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NZDCAD Topping at Monthly Highs

Jignesh Posted 30 Mar. as Analysis on NZD/CAD, Target: 0.9207, Date: 1st of May, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Resistance #Elliott Wave #Correction #Kiwi #NZD/CAD #Channel #Nzdcad #Monthly Chart
Overview

The Long term Monthly count on NZDCAD, shows a structure to the upside has completed. The up move started in Jan 2009, and has done a corrective move up to complete in the 0.9630 area.
In the past month, the pair saw sellers come in strong once again as the pair approached highs near the 0.9600 level, and looks like it may be ending the month off forming a doji, or in another words, a potential reversal candle.
Levels
0.9628 - March 2014 high / Multi Year highs
0.9459 - Weekly Support …
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Jignesh 26 Apr.

In the last week, the pair has taken out the support at 9320 and continued it's slide all the way down to a low of 9162.  Weekly support marked above at 9207 was briefly taken out on the 4H, but the daily chart failed to close below and showed a pinbar formation.  We can see the pair pullback a bit here.  The week has closed off at 9251.    This week's upside potential should be capped at 9320 which previously marked support, should now act as strong resistance and an area where seller's should step in.

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Jignesh 28 Apr.

The pair is currently trading at the day's highs after an impressive single day gain.  Currently hovering around 9305, the pair shows it can still extend higher towards the 9320 resistance zone.  Daily close would need to remain below this level for some downside pressure over the next few days

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Jignesh 29 Apr.

The pair held the upside resistance and caught sellers just ahead of 9320.  The Daily candle looks to be setting up as a bearish engulfing candle so far, which supports the idea of follow through.  There is some risk event on the docket with an official cash rate & statement from the RBNZ in just a few hours.  The event has the capability of moving the pair down significantly through the 9207 support level in the case of a rate cut.  In the case of a status quo statement, the technical setup can be expected to continue to play out towards the 9207 support level.

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Jignesh 30 Apr.

The pair is trading near the bottom of the channel after the RBNZ Statement gave seller's a reason to continue selling.  The 9207 Support level has been breached.  The Support level's to look at next are the bottom of the channel, 9130 which is Daily Support, and 9153 which marks the spike low on the 23rd of April..  Upside resistance remains at 9207

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Jignesh 1 May

With just 30 mins left, we take a look at the 1 Minute chart for a bit of direction.  Already, it can be seen that the 5M was trending down and has taken a bit of an upturn.  The 1 Min Elliott Wave Count indicates that the majority of the correction up has already taken place, yet one more leg to the upside is still required to satisfy the bare minimum of the correction, and call wave Y complete.  In the time left to complete, the pair has a good chance on complete the structure at the target level of 9207.

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EURGBP Continues down after 3 wave ABC Correction

Jignesh Posted 30 Sep. as Analysis on EUR/GBP, Target: 0.7757, Date: 3rd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Trend #Support #Monetary Policy #EUR/GBP #Eurgbp #Correction #3 Wave
Overview
As the monetary policies of the ECB and BOE continue to diverge with GBP facing an imminent rate hike, and the EUR having just experience a rate cut, the outlook on this pair is bearish.
In the past month, we have seen a 3 wave correction occur, after a big move to the downside. The pair has broken to new lows and it can be assumed a new leg in the downtrend is in progress
Levels
0.7874 - Daily breakout point (low of last major leg down)
0.7757 - Weekly Support level
0.7480/0.7500 …
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Jignesh 9 Oct.

EURGBP is bullish for the week after bouncing off the weekly support level.  The 50% retracement of the last leg down comes at .7916.  Will be watching that level for bears to continue the downward momentum.

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Jignesh 13 Oct.

The focus for this upcoming week is the price to be contained by the 50% at .7916 and a close below support/resistance level of .7875

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Jignesh 24 Oct.

The pair got declined from the .8040 level and looking like it is resuming it's down trend.  Currently .7875 is offering some support showing a tweezer bottom on the daily chart.

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Jignesh 31 Oct.

After consolidating in the 7875 for almost a week, the pair has finally made a concise break.  With EUR CPI data later in the session, the pair still stand a good possibility of reaching targets.

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Jignesh 3 Nov.

The pair is moving rapidly to the downside after breaking 7875.  The momentum is good, indicating a good possibility of hitting targets by specified time.  The current price is 0.7814 and is about 57 pips away with 10 hours to go.  There is both EUR & GBP data later today..  GBP Manufacturing PMI should move this pair towards the targets if the data supports a bullish GBP

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