here: Preparing the Week Ahead However despite this move from RBA, the market reaction was not as per my expectations as I was looking for more downside.
I only may guess that the market was heavily short and the rate cut was already price in by the market, so we got a short squeeze. In this regard I can see th…
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Ayub11 avatar
Ayub11 5 mai

My opinion is we have to wait till NFP for a major downside move. Its now GMT 10:30. For huge sell order already been made, big boys always play againest  retailers.

Daytrader21 avatar

Ayub11 There will be plenty of time to go short aussie, intraday is still look as it can make another marginal high before going down

Ayub11 avatar
Ayub11 5 mai

Agree with you. I am looking for 7930 for short to 7500

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FX - The Wild Wild West

So, a new month has started and like a good champ I'm , I start to make plans and tell myself I'm going to take only the setups that fits my criteria. So far so good until I see a trade on GBP/AUD (see Figure 1)and I see a nice short opportunity, everything was pointing for a down move and I decide to short it.
What do you thing happens the first moment after my order got triggered? Yes you're right the market starts moving against me . But it's not moving slow and steady but instead it's postin…
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Alexthebest avatar

: ........."WTF!!!! it's like the market knew all the time where my order was, but does she knew I was playing with virtual money LOL?"  :))))  com on give up: you have trade the same pos. in real too, I don´t tell to nobody I promise, if you said to me, right after that I order the funerary :))))))))))  -  a Little  joke :)) nu? :))))))))))))))))))))

Daytrader21 avatar

Alexthebest LOL.......... I have no problem whatsoever to admit that I either took(or dint' took)that trade in my live account, but the truth is that I didn't. Actually there where many time when I came out in my blog and spoke about the losses I took in my life account, but this time it was not the case. However what happens in my live account is none of your business:)

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Short EUR/AUD. Trade Explanation

Currency Pair: EUR/AUD
Side: Short
Amount: 5Mill
Time Frame: 1h
Open Price: 1.435257
Close Price: 1.43236
PnL: +29pips
Open date: 18.08.2014 16:32:20
Close Date: 18.08.2014 13:46:52
Reasons Behind the trade: This trade was based just on technicals alone and more precisely on the momentum pressure. After we established the 1.43420 and had a little bounce that fact that we didn't had any follow through made me consider taking this short. The main trend was also to the downside so in order to have …
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Long EUR/AUD. Trade Explanation

Currency Pair: EUR/AUD
Side: Long
Amount: 5Mill
Time Frame: 1h
Open Price: 1.43679
Close Price: 1.432972
PnL: -38pips
Open date: 15.08.2014 02:55:25
Close Date: 14.08.2014 09:24:32
Reasons Behind the trade: This trade was based just on technicals alone and although I was trading against the main bearish trend I only expected a small bounce but as it can been seen trading against the trend can be costly. Another big mistake I've done is that I've moved my SL to soon and to close to market action …
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Stix avatar
Stix 18 aou

I have EUR/AUD open as a possible opportunity today or further in the week. For now, I am looking for a possible entry long into the bias around 1.4355 area. :) I don't anticipate that I have Leverage for it this morning.

Daytrader21 avatar

Stix I don't know what to say about that because for me it was just a short term trade taking is consideration that I was trading against the main trend and there may be the case the current euro bearish trend may weight more and keep the pressure to the downside.

Stix avatar
Stix 18 aou

I agree. It's against the Weekly bias, so any long is limited. I see a long Daily bias, so I was thinking it's an opportunity for a trade to 1.4420 area and then a short back into the main bias. Technicals move all the time, so that's just a rough drawing for what I see this morning. :)

Daytrader21 avatar

Stix I hope it will work for you but for now I'm going to stay out and wait for a better opportunity.

Stix avatar
Stix 18 aou

Thanks. I too hope my judgment is good this morning. In hindsight, EUR/NZD is about 30 pips a better opportunity. I was unhappy with the support and still think it will come back for 1.5755 area. I might have waited for it - I still have much to learn, Daytrader21 ! Thanks. :)

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Some Updates

This is getting quite frustrating as my account balance is back around BE point. We're already halfway through the month and haven't made any profits and this is mainly because I've choose the wrong pair to trade. More than 70% of my trades have been on EUR/UAD as I was expecting a breakout from current range, which never happened as we continue trading in a frustrating tight rang
Every time I tried to buy/sell this pair it has gone in may favor only 30-40 pips and than it reversed and stopp…
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