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The bulls added 12.3k yen contracts to lift their gross long position to 97.4k contracts. It is the largest long position since April. The bears added 2.2k to their gross short position, raising to 28.5k contracts.Sterling bulls are a fickle lot. After adding almost 29k contracts to their gross long position in the CFTC reporting week ending September 23, they liquidated 21.1k contracts in the most recent reporting period. The gross long position stands at 48.2k contracts. which matches the four…
varda's Blog
The Week Ahead: Should We Fear The Fed?
The calendar has little important data. Friday’s sharp selling was widely attributed to the fear of a Fed rate hike in September. Is it time? Should we fear the Fed?Last WeekThere was not much news, and it was another mixed picture.Theme RecapIn my last WTWA, I predicted a continuing discussion of the Fed and the timing of the first rate increase, combined with concern over a September market correction. The first part was pretty accurate all week, but the market remained quiet. The modest tradi…
Did Another Interest-Rate-Hike Forecast Just Bite The Dust?
Hawkish commentary from Fed officials in recent weeks has fueled speculation that the central bank may be poised to raise rates for a second time. Maybe so, but the newly retired governor of India’s central bank warns that the low- and negative-interest-rate regimen that’s become a staple in monetary policies around the world since 2008 won’t be easily reversed. “Often when monetary policy is really easy, it becomes the residual policy of choice,” Raghuram Rajan …