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Kiwi Calling The Bottom

Daytrader21 投稿日: 2015年07月03日  in #Trader's blog #NZD/USD #Bottom #Kiwi #Seasonality #Cot Report
Two days ago in my recent webinar I've been calling out the possibility of a bottom in kiwi. I'm not expecting a full reversal just a rally inside a bearish trend or a correction as nothing goes up or down in a straight line. Even last month I've been warning that we need to prepare for a bounce but also highlighting that timing the bounce is key, you can read what I had to say back then here: NZ Dollar COT Extreme
Figure 1: NZD/USD Seasonality

The reason why I've…
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CommunitySupport 2015年07月03日

Durden avatar
Durden 2015年07月03日

Interesting : ) 

Thanks

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July FX Seasonality Patterns

Daytrader21 投稿日: 2015年07月01日  in #Trader's blog #GBP #Patterns #Dollar Index #NZD/USD #Seasonality #Cot Report
Since a new month has started, the best way to asserts the probability of where the market is likely to be heading in this month is for us to look at the seasonality patterns. The seasonality cycles will bring in a new dimension in which you can analyse the market. Seasonality are a predictable change in price that repeats every day, week, month, year at the same period in time.
You can find more details how this seasonal patterns affect the exchange rate and more importantly how to correctly us…
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Expeaan 2015年07月01日

Antioxidants can be sourced from the foods that we eat.A nutritious fast moneyed in fruits and vegetables and low in fat is always recommended for coverall wellbeing. For brain eudaemonia, fish is thoughtful as one of the brain wellbeing antioxidants.Search, especially those that charged in the deeper parts of the ocean soul intoxicated proportionality of Omega-3 suety acids celebrated as DHA.DHA,

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Daytrader21 2015年07月01日

Expeaan Thanks for the nutritive lessons:)

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NZ Dollar COT Extreme

Daytrader21 投稿日: 2015年06月07日  in #Trader's blog #Cot Report #Open Interest #Nz Dollar #Large Speculators #Commercial Seculator
Looking through the COT report I noticed that the on top of the list when it comes to COT extreme has come NZ Dollar. Not only Large Speculators are at extreme level but also Commercial Spec are on extreme levels. We can see that the Open Interest has increase as well suggesting new position where added during this down move. While Commercial Spec are net long we can see that the Large Spec are on the other side and are net short.
Even though this may suggest that a reversal may be in place the …
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NZD/USD COT Report

Daytrader21 投稿日: 2015年05月31日。分析予想通貨ペア:NZD/USD, 予想レート: 0.7132, 予想日: 1日7月, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Trendline #NZD/USD #Nzdusd #Psychological Number #Support And Resistance #Cot Report #Open Interest
NZD/USD has broken key support level at 0.7200 which held the price since beginning of the year and it seems now that the bearish trend is ready to resume. First we also need a retest of the broken support which now is expected to act as resistance. We also have confluence if we draw and connect all the high from 0.7750 high, we have a nice trend line which should act as resistance.
Major Levels to watch:
[list][/list]…
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Daytrader21 2015年06月05日

Update 1: The market has not managed to break below key support level and big round number 0.7000 but we neither where able to retest the previous broken support level at 0.7250 which as based on my prediction should happen before the downtrend resume

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Daytrader21 2015年06月14日

Update 2: This week the COT has continue to widen again and although technically we broke below key support level and round number 0.7000 a reversal is still in place. Next key support level remains at 0.6900 which is a multi year pivot level.

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Daytrader21 2015年06月19日

Update 3: Right now the market is trading near an very big inflection zone between 0.6900-0.6885 which should produce a bounce as the COT extreme is still widening suggesting a reversal may come soon. However we still need a break above the big figure 0.7000 in order to see more upside momentum

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